AEL Limassol

AEL Limassol

VS Scheduled Friday 8 Jan 202700:00

Cyprus 26/27 First Division · Matchday 17

Pafos

Head-to-head overview

1 meetings

AEL LimassolWins: 1
Draws0.0% of meetings: 0
PafosWins: 0

Goals per match: 2.00
Over 2.5 goals: 0.0%
Both teams scored: 0.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Pafos0–2AEL Limassol

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Pafos0–2AEL Limassol
2026-09-11	26/27	AEL Limassol2–1Nea Salamis
2026-09-06	26/27	APOEL6–0AEL Limassol
2026-08-30	26/27	AEL Limassol2–0Anorthosis Famagusta

Pafos

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Pafos0–2AEL Limassol
2026-09-13	26/27	AEK0–1Pafos
2026-09-07	26/27	Pafos0–0Olymp Nicosia
2026-08-30	26/27	Karmiotissa0–3Pafos

AEL Limassol Pafos

Wins

75%

50%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

25%

Both teams scored

25%

0%

Clean sheets

50%

75%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

AEL Limassol

Home · First Division

Home			Away		1st goal
3	AEL Limassol		Omonia	1
3	AEL Limassol		AEK	2
3 · AEL Limassol
3	AEL Limassol		Pafos	4
3	AEL Limassol		Apollon Limassol	5
3	AEL Limassol		Omonia 29is Maiou	6
3	AEL Limassol		Aris	7
3	AEL Limassol		APOEL	8
3	AEL Limassol		Olymp Nicosia	9
3	AEL Limassol	2–1	Nea Salamis	10	43′ Home
3	AEL Limassol		Karmiotissa	11
3	AEL Limassol	2–0	Anorthosis Famagusta	12	42′ Home
3	AEL Limassol		Ypsonas	13

Pafos

Away · First Division

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Omonia		Pafos	4
2	AEK	0–1	Pafos	4	61′ Away
3	AEL Limassol		Pafos	4
4 · Pafos
5	Apollon Limassol		Pafos	4
6	Omonia 29is Maiou		Pafos	4
7	Aris		Pafos	4
8	APOEL		Pafos	4
9	Olymp Nicosia		Pafos	4
10	Nea Salamis		Pafos	4
11	Karmiotissa	0–3	Pafos	4	45′ Away
12	Anorthosis Famagusta		Pafos	4
13	Ypsonas		Pafos	4

AEL Limassol Home Pafos Away

Wins

100%

Over 1.5

100%

50%

Over 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

0%

Both teams scored

50%

0%

Clean sheets

50%

100%

Scores first

100%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

First Division · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

AEL Limassol

4 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away2 matches	Overall4 matches
Points / match	3.00	1.50	2.25
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	2.00	1.00	1.50
Goals conceded / match	0.50	3.00	1.75
Total goals / match	2.50	4.00	3.25
Failed to score	0.0%	50.0%	25.0%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 2	100%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 2/2 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	2	0
46–60	1	1
61–75	0	0
76–90	1	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Pafos

4 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away2 matches	Overall4 matches
Points / match	0.50	3.00	1.75
Draws	50.0%	0.0%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	0.00	2.00	1.00
Goals conceded / match	1.00	0.00	0.50
Total goals / match	1.00	2.00	1.50
Failed to score	100.0%	0.0%	50.0%
Under 2.5 goals	100.0%	50.0%	75.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	1	0
46–60	2	0
61–75	1	0
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	AEL Limassol	Draw	Pafos	How it works
Goals (Poisson)	20.4%	30.9%	48.6%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.65–1.18 Model expected goals

27.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals

33.1% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 18.9%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-118.9%

0-016.0%

1-112.3%

0-211.2%

1-010.4%

1-27.3%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	AEL Limassol	Pafos	How to read it

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
AEL Limassol	0.50	1.00	0.50	1.25
Pafos	0.25	0.75	0.00	0.50

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
AEL Limassol	0%	0%	50%	25%	25%
Pafos	25%	25%	25%	25%	0%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

3.00 AEL Limassol at home, 2 matches

3.00 Pafos away, 2 matches

112d Days of rest for AEL Limassol

112d Days of rest for Pafos

— Manager of AEL Limassol

— Manager of Pafos

0 Matches for AEL Limassol in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Pafos in the last 14 days

3 Points for AEL Limassol behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone

5 Points for Pafos behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone

3.11 League goals per match

37.0% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents AEL Limassol, the right bar represents Pafos.

On the ball

20 matches

2.0

corners

7.25

9.75

fouls

12.75

2.67

yellow cards

1.5

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
AEL Limassol	WWLW	2.25	1.50–1.75	2W
Pafos	LWDW	1.75	1.00–0.50	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
AEL Limassol	2	1	1	0	0
Pafos	1	3	0	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

AEL Limassol

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Pafos

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.