Aris

Aris

VS Scheduled Friday 19 Feb 202700:00

Cyprus 26/27 First Division · Matchday 24

Pafos

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Aris0–0Karmiotissa
2026-09-14	26/27	Ypsonas0–1Aris
2026-09-07	26/27	Aris1–4Omonia
2026-08-29	26/27	Aris2–2Apollon Limassol

Pafos

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Pafos0–2AEL Limassol
2026-09-13	26/27	AEK0–1Pafos
2026-09-07	26/27	Pafos0–0Olymp Nicosia
2026-08-30	26/27	Karmiotissa0–3Pafos

Aris Pafos

Wins

25%

50%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

25%

Both teams scored

50%

0%

Clean sheets

50%

75%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Aris

Home · First Division

Home			Away		1st goal
7	Aris	1–4	Omonia	1	5′ Away
7	Aris		AEK	2
7	Aris		AEL Limassol	3
7	Aris		Pafos	4
7	Aris	2–2	Apollon Limassol	5	12′ Home
7	Aris		Omonia 29is Maiou	6
7 · Aris
7	Aris		APOEL	8
7	Aris		Olymp Nicosia	9
7	Aris		Nea Salamis	10
7	Aris	0–0	Karmiotissa	11	–
7	Aris		Anorthosis Famagusta	12
7	Aris		Ypsonas	13

Pafos

Away · First Division

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Omonia		Pafos	4
2	AEK	0–1	Pafos	4	61′ Away
3	AEL Limassol		Pafos	4
4 · Pafos
5	Apollon Limassol		Pafos	4
6	Omonia 29is Maiou		Pafos	4
7	Aris		Pafos	4
8	APOEL		Pafos	4
9	Olymp Nicosia		Pafos	4
10	Nea Salamis		Pafos	4
11	Karmiotissa	0–3	Pafos	4	45′ Away
12	Anorthosis Famagusta		Pafos	4
13	Ypsonas		Pafos	4

Aris Home Pafos Away

Wins

0%

100%

Over 1.5

67%

50%

Over 2.5

67%

50%

Over 3.5

67%

0%

Both teams scored

67%

0%

Clean sheets

33%

100%

Scores first

33%

100%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

First Division · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Aris

4 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away1 matches	Overall4 matches
Points / match	0.67	3.00	1.25
Draws	66.7%	0.0%	50.0%
Goals scored / match	1.00	1.00	1.00
Goals conceded / match	2.00	0.00	1.50
Total goals / match	3.00	1.00	2.50
Failed to score	33.3%	0.0%	25.0%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	100.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	0 of 1	0%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	1
16–30	0	0
31–45	0	1
46–60	1	2
61–75	1	2
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Pafos

4 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away2 matches	Overall4 matches
Points / match	0.50	3.00	1.75
Draws	50.0%	0.0%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	0.00	2.00	1.00
Goals conceded / match	1.00	0.00	0.50
Total goals / match	1.00	2.00	1.50
Failed to score	100.0%	0.0%	50.0%
Under 2.5 goals	100.0%	50.0%	75.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	1	0
46–60	2	0
61–75	1	0
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Aris	Draw	Pafos	How it works
Goals (Poisson)	23.1%	33.6%	43.2%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.65–1.01 Model expected goals

23.3% Probability of over 2.5 goals

30.5% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 19.2%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-119.2%

0-018.9%

1-112.5%

1-012.3%

0-29.7%

1-26.3%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Aris	Pafos	How to read it

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Aris	0.25	0.75	0.50	1.00
Pafos	0.25	0.75	0.00	0.50

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Aris	25%	25%	0%	0%	50%
Pafos	25%	25%	25%	25%	0%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.67 Aris at home, 3 matches

3.00 Pafos away, 2 matches

152d Days of rest for Aris

154d Days of rest for Pafos

— Manager of Aris

— Manager of Pafos

0 Matches for Aris in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Pafos in the last 14 days

7 Points for Aris behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone

5 Points for Pafos behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone

3.11 League goals per match

37.0% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Aris, the right bar represents Pafos.

On the ball

20 matches

4.0

corners

7.25

16.0

fouls

12.75

3.5

yellow cards

1.5

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Aris	DWLD	1.25	1.00–1.50	1D
Pafos	LWDW	1.75	1.00–0.50	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Aris	0	3	1	0	0
Pafos	1	3	0	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Aris

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Pafos

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.