Maribor

Maribor

VS Scheduled Sunday 18 Oct 202617:00

Slovenia 26/27 PrvaLiga · Matchday 12

Celje

Head-to-head overview

1 meetings

MariborWins: 0
Draws100.0% of meetings: 1
CeljeWins: 0

Goals per match: 2.00
Over 2.5 goals: 0.0%
Both teams scored: 100.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-08-01	26/27	Celje1–1Maribor

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Maribor2–2Aluminij
2026-09-13	26/27	Radomlje0–3Maribor
2026-09-06	26/27	Maribor1–1Mura
2026-08-30	26/27	Nafta2–3Maribor
2026-08-23	26/27	Maribor3–1Bravo
2026-08-15	26/27	Olimpija1–1Maribor
2026-08-09	26/27	Maribor2–0Koper
2026-08-01	26/27	Celje1–1Maribor

Celje

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Mura0–0Celje
2026-09-12	26/27	Bravo2–1Celje
2026-09-06	26/27	Celje0–1Koper
2026-09-02	26/27	Aluminij0–2Celje
2026-08-30	26/27	Brinje4–1Celje
2026-08-15	26/27	Nafta1–3Celje
2026-08-08	26/27	Celje1–0Olimpija
2026-08-01	26/27	Celje1–1Maribor

Maribor Celje

Wins

50%

38%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

38%

Both teams scored

75%

50%

Clean sheets

25%

38%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Maribor

Home · PrvaLiga

Home			Away		1st goal
1 · Maribor
1	Maribor	2–0	Koper	2	10′ Home
1	Maribor	3–1	Bravo	3	—
1	Maribor		Olimpija	4
1	Maribor	2–2	Aluminij	5	22′ Home
1	Maribor		Nafta	6
1	Maribor		Celje	7
1	Maribor	3–0	Brinje	8	13′ Home
1	Maribor	1–1	Mura	9	2′ Home
1	Maribor		Radomlje	10

Celje

Away · PrvaLiga

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Maribor		Celje	7
2	Koper		Celje	7
3	Bravo	2–1	Celje	7	21′ Away
4	Olimpija		Celje	7
5	Aluminij	0–2	Celje	7	81′ Away
6	Nafta	1–3	Celje	7	3′ Away
7 · Celje
8	Brinje	4–1	Celje	7	17′ Away
9	Mura	0–0	Celje	7	–
10	Radomlje		Celje	7

Maribor Home Celje Away

Wins

60%

40%

Over 1.5

100%

80%

Over 2.5

60%

Over 3.5

40%

Both teams scored

60%

Clean sheets

40%

Scores first

80%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

PrvaLiga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Maribor

10 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away5 matches	Overall10 matches
Points / match	2.20	1.80	2.00
Draws	40.0%	60.0%	50.0%
Goals scored / match	2.20	1.60	1.90
Goals conceded / match	0.80	0.80	0.80
Total goals / match	3.00	2.40	2.70
Failed to score	0.0%	20.0%	10.0%
Under 2.5 goals	40.0%	60.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	3 of 4	75%
Scores first → wins	2 of 4	50%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 1	100%

Scoring order known: 5/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Celje

9 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away5 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	1.25	1.40	1.33
Draws	50.0%	20.0%	33.3%
Goals scored / match	1.00	1.40	1.22
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.40	1.22
Total goals / match	2.00	2.80	2.44
Failed to score	25.0%	20.0%	22.2%
Under 2.5 goals	75.0%	40.0%	55.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 4	50%
Scores first → wins	2 of 4	50%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 5/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	3	0
31–45	0	2
46–60	0	2
61–75	1	0
76–90	2	3

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Maribor	Draw	Celje	How it works
Goals (Poisson)	62.1%	22.4%	14.5%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.80–0.72 Model expected goals

45.3% Probability of over 2.5 goals

42.5% Both teams to score

1-0 Most likely score, at 14.4%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-014.4%

2-013.0%

1-110.4%

2-19.4%

0-08.0%

3-07.8%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Maribor	Celje	How to read it

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Maribor	0.90	1.00	0.40	0.40
Celje	0.44	0.78	0.56	0.67

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Maribor	10%	0%	40%	20%	30%
Celje	11%	22%	22%	11%	33%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.20 Maribor at home, 5 matches

1.40 Celje away, 5 matches

29d Days of rest for Maribor

28d Days of rest for Celje

— Manager of Maribor

— Manager of Celje

0 Matches for Maribor in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Celje in the last 14 days

0 Points for Maribor behind the leaders, and 8 above the relegation zone

8 Points for Celje behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

2.63 League goals per match

28.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Maribor, the right bar represents Celje.

On the ball

20 matches

6.0

corners

6.12

10.83

fouls

10.25

1.83

yellow cards

1.8

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Maribor	DWDWWDWDWD	2.00	1.90–0.80	1D
Celje	DLLWLWWDD	1.33	1.22–1.22	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Maribor	6	2	2	1	2
Celje	2	4	3	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Maribor

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Celje

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.