Aluminij

Aluminij

VS Scheduled Saturday 30 Jan 202700:00

Slovenia 26/27 PrvaLiga · Matchday 19

Maribor

Head-to-head overview

2 meetings

AluminijWins: 0
Draws100.0% of meetings: 2
MariborWins: 0

Goals per match: 2.00
Over 2.5 goals: 50.0%
Both teams scored: 50.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Maribor2–2Aluminij
2026-07-19	26/27	Aluminij0–0Maribor

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Maribor2–2Aluminij
2026-09-13	26/27	Mura1–6Aluminij
2026-09-05	26/27	Aluminij0–0Bravo
2026-09-02	26/27	Aluminij0–2Celje
2026-08-28	26/27	Aluminij0–1Koper
2026-08-21	26/27	Aluminij4–2Brinje
2026-08-16	26/27	Radomlje1–3Aluminij
2026-08-09	26/27	Aluminij1–1Nafta

Maribor

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Maribor2–2Aluminij
2026-09-13	26/27	Radomlje0–3Maribor
2026-09-06	26/27	Maribor1–1Mura
2026-08-30	26/27	Nafta2–3Maribor
2026-08-23	26/27	Maribor3–1Bravo
2026-08-15	26/27	Olimpija1–1Maribor
2026-08-09	26/27	Maribor2–0Koper
2026-08-01	26/27	Celje1–1Maribor

Aluminij Maribor

Wins

38%

50%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

Both teams scored

62%

75%

Clean sheets

12%

25%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Aluminij

Home · PrvaLiga

Home			Away		1st goal
5	Aluminij	0–0	Maribor	1	–
5	Aluminij	0–1	Koper	2	53′ Away
5	Aluminij	0–0	Bravo	3	–
5	Aluminij		Olimpija	4
5 · Aluminij
5	Aluminij	1–1	Nafta	6	36′ Home
5	Aluminij	0–2	Celje	7	81′ Away
5	Aluminij	4–2	Brinje	8	11′ Home
5	Aluminij		Mura	9
5	Aluminij		Radomlje	10

Maribor

Away · PrvaLiga

Home			Away		1st goal
1 · Maribor
2	Koper		Maribor	1
3	Bravo		Maribor	1
4	Olimpija	1–1	Maribor	1	45+6′ Home
5	Aluminij	0–0	Maribor	1	–
6	Nafta	2–3	Maribor	1	7′ Away
7	Celje	1–1	Maribor	1	4′ Away
8	Brinje		Maribor	1
9	Mura		Maribor	1
10	Radomlje	0–3	Maribor	1	13′ Away

Aluminij Home Maribor Away

Wins

17%

40%

Over 1.5

50%

80%

Over 2.5

17%

40%

Over 3.5

17%

20%

Both teams scored

33%

60%

Clean sheets

33%

40%

Scores first

33%

60%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

PrvaLiga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Aluminij

10 matches

Goals & results	Home6 matches	Away4 matches	Overall10 matches
Points / match	1.00	1.75	1.30
Draws	50.0%	25.0%	40.0%
Goals scored / match	0.83	2.75	1.60
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.25	1.10
Total goals / match	1.83	4.00	2.70
Failed to score	66.7%	25.0%	50.0%
Under 2.5 goals	83.3%	25.0%	60.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	1 of 2	50%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 6/6 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	0	2
31–45	1	0
46–60	1	1
61–75	1	1
76–90	1	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Maribor

10 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away5 matches	Overall10 matches
Points / match	2.20	1.80	2.00
Draws	40.0%	60.0%	50.0%
Goals scored / match	2.20	1.60	1.90
Goals conceded / match	0.80	0.80	0.80
Total goals / match	3.00	2.40	2.70
Failed to score	0.0%	20.0%	10.0%
Under 2.5 goals	40.0%	60.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	3 of 3	100%
Scores first → wins	2 of 3	67%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	3	0
16–30	1	0
31–45	1	2
46–60	0	1
61–75	1	0
76–90	2	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Aluminij	Draw	Maribor	How it works
Goals (Poisson)	24.2%	25.5%	49.7%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.00–1.55 Model expected goals

46.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals

49.3% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 12.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-112.1%

1-112.1%

0-29.4%

1-29.4%

0-07.8%

1-07.8%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Aluminij	Maribor	How to read it

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Aluminij	0.80	0.80	0.40	0.70
Maribor	0.90	1.00	0.40	0.40

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Aluminij	20%	20%	20%	0%	40%
Maribor	10%	0%	40%	20%	30%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.00 Aluminij at home, 6 matches

1.80 Maribor away, 5 matches

133d Days of rest for Aluminij

133d Days of rest for Maribor

— Manager of Aluminij

— Manager of Maribor

0 Matches for Aluminij in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Maribor in the last 14 days

7 Points for Aluminij behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone

0 Points for Maribor behind the leaders, and 8 above the relegation zone

2.63 League goals per match

28.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Aluminij, the right bar represents Maribor.

On the ball

20 matches

4.0

corners

6.0

11.0

fouls

10.83

2.2

yellow cards

1.83

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Aluminij	DWDLLWWDLD	1.30	1.60–1.10	1D
Maribor	DWDWWDWDWD	2.00	1.90–0.80	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Aluminij	3	5	2	1	1
Maribor	6	2	2	1	2

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Aluminij

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Maribor

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.