Ammanford

VS Scheduled Saturday 3 Oct 202614:30

Wales 26/27 Cymru Premier · Matchday 12

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	26/27	Flint Town Utd3–0Ammanford
2026-09-18	26/27	Ammanford1–5Penybont
2026-09-15	26/27	Barry Town2–2Ammanford
2026-09-11	26/27	Ammanford0–5Caernarfon
2026-09-04	26/27	Llandudno2–0Ammanford
2026-08-31	26/27	Ammanford0–5Cardiff MU
2026-08-28	26/27	Trefelin1–1Ammanford
2026-08-22	26/27	Ammanford0–2Connah's Quay

Holywell

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	26/27	Holywell1–1Briton Ferry
2026-09-18	26/27	Haverfordwest1–0Holywell
2026-09-15	26/27	Holywell0–5Colwyn Bay
2026-09-11	26/27	Cambrian2–1Holywell
2026-09-04	26/27	Holywell1–1Trefelin
2026-08-31	26/27	Airbus6–2Holywell
2026-08-28	26/27	Holywell3–5Caernarfon
2026-08-21	26/27	Holywell1–3Barry Town

Ammanford Holywell

Wins

0%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

Both teams scored

38%

75%

Clean sheets

0%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Ammanford

Home · Cymru Premier

Home			Away		1st goal
15	Ammanford		TNS	1
15	Ammanford	1–5	Penybont	2	9′ Away
15	Ammanford	0–2	Connah's Quay	3	43′ Away
15	Ammanford	0–5	Caernarfon	4	22′ Away
15	Ammanford	2–2	Colwyn Bay	5	19′ Away
15	Ammanford		Barry Town	6
15	Ammanford		Cambrian	7
15	Ammanford		Llandudno	8
15	Ammanford	0–5	Cardiff MU	9	8′ Away
15	Ammanford		Airbus	10
15	Ammanford		Haverfordwest	11
15	Ammanford		Briton Ferry	12
15	Ammanford		Flint Town Utd	13
15	Ammanford		Trefelin	14
15 · Ammanford
15	Ammanford		Holywell	16

Holywell

Away · Cymru Premier

Home			Away		1st goal
1	TNS		Holywell	16
2	Penybont		Holywell	16
3	Connah's Quay		Holywell	16
4	Caernarfon		Holywell	16
5	Colwyn Bay		Holywell	16
6	Barry Town		Holywell	16
7	Cambrian	2–1	Holywell	16	36′ Home
8	Llandudno	3–1	Holywell	16	—
9	Cardiff MU	6–1	Holywell	16	8′ Home
10	Airbus	6–2	Holywell	16	15′ Home
11	Haverfordwest	1–0	Holywell	16	23′ Home
12	Briton Ferry		Holywell	16
13	Flint Town Utd		Holywell	16
14	Trefelin		Holywell	16
15	Ammanford		Holywell	16
16 · Holywell

Ammanford Home Holywell Away

Wins

0%

Over 1.5

100%

80%

Over 2.5

80%

Over 3.5

80%

60%

Both teams scored

40%

80%

Clean sheets

0%

Scores first

0%

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Cymru Premier · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Ammanford

11 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away6 matches	Overall11 matches
Points / match	0.20	0.33	0.27
Draws	20.0%	33.3%	27.3%
Goals scored / match	0.60	0.67	0.64
Goals conceded / match	3.80	2.00	2.82
Total goals / match	4.40	2.67	3.45
Failed to score	60.0%	50.0%	54.5%
Under 2.5 goals	20.0%	50.0%	36.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 5	0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	2
16–30	0	3
31–45	0	6
46–60	1	0
61–75	0	3
76–90	2	5

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Holywell

11 matches

Goals & results	Home6 matches	Away5 matches	Overall11 matches
Points / match	0.33	0.00	0.18
Draws	33.3%	0.0%	18.2%
Goals scored / match	1.17	1.00	1.09
Goals conceded / match	3.00	3.60	3.27
Total goals / match	4.17	4.60	4.36
Failed to score	16.7%	20.0%	18.2%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	20.0%	27.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 4/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Ammanford	Draw	Holywell	How it works
Strength (Elo)	50.1%	16.4%	33.5%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	24.5%	21.6%	52.0%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.31–2.01 Model expected goals

62.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals

61.8% Both teams to score

1-2 Most likely score, at 9.6%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-29.6%

1-19.5%

0-27.3%

0-17.3%

1-36.4%

2-26.3%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Ammanford	Holywell	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1394	1384	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-98	-100	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1510	1491	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Ammanford	0.18	0.45	1.36	1.45
Holywell	0.55	0.55	1.91	1.36

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Ammanford	0%	0%	36%	18%	46%
Holywell	0%	9%	18%	9%	64%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.20 Ammanford at home, 5 matches

0.00 Holywell away, 5 matches

7d Days of rest for Ammanford

7d Days of rest for Holywell

— Manager of Ammanford

— Manager of Holywell

1 Matches for Ammanford in the last 14 days

1 Matches for Holywell in the last 14 days

28 Points for Ammanford behind the leaders, and -2 above the relegation zone

29 Points for Holywell behind the leaders, and -3 above the relegation zone

3.37 League goals per match

17.2% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Ammanford, the right bar represents Holywell.

On the ball

20 matches

2.6

corners

2.89

10.0

fouls

9.0

1.83

yellow cards

3.57

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Ammanford	LLDLLLDLLD	0.30	0.60–2.90	2L
Holywell	DLLLDLLLLL	0.20	1.10–3.00	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Ammanford	1	2	8	0	1
Holywell	1	3	7	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Ammanford

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Holywell

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.