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Briton Ferry
VS Scheduled Wales 26/27 Cymru Premier · Matchday 12
Colwyn Bay
Recent matches

Briton Ferry

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Holywell1–1Briton Ferry
2026-09-18 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Briton Ferry1–1Trefelin
2026-09-15 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Penybont3–2Briton Ferry
2026-09-11 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Haverfordwest3–1Briton Ferry
2026-09-04 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Briton Ferry0–2Airbus
2026-08-31 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Briton Ferry1–4Barry Town
2026-08-28 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Cardiff MU3–0Briton Ferry
2026-08-21 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Flint Town Utd0–1Briton Ferry

Colwyn Bay

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Colwyn Bay1–0Haverfordwest
2026-09-18 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Colwyn Bay5–2Barry Town
2026-09-15 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Holywell0–5Colwyn Bay
2026-09-12 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Colwyn Bay2–1Connah's Quay
2026-09-05 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Penybont1–0Colwyn Bay
2026-08-31 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Colwyn Bay2–0Llandudno
2026-08-28 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 TNS5–1Colwyn Bay
2026-08-21 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Colwyn Bay1–0Airbus
Briton Ferry Colwyn Bay

Wins

12%
75%

Over 2.5 goals

50%
50%

Both teams scored

62%
38%

Clean sheets

12%
50%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Briton Ferry

Home · Cymru Premier
HomeAway1st goal
12 Briton Ferry TNS 1
12 Briton Ferry Penybont 2
12 Briton Ferry Connah's Quay 3
12 Briton Ferry Caernarfon 4
12 Briton Ferry Colwyn Bay 5
12 Briton Ferry 1–4 Barry Town 6 30′ Away
12 Briton Ferry Cambrian 7
12 Briton Ferry Llandudno 8
12 Briton Ferry Cardiff MU 9
12 Briton Ferry 0–2 Airbus 10 20′ Away
12 Briton Ferry Haverfordwest 11
12 · Briton Ferry
12 Briton Ferry Flint Town Utd 13
12 Briton Ferry 1–1 Trefelin 14 44′ Home
12 Briton Ferry 2–1 Ammanford 15 12′ Away
12 Briton Ferry Holywell 16

Colwyn Bay

Away · Cymru Premier
HomeAway1st goal
1 TNS 5–1 Colwyn Bay 5 26′ Home
2 Penybont 1–0 Colwyn Bay 5 28′ Home
3 Connah's Quay Colwyn Bay 5
4 Caernarfon 3–0 Colwyn Bay 5 27′ Home
5 · Colwyn Bay
6 Barry Town Colwyn Bay 5
7 Cambrian Colwyn Bay 5
8 Llandudno Colwyn Bay 5
9 Cardiff MU Colwyn Bay 5
10 Airbus Colwyn Bay 5
11 Haverfordwest Colwyn Bay 5
12 Briton Ferry Colwyn Bay 5
13 Flint Town Utd Colwyn Bay 5
14 Trefelin Colwyn Bay 5
15 Ammanford 2–2 Colwyn Bay 5 19′ Away
16 Holywell 0–5 Colwyn Bay 5 9′ Away
Briton Ferry Home Colwyn Bay Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Cymru Premier · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Briton Ferry

11 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway7 matchesOverall11 matches
Points / match1.000.710.82
Draws25.0%28.6%27.3%
Goals scored / match1.000.860.91
Goals conceded / match2.001.711.82
Total goals / match3.002.572.73
Failed to score25.0%28.6%27.3%
Under 2.5 goals50.0%57.1%54.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 1 100%
Scores first → wins 0 of 1 0%
Concedes first → wins 1 of 3 33%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1501
16–3002
31–4521
46–6011
61–7513
76–9000

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Colwyn Bay

11 matches
Goals & resultsHome6 matchesAway5 matchesOverall11 matches
Points / match3.000.802.00
Draws0.0%20.0%9.1%
Goals scored / match2.171.601.91
Goals conceded / match0.502.201.27
Total goals / match2.673.803.18
Failed to score0.0%40.0%18.2%
Under 2.5 goals66.7%20.0%45.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 2 of 2 100%
Scores first → wins 1 of 2 50%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 3 0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1510
16–3033
31–4532
46–6003
61–7512
76–9001

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelBriton FerryDraw Colwyn BayHow it works
Strength (Elo) 35.7% 16.8% 47.4% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 10.5% 17.3% 69.3% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.74–2.27 Model expected goals
55.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals
45.2% Both teams to score
0-2 Most likely score, at 12.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-212.7%
0-111.2%
0-39.7%
1-29.4%
1-18.2%
1-37.1%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureBriton FerryColwyn Bay How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1441 1550 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -67 38 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1483 1510 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Briton Ferry 0.450.45 0.821.00
Colwyn Bay 1.090.82 0.730.55

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Briton Ferry 0%18%36%18%27%
Colwyn Bay 0%27%18%18%36%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.00 Briton Ferry at home, 4 matches
0.80 Colwyn Bay away, 5 matches
7d Days of rest for Briton Ferry
7d Days of rest for Colwyn Bay
— Manager of Briton Ferry
— Manager of Colwyn Bay
1 Matches for Briton Ferry in the last 14 days
1 Matches for Colwyn Bay in the last 14 days
22 Points for Briton Ferry behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone
9 Points for Colwyn Bay behind the leaders, and 17 above the relegation zone
3.37 League goals per match
17.2% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Briton Ferry, the right bar represents Colwyn Bay.

On the ball

20 matches
5.18
corners
4.9
10.5
fouls
10.0
2.29
yellow cards
3.33

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Briton Ferry DDLLLLLWLD 0.60 0.80–1.90 2D
Colwyn Bay WWWWLWLWLD 1.90 1.90–1.40 4W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Briton Ferry3 35 02
Colwyn Bay5 15 21
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Briton Ferry

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Colwyn Bay

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.