Flint Town Utd

VS Scheduled Saturday 10 Oct 202617:15

Wales 26/27 Cymru Premier · Matchday 13

Recent matches

Flint Town Utd

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	26/27	Flint Town Utd3–0Ammanford
2026-09-18	26/27	Airbus4–1Flint Town Utd
2026-09-15	26/27	TNS5–0Flint Town Utd
2026-09-11	26/27	Flint Town Utd1–1Cardiff MU
2026-09-04	26/27	Caernarfon3–0Flint Town Utd
2026-08-31	26/27	Flint Town Utd1–2Connah's Quay
2026-08-28	26/27	Penybont1–1Flint Town Utd
2026-08-21	26/27	Flint Town Utd0–1Briton Ferry

Colwyn Bay

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	26/27	Colwyn Bay1–0Haverfordwest
2026-09-18	26/27	Colwyn Bay5–2Barry Town
2026-09-15	26/27	Holywell0–5Colwyn Bay
2026-09-12	26/27	Colwyn Bay2–1Connah's Quay
2026-09-05	26/27	Penybont1–0Colwyn Bay
2026-08-31	26/27	Colwyn Bay2–0Llandudno
2026-08-28	26/27	TNS5–1Colwyn Bay
2026-08-21	26/27	Colwyn Bay1–0Airbus

Flint Town Utd Colwyn Bay

Wins

12%

75%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

50%

Both teams scored

50%

38%

Clean sheets

12%

50%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Flint Town Utd

Home · Cymru Premier

Home			Away		1st goal
13	Flint Town Utd		TNS	1
13	Flint Town Utd		Penybont	2
13	Flint Town Utd	1–2	Connah's Quay	3	10′ Away
13	Flint Town Utd		Caernarfon	4
13	Flint Town Utd		Colwyn Bay	5
13	Flint Town Utd	2–3	Barry Town	6	5′ Away
13	Flint Town Utd		Cambrian	7
13	Flint Town Utd		Llandudno	8
13	Flint Town Utd	1–1	Cardiff MU	9	3′ Home
13	Flint Town Utd		Airbus	10
13	Flint Town Utd		Haverfordwest	11
13	Flint Town Utd	0–1	Briton Ferry	12	—
13 · Flint Town Utd
13	Flint Town Utd		Trefelin	14
13	Flint Town Utd	3–0	Ammanford	15	—
13	Flint Town Utd		Holywell	16

Colwyn Bay

Away · Cymru Premier

Home			Away		1st goal
1	TNS	5–1	Colwyn Bay	5	26′ Home
2	Penybont	1–0	Colwyn Bay	5	28′ Home
3	Connah's Quay		Colwyn Bay	5
4	Caernarfon	3–0	Colwyn Bay	5	27′ Home
5 · Colwyn Bay
6	Barry Town		Colwyn Bay	5
7	Cambrian		Colwyn Bay	5
8	Llandudno		Colwyn Bay	5
9	Cardiff MU		Colwyn Bay	5
10	Airbus		Colwyn Bay	5
11	Haverfordwest		Colwyn Bay	5
12	Briton Ferry		Colwyn Bay	5
13	Flint Town Utd		Colwyn Bay	5
14	Trefelin		Colwyn Bay	5
15	Ammanford	2–2	Colwyn Bay	5	19′ Away
16	Holywell	0–5	Colwyn Bay	5	9′ Away

Flint Town Utd Home Colwyn Bay Away

Wins

20%

Over 1.5

80%

Over 2.5

60%

80%

Over 3.5

20%

60%

Both teams scored

60%

40%

Clean sheets

20%

Scores first

40%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Cymru Premier · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Flint Town Utd

11 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away6 matches	Overall11 matches
Points / match	0.80	0.17	0.45
Draws	20.0%	16.7%	18.2%
Goals scored / match	1.40	0.67	1.00
Goals conceded / match	1.40	2.83	2.18
Total goals / match	2.80	3.50	3.18
Failed to score	20.0%	50.0%	36.4%
Under 2.5 goals	40.0%	33.3%	36.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	1 of 2	50%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Colwyn Bay

11 matches

Goals & results	Home6 matches	Away5 matches	Overall11 matches
Points / match	3.00	0.80	2.00
Draws	0.0%	20.0%	9.1%
Goals scored / match	2.17	1.60	1.91
Goals conceded / match	0.50	2.20	1.27
Total goals / match	2.67	3.80	3.18
Failed to score	0.0%	40.0%	18.2%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	20.0%	45.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 2	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 2	50%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	3	3
31–45	3	2
46–60	0	3
61–75	1	2
76–90	0	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Flint Town Utd	Draw	Colwyn Bay	How it works
Strength (Elo)	35.4%	16.8%	47.8%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	7.5%	13.4%	73.2%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.74–2.72 Model expected goals

61.3% Probability of over 2.5 goals

45.6% Both teams to score

0-2 Most likely score, at 11.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-211.7%

0-310.6%

1-28.6%

0-18.6%

1-37.8%

0-47.2%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Flint Town Utd	Colwyn Bay	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1438	1550	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-53	38	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1513	1510	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Flint Town Utd	0.45	0.55	1.09	1.09
Colwyn Bay	1.09	0.82	0.73	0.55

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Flint Town Utd	0%	18%	18%	27%	36%
Colwyn Bay	0%	27%	18%	18%	36%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.80 Flint Town Utd at home, 5 matches

0.80 Colwyn Bay away, 5 matches

14d Days of rest for Flint Town Utd

14d Days of rest for Colwyn Bay

— Manager of Flint Town Utd

— Manager of Colwyn Bay

1 Matches for Flint Town Utd in the last 14 days

1 Matches for Colwyn Bay in the last 14 days

26 Points for Flint Town Utd behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

9 Points for Colwyn Bay behind the leaders, and 17 above the relegation zone

3.37 League goals per match

17.2% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Flint Town Utd, the right bar represents Colwyn Bay.

On the ball

20 matches

3.62

corners

4.9

9.0

fouls

10.0

2.71

yellow cards

3.33

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Flint Town Utd	WLLDLLDLLL	0.50	0.90–2.10	1W
Colwyn Bay	WWWWLWLWLD	1.90	1.90–1.40	4W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Flint Town Utd	3	2	6	0	3
Colwyn Bay	5	1	5	2	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Flint Town Utd

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Colwyn Bay

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.