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Holywell
VS Scheduled Wales 26/27 Cymru Premier · Matchday 16
Airbus

Head-to-head overview

1 meetings
HolywellWins
0
Draws0.0% of meetings
0
AirbusWins
1
Goals per match
8.00
Over 2.5 goals
100.0%
Both teams scored
100.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-08-31 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Airbus6–2Holywell
Recent matches

Holywell

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Holywell1–1Briton Ferry
2026-09-18 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Haverfordwest1–0Holywell
2026-09-15 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Holywell0–5Colwyn Bay
2026-09-11 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Cambrian2–1Holywell
2026-09-04 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Holywell1–1Trefelin
2026-08-31 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Airbus6–2Holywell
2026-08-28 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Holywell3–5Caernarfon
2026-08-21 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Holywell1–3Barry Town

Airbus

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Penybont2–1Airbus
2026-09-18 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Airbus4–1Flint Town Utd
2026-09-15 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Connah's Quay3–0Airbus
2026-09-11 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Airbus0–2TNS
2026-09-04 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Briton Ferry0–2Airbus
2026-08-31 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Airbus6–2Holywell
2026-08-28 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Barry Town4–2Airbus
2026-08-21 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Colwyn Bay1–0Airbus
Holywell Airbus

Wins

0%
38%

Over 2.5 goals

62%
62%

Both teams scored

75%
50%

Clean sheets

0%
12%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Holywell

Home · Cymru Premier
HomeAway1st goal
16 Holywell TNS 1
16 Holywell Penybont 2
16 Holywell 1–3 Connah's Quay 3 28′ Away
16 Holywell 3–5 Caernarfon 4 12′ Away
16 Holywell 0–5 Colwyn Bay 5 9′ Away
16 Holywell 1–3 Barry Town 6 15′ Home
16 Holywell Cambrian 7
16 Holywell Llandudno 8
16 Holywell Cardiff MU 9
16 Holywell Airbus 10
16 Holywell Haverfordwest 11
16 Holywell 1–1 Briton Ferry 12 30′ Home
16 Holywell Flint Town Utd 13
16 Holywell 1–1 Trefelin 14 60′ Away
16 Holywell Ammanford 15
16 · Holywell

Airbus

Away · Cymru Premier
HomeAway1st goal
1 TNS Airbus 10
2 Penybont 2–1 Airbus 10 —
3 Connah's Quay 3–0 Airbus 10 58′ Home
4 Caernarfon Airbus 10
5 Colwyn Bay 1–0 Airbus 10 39′ Home
6 Barry Town 4–2 Airbus 10 29′ Home
7 Cambrian Airbus 10
8 Llandudno Airbus 10
9 Cardiff MU Airbus 10
10 · Airbus
11 Haverfordwest 0–1 Airbus 10 85′ Away
12 Briton Ferry 0–2 Airbus 10 20′ Away
13 Flint Town Utd Airbus 10
14 Trefelin Airbus 10
15 Ammanford Airbus 10
16 Holywell Airbus 10
Holywell Home Airbus Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Cymru Premier · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Holywell

11 matches
Goals & resultsHome6 matchesAway5 matchesOverall11 matches
Points / match0.330.000.18
Draws33.3%0.0%18.2%
Goals scored / match1.171.001.09
Goals conceded / match3.003.603.27
Total goals / match4.174.604.36
Failed to score16.7%20.0%18.2%
Under 2.5 goals33.3%20.0%27.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 2 50%
Scores first → wins 0 of 2 0%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 4 0%

Scoring order known: 6/6 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1512
16–3012
31–4528
46–6012
61–7513
76–9011

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Airbus

11 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway6 matchesOverall11 matches
Points / match1.801.001.36
Draws0.0%0.0%0.0%
Goals scored / match2.401.001.64
Goals conceded / match1.401.671.55
Total goals / match3.802.673.18
Failed to score40.0%33.3%36.4%
Under 2.5 goals60.0%50.0%54.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 2 of 3 67%
Scores first → wins 2 of 3 67%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 3 0%

Scoring order known: 6/6 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelHolywellDraw AirbusHow it works
Strength (Elo) 35.5% 16.8% 47.7% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 5.8% 9.5% 70.3% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.92–3.51 Model expected goals
67.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals
49.6% Both teams to score
0-3 Most likely score, at 8.6%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-38.6%
1-37.9%
0-47.5%
0-27.4%
1-46.9%
1-26.8%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureHolywellAirbus How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1384 1495 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -100 -17 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1491 1508 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Holywell 0.550.55 1.911.36
Airbus 0.820.82 0.551.00

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Holywell 0%9%18%9%64%
Airbus 0%18%36%18%27%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.33 Holywell at home, 6 matches
1.00 Airbus away, 6 matches
41d Days of rest for Holywell
41d Days of rest for Airbus
— Manager of Holywell
— Manager of Airbus
0 Matches for Holywell in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Airbus in the last 14 days
29 Points for Holywell behind the leaders, and -3 above the relegation zone
16 Points for Airbus behind the leaders, and 10 above the relegation zone
3.37 League goals per match
17.2% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Holywell, the right bar represents Airbus.

On the ball

20 matches
2.89
corners
3.67
9.0
fouls
9.0
3.57
yellow cards
2.0

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Holywell DLLLDLLLLL 0.20 1.10–3.00 1D
Airbus LWLLWWLLWL 1.20 1.70–1.70 1L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Holywell1 37 01
Airbus5 24 01
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Holywell

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Airbus

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.