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Cardiff MU
VS Scheduled Wales 26/27 Cymru Premier · Matchday 17
Ammanford

Head-to-head overview

1 meetings
Cardiff MUWins
1
Draws0.0% of meetings
0
AmmanfordWins
0
Goals per match
5.00
Over 2.5 goals
100.0%
Both teams scored
0.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-08-31 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Ammanford0–5Cardiff MU
Recent matches

Cardiff MU

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Cardiff MU2–2Caernarfon
2026-09-18 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Connah's Quay1–0Cardiff MU
2026-09-11 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Flint Town Utd1–1Cardiff MU
2026-09-04 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Cardiff MU2–2Cambrian
2026-08-31 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Ammanford0–5Cardiff MU
2026-08-28 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Cardiff MU3–0Briton Ferry
2026-08-21 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Cardiff MU0–5TNS
2026-08-15 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Barry Town1–0Cardiff MU

Ammanford

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Flint Town Utd3–0Ammanford
2026-09-18 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Ammanford1–5Penybont
2026-09-15 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Barry Town2–2Ammanford
2026-09-11 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Ammanford0–5Caernarfon
2026-09-04 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Llandudno2–0Ammanford
2026-08-31 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Ammanford0–5Cardiff MU
2026-08-28 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Trefelin1–1Ammanford
2026-08-22 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Ammanford0–2Connah's Quay
Cardiff MU Ammanford

Wins

25%
0%

Over 2.5 goals

62%
62%

Both teams scored

38%
38%

Clean sheets

25%
0%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Cardiff MU

Home · Cymru Premier
HomeAway1st goal
9 Cardiff MU 0–5 TNS 1 45+6′ Away
9 Cardiff MU Penybont 2
9 Cardiff MU Connah's Quay 3
9 Cardiff MU 2–2 Caernarfon 4 12′ Home
9 Cardiff MU Colwyn Bay 5
9 Cardiff MU Barry Town 6
9 Cardiff MU 2–2 Cambrian 7 45+1′ Home
9 Cardiff MU Llandudno 8
9 · Cardiff MU
9 Cardiff MU Airbus 10
9 Cardiff MU Haverfordwest 11
9 Cardiff MU 3–0 Briton Ferry 12 16′ Home
9 Cardiff MU Flint Town Utd 13
9 Cardiff MU Trefelin 14
9 Cardiff MU Ammanford 15
9 Cardiff MU 6–1 Holywell 16 8′ Home

Ammanford

Away · Cymru Premier
HomeAway1st goal
1 TNS Ammanford 15
2 Penybont Ammanford 15
3 Connah's Quay Ammanford 15
4 Caernarfon Ammanford 15
5 Colwyn Bay Ammanford 15
6 Barry Town 2–2 Ammanford 15 16′ Home
7 Cambrian Ammanford 15
8 Llandudno 2–0 Ammanford 15 —
9 Cardiff MU Ammanford 15
10 Airbus 2–0 Ammanford 15 —
11 Haverfordwest Ammanford 15
12 Briton Ferry 2–1 Ammanford 15 12′ Away
13 Flint Town Utd 3–0 Ammanford 15 —
14 Trefelin 1–1 Ammanford 15 36′ Away
15 · Ammanford
16 Holywell Ammanford 15
Cardiff MU Home Ammanford Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Cymru Premier · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Cardiff MU

10 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway5 matchesOverall10 matches
Points / match1.601.401.50
Draws40.0%20.0%30.0%
Goals scored / match2.601.602.10
Goals conceded / match2.000.601.30
Total goals / match4.602.203.40
Failed to score20.0%40.0%30.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%80.0%40.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 4 of 4 100%
Scores first → wins 2 of 4 50%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1530
16–3020
31–4511
46–6013
61–7532
76–9034

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Ammanford

11 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway6 matchesOverall11 matches
Points / match0.200.330.27
Draws20.0%33.3%27.3%
Goals scored / match0.600.670.64
Goals conceded / match3.802.002.82
Total goals / match4.402.673.45
Failed to score60.0%50.0%54.5%
Under 2.5 goals20.0%50.0%36.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 2 50%
Scores first → wins 0 of 2 0%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 4 0%

Scoring order known: 6/6 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelCardiff MUDraw AmmanfordHow it works
Strength (Elo) 66.1% 11.9% 21.9% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 76.1% 9.1% 4.0% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
3.22–0.61 Model expected goals
62.8% Probability of over 2.5 goals
39.0% Both teams to score
3-0 Most likely score, at 12.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
3-012.1%
2-011.2%
4-09.7%
3-17.4%
1-07.0%
2-16.9%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureCardiff MUAmmanford How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1526 1394 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 9 -98 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1511 1510 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Cardiff MU 0.901.20 0.201.10
Ammanford 0.180.45 1.361.45

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Cardiff MU 0%20%20%10%50%
Ammanford 0%0%36%18%46%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.60 Cardiff MU at home, 5 matches
0.33 Ammanford away, 6 matches
55d Days of rest for Cardiff MU
55d Days of rest for Ammanford
— Manager of Cardiff MU
— Manager of Ammanford
0 Matches for Cardiff MU in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Ammanford in the last 14 days
16 Points for Cardiff MU behind the leaders, and 10 above the relegation zone
28 Points for Ammanford behind the leaders, and -2 above the relegation zone
3.37 League goals per match
17.2% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Cardiff MU, the right bar represents Ammanford.

On the ball

20 matches
5.22
corners
2.6
6.17
fouls
10.0
2.0
yellow cards
1.83

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Cardiff MU DLDDWWLLWW 1.50 2.10–1.30 1D
Ammanford LLDLLLDLLD 0.30 0.60–2.90 2L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Cardiff MU6 22 02
Ammanford1 28 01
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Cardiff MU

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Ammanford

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.