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Airbus
VS Scheduled Wales 26/27 Cymru Premier · Matchday 17
Colwyn Bay

Head-to-head overview

1 meetings
AirbusWins
0
Draws0.0% of meetings
0
Colwyn BayWins
1
Goals per match
1.00
Over 2.5 goals
0.0%
Both teams scored
0.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-08-21 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Colwyn Bay1–0Airbus
Recent matches

Airbus

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Penybont2–1Airbus
2026-09-18 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Airbus4–1Flint Town Utd
2026-09-15 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Connah's Quay3–0Airbus
2026-09-11 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Airbus0–2TNS
2026-09-04 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Briton Ferry0–2Airbus
2026-08-31 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Airbus6–2Holywell
2026-08-28 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Barry Town4–2Airbus
2026-08-21 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Colwyn Bay1–0Airbus

Colwyn Bay

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Colwyn Bay1–0Haverfordwest
2026-09-18 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Colwyn Bay5–2Barry Town
2026-09-15 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Holywell0–5Colwyn Bay
2026-09-12 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Colwyn Bay2–1Connah's Quay
2026-09-05 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Penybont1–0Colwyn Bay
2026-08-31 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Colwyn Bay2–0Llandudno
2026-08-28 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 TNS5–1Colwyn Bay
2026-08-21 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Colwyn Bay1–0Airbus
Airbus Colwyn Bay

Wins

38%
75%

Over 2.5 goals

62%
50%

Both teams scored

50%
38%

Clean sheets

12%
50%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Airbus

Home · Cymru Premier
HomeAway1st goal
10 Airbus 0–2 TNS 1 30′ Away
10 Airbus Penybont 2
10 Airbus Connah's Quay 3
10 Airbus Caernarfon 4
10 Airbus Colwyn Bay 5
10 Airbus Barry Town 6
10 Airbus Cambrian 7
10 Airbus Llandudno 8
10 Airbus 0–2 Cardiff MU 9 22′ Away
10 · Airbus
10 Airbus Haverfordwest 11
10 Airbus Briton Ferry 12
10 Airbus 4–1 Flint Town Utd 13 2′ Home
10 Airbus Trefelin 14
10 Airbus 2–0 Ammanford 15 —
10 Airbus 6–2 Holywell 16 15′ Home

Colwyn Bay

Away · Cymru Premier
HomeAway1st goal
1 TNS 5–1 Colwyn Bay 5 26′ Home
2 Penybont 1–0 Colwyn Bay 5 28′ Home
3 Connah's Quay Colwyn Bay 5
4 Caernarfon 3–0 Colwyn Bay 5 27′ Home
5 · Colwyn Bay
6 Barry Town Colwyn Bay 5
7 Cambrian Colwyn Bay 5
8 Llandudno Colwyn Bay 5
9 Cardiff MU Colwyn Bay 5
10 Airbus Colwyn Bay 5
11 Haverfordwest Colwyn Bay 5
12 Briton Ferry Colwyn Bay 5
13 Flint Town Utd Colwyn Bay 5
14 Trefelin Colwyn Bay 5
15 Ammanford 2–2 Colwyn Bay 5 19′ Away
16 Holywell 0–5 Colwyn Bay 5 9′ Away
Airbus Home Colwyn Bay Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Cymru Premier · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Airbus

11 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway6 matchesOverall11 matches
Points / match1.801.001.36
Draws0.0%0.0%0.0%
Goals scored / match2.401.001.64
Goals conceded / match1.401.671.55
Total goals / match3.802.673.18
Failed to score40.0%33.3%36.4%
Under 2.5 goals60.0%50.0%54.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 3 of 3 100%
Scores first → wins 3 of 3 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 2 0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Colwyn Bay

11 matches
Goals & resultsHome6 matchesAway5 matchesOverall11 matches
Points / match3.000.802.00
Draws0.0%20.0%9.1%
Goals scored / match2.171.601.91
Goals conceded / match0.502.201.27
Total goals / match2.673.803.18
Failed to score0.0%40.0%18.2%
Under 2.5 goals66.7%20.0%45.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 2 of 2 100%
Scores first → wins 1 of 2 50%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 3 0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1510
16–3033
31–4532
46–6003
61–7512
76–9001

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelAirbusDraw Colwyn BayHow it works
Strength (Elo) 41.9% 17.2% 40.8% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 21.8% 22.0% 54.6% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.13–1.94 Model expected goals
57.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals
56.9% Both teams to score
1-1 Most likely score, at 10.2%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-110.2%
1-29.9%
0-19.0%
0-28.7%
1-36.4%
2-15.8%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureAirbusColwyn Bay How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1495 1550 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -17 38 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1508 1510 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Airbus 0.820.82 0.551.00
Colwyn Bay 1.090.82 0.730.55

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Airbus 0%18%36%18%27%
Colwyn Bay 0%27%18%18%36%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.80 Airbus at home, 5 matches
0.80 Colwyn Bay away, 5 matches
55d Days of rest for Airbus
55d Days of rest for Colwyn Bay
— Manager of Airbus
— Manager of Colwyn Bay
0 Matches for Airbus in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Colwyn Bay in the last 14 days
16 Points for Airbus behind the leaders, and 10 above the relegation zone
9 Points for Colwyn Bay behind the leaders, and 17 above the relegation zone
3.37 League goals per match
17.2% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Airbus, the right bar represents Colwyn Bay.

On the ball

20 matches
3.67
corners
4.9
9.0
fouls
10.0
2.0
yellow cards
3.33

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Airbus LWLLWWLLWL 1.20 1.70–1.70 1L
Colwyn Bay WWWWLWLWLD 1.90 1.90–1.40 4W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Airbus5 24 01
Colwyn Bay5 15 21
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Airbus

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Colwyn Bay

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.