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TNS
VS Scheduled Wales 26/27 Cymru Premier · Matchday 17
Trefelin

Head-to-head overview

1 meetings
TNSWins
1
Draws0.0% of meetings
0
TrefelinWins
0
Goals per match
4.00
Over 2.5 goals
100.0%
Both teams scored
100.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Trefelin1–3TNS
Recent matches

TNS

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Trefelin1–3TNS
2026-09-19 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 TNS2–1Llandudno
2026-09-15 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 TNS5–0Flint Town Utd
2026-09-11 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Airbus0–2TNS
2026-09-05 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 TNS1–0Barry Town
2026-08-31 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Caernarfon2–3TNS
2026-08-28 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 TNS5–1Colwyn Bay
2026-08-21 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Cardiff MU0–5TNS

Trefelin

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Trefelin1–3TNS
2026-09-18 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Briton Ferry1–1Trefelin
2026-09-15 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Trefelin0–4Cambrian
2026-09-11 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Trefelin0–1Penybont
2026-09-04 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Holywell1–1Trefelin
2026-08-31 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Haverfordwest2–1Trefelin
2026-08-28 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Trefelin1–1Ammanford
2026-08-21 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Trefelin0–2Caernarfon
TNS Trefelin

Wins

100%
0%

Over 2.5 goals

75%
38%

Both teams scored

50%
62%

Clean sheets

50%
0%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

TNS

Home · Cymru Premier
HomeAway1st goal
1 · TNS
1 TNS Penybont 2
1 TNS Connah's Quay 3
1 TNS Caernarfon 4
1 TNS 5–1 Colwyn Bay 5 26′ Home
1 TNS 1–0 Barry Town 6 88′ Home
1 TNS Cambrian 7
1 TNS 2–1 Llandudno 8 45+1′ Away
1 TNS Cardiff MU 9
1 TNS Airbus 10
1 TNS 2–0 Haverfordwest 11 45+3′ Home
1 TNS 1–0 Briton Ferry 12 61′ Home
1 TNS 5–0 Flint Town Utd 13 17′ Home
1 TNS Trefelin 14
1 TNS Ammanford 15
1 TNS Holywell 16

Trefelin

Away · Cymru Premier
HomeAway1st goal
1 TNS Trefelin 14
2 Penybont Trefelin 14
3 Connah's Quay 6–0 Trefelin 14 14′ Home
4 Caernarfon Trefelin 14
5 Colwyn Bay 2–0 Trefelin 14 2′ Home
6 Barry Town Trefelin 14
7 Cambrian Trefelin 14
8 Llandudno Trefelin 14
9 Cardiff MU Trefelin 14
10 Airbus Trefelin 14
11 Haverfordwest 2–1 Trefelin 14 58′ Home
12 Briton Ferry 1–1 Trefelin 14 44′ Home
13 Flint Town Utd Trefelin 14
14 · Trefelin
15 Ammanford Trefelin 14
16 Holywell 1–1 Trefelin 14 60′ Away
TNS Home Trefelin Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Cymru Premier · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

TNS

11 matches
Goals & resultsHome6 matchesAway5 matchesOverall11 matches
Points / match3.002.602.82
Draws0.0%20.0%9.1%
Goals scored / match2.672.602.64
Goals conceded / match0.330.600.45
Total goals / match3.003.203.09
Failed to score0.0%20.0%9.1%
Under 2.5 goals50.0%40.0%45.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 3 of 5 60%
Scores first → wins 5 of 5 100%
Concedes first → wins 1 of 1 100%

Scoring order known: 6/6 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1500
16–3030
31–4541
46–6020
61–7521
76–9050

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Trefelin

11 matches
Goals & resultsHome6 matchesAway5 matchesOverall11 matches
Points / match0.170.400.27
Draws16.7%40.0%27.3%
Goals scored / match0.330.600.45
Goals conceded / match2.502.402.45
Total goals / match2.833.002.91
Failed to score66.7%40.0%54.5%
Under 2.5 goals50.0%60.0%54.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 1 0%
Scores first → wins 0 of 1 0%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 4 0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1502
16–3001
31–4502
46–6014
61–7510
76–9013

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelTNSDraw TrefelinHow it works
Strength (Elo) 77.0% 7.8% 15.2% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 74.9% 7.4% 3.2% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
3.52–0.61 Model expected goals
63.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals
37.8% Both teams to score
3-0 Most likely score, at 11.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
3-011.7%
4-010.3%
2-010.0%
5-07.2%
3-17.1%
4-16.3%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureTNSTrefelin How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1618 1397 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 116 -91 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1503 1495 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
TNS 1.271.36 0.270.18
Trefelin 0.090.36 1.361.09

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
TNS 9%18%18%9%46%
Trefelin 0%9%46%9%36%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

3.00 TNS at home, 6 matches
0.40 Trefelin away, 5 matches
55d Days of rest for TNS
55d Days of rest for Trefelin
— Manager of TNS
— Manager of Trefelin
0 Matches for TNS in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Trefelin in the last 14 days
0 Points for TNS behind the leaders, and 26 above the relegation zone
28 Points for Trefelin behind the leaders, and -2 above the relegation zone
3.37 League goals per match
17.2% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents TNS, the right bar represents Trefelin.

On the ball

20 matches
7.0
corners
3.36
6.25
fouls
12.5
1.6
yellow cards
2.2

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
TNS WWWWWWWWWW 3.00 2.90–0.50 10W
Trefelin LDLLDLDLLL 0.30 0.50–2.50 1L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
TNS7 31 10
Trefelin0 38 00
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

TNS

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Trefelin

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.