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Trefelin
VS Scheduled Wales 26/27 Cymru Premier · Matchday 25
Haverfordwest

Head-to-head overview

1 meetings
TrefelinWins
0
Draws0.0% of meetings
0
HaverfordwestWins
1
Goals per match
3.00
Over 2.5 goals
100.0%
Both teams scored
100.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-08-31 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Haverfordwest2–1Trefelin
Recent matches

Trefelin

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Trefelin1–3TNS
2026-09-18 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Briton Ferry1–1Trefelin
2026-09-15 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Trefelin0–4Cambrian
2026-09-11 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Trefelin0–1Penybont
2026-09-04 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Holywell1–1Trefelin
2026-08-31 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Haverfordwest2–1Trefelin
2026-08-28 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Trefelin1–1Ammanford
2026-08-21 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Trefelin0–2Caernarfon

Haverfordwest

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Colwyn Bay1–0Haverfordwest
2026-09-18 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Haverfordwest1–0Holywell
2026-09-11 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Haverfordwest3–1Briton Ferry
2026-09-04 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Connah's Quay1–1Haverfordwest
2026-08-31 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Haverfordwest2–1Trefelin
2026-08-28 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Llandudno2–0Haverfordwest
2026-08-21 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Haverfordwest0–3Cambrian
2026-08-14 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Haverfordwest0–3Penybont
Trefelin Haverfordwest

Wins

0%
38%

Over 2.5 goals

38%
50%

Both teams scored

62%
38%

Clean sheets

0%
12%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Trefelin

Home · Cymru Premier
HomeAway1st goal
14 Trefelin 1–3 TNS 1 7′ Away
14 Trefelin 0–1 Penybont 2 70′ Away
14 Trefelin Connah's Quay 3
14 Trefelin 0–2 Caernarfon 4 8′ Away
14 Trefelin Colwyn Bay 5
14 Trefelin Barry Town 6
14 Trefelin 0–4 Cambrian 7 26′ Away
14 Trefelin 0–4 Llandudno 8 23′ Away
14 Trefelin Cardiff MU 9
14 Trefelin Airbus 10
14 Trefelin Haverfordwest 11
14 Trefelin Briton Ferry 12
14 Trefelin Flint Town Utd 13
14 · Trefelin
14 Trefelin 1–1 Ammanford 15 36′ Away
14 Trefelin Holywell 16

Haverfordwest

Away · Cymru Premier
Trefelin Home Haverfordwest Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Cymru Premier · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Trefelin

11 matches
Goals & resultsHome6 matchesAway5 matchesOverall11 matches
Points / match0.170.400.27
Draws16.7%40.0%27.3%
Goals scored / match0.330.600.45
Goals conceded / match2.502.402.45
Total goals / match2.833.002.91
Failed to score66.7%40.0%54.5%
Under 2.5 goals50.0%60.0%54.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 0 —
Scores first → wins 0 of 0 —
Concedes first → wins 0 of 6 0%

Scoring order known: 6/6 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1503
16–3002
31–4515
46–6001
61–7503
76–9011

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Haverfordwest

10 matches
Goals & resultsHome6 matchesAway4 matchesOverall10 matches
Points / match1.500.251.00
Draws0.0%25.0%10.0%
Goals scored / match1.000.250.70
Goals conceded / match1.501.501.50
Total goals / match2.501.752.20
Failed to score50.0%75.0%60.0%
Under 2.5 goals33.3%100.0%60.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 1 0%
Scores first → wins 0 of 1 0%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 3 0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1500
16–3000
31–4501
46–6011
61–7502
76–9002

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelTrefelinDraw HaverfordwestHow it works
Strength (Elo) 41.3% 17.2% 41.4% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 23.9% 31.4% 44.5% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.74–1.12 Model expected goals
28.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals
35.1% Both teams to score
0-1 Most likely score, at 17.5%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-117.5%
0-015.6%
1-112.9%
1-011.5%
0-29.8%
1-27.2%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureTrefelinHaverfordwest How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1397 1457 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -91 -31 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1495 1493 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Trefelin 0.090.36 1.361.09
Haverfordwest 0.100.60 0.301.20

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Trefelin 0%9%46%9%36%
Haverfordwest 0%30%30%30%10%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.17 Trefelin at home, 6 matches
0.25 Haverfordwest away, 4 matches
139d Days of rest for Trefelin
139d Days of rest for Haverfordwest
— Manager of Trefelin
— Manager of Haverfordwest
0 Matches for Trefelin in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Haverfordwest in the last 14 days
28 Points for Trefelin behind the leaders, and -2 above the relegation zone
21 Points for Haverfordwest behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone
3.37 League goals per match
17.2% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Trefelin, the right bar represents Haverfordwest.

On the ball

20 matches
3.36
corners
2.5
12.5
fouls
4.0
2.2
yellow cards
2.0

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Trefelin LDLLDLDLLL 0.30 0.50–2.50 1L
Haverfordwest LWWDWLLLLL 1.00 0.70–1.50 1L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Trefelin0 38 00
Haverfordwest1 72 00
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Trefelin

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Haverfordwest

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.