Head-to-head overview
1 meetings- Connah's QuayWins
- 0
- Draws0.0% of meetings
- 0
- Colwyn BayWins
- 1
- Goals per match
- 3.00
- Over 2.5 goals
- 100.0%
- Both teams scored
- 100.0%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
Colwyn Bay2–1Connah's Quay |
Recent matches
Connah's Quay
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 |
26/27
|
Barry Town1–4Connah's Quay |
| 2026-09-18 |
26/27
|
Connah's Quay1–0Cardiff MU |
| 2026-09-15 |
26/27
|
Connah's Quay3–0Airbus |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
Colwyn Bay2–1Connah's Quay |
| 2026-09-04 |
26/27
|
Connah's Quay1–1Haverfordwest |
| 2026-08-31 |
26/27
|
Flint Town Utd1–2Connah's Quay |
| 2026-08-28 |
26/27
|
Connah's Quay3–0Cambrian |
| 2026-08-22 |
26/27
|
Ammanford0–2Connah's Quay |
Colwyn Bay
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 |
26/27
|
Colwyn Bay1–0Haverfordwest |
| 2026-09-18 |
26/27
|
Colwyn Bay5–2Barry Town |
| 2026-09-15 |
26/27
|
Holywell0–5Colwyn Bay |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
Colwyn Bay2–1Connah's Quay |
| 2026-09-05 |
26/27
|
Penybont1–0Colwyn Bay |
| 2026-08-31 |
26/27
|
Colwyn Bay2–0Llandudno |
| 2026-08-28 |
26/27
|
TNS5–1Colwyn Bay |
| 2026-08-21 |
26/27
|
Colwyn Bay1–0Airbus |
Connah's Quay
Colwyn Bay
Wins
75%
75%
Over 2.5 goals
62%
50%
Both teams scored
50%
38%
Clean sheets
50%
50%
Home & away results
This season · 26/27
Connah's Quay
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Connah's Quay | TNS | 1 | ||
| 3 | Connah's Quay | Penybont | 2 | ||
| 3 · Connah's Quay | |||||
| 3 | Connah's Quay | 1–2 | Caernarfon | 4 | 26′ Home |
| 3 | Connah's Quay | Colwyn Bay | 5 | ||
| 3 | Connah's Quay | Barry Town | 6 | ||
| 3 | Connah's Quay | 3–0 | Cambrian | 7 | 2′ Home |
| 3 | Connah's Quay | Llandudno | 8 | ||
| 3 | Connah's Quay | 1–0 | Cardiff MU | 9 | 70′ Home |
| 3 | Connah's Quay | 3–0 | Airbus | 10 | 58′ Home |
| 3 | Connah's Quay | 1–1 | Haverfordwest | 11 | 50′ Away |
| 3 | Connah's Quay | Briton Ferry | 12 | ||
| 3 | Connah's Quay | Flint Town Utd | 13 | ||
| 3 | Connah's Quay | 6–0 | Trefelin | 14 | 14′ Home |
| 3 | Connah's Quay | Ammanford | 15 | ||
| 3 | Connah's Quay | Holywell | 16 | ||
Colwyn Bay
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TNS | 5–1 | Colwyn Bay | 5 | 26′ Home |
| 2 | Penybont | 1–0 | Colwyn Bay | 5 | 28′ Home |
| 3 | Connah's Quay | Colwyn Bay | 5 | ||
| 4 | Caernarfon | 3–0 | Colwyn Bay | 5 | 27′ Home |
| 5 · Colwyn Bay | |||||
| 6 | Barry Town | Colwyn Bay | 5 | ||
| 7 | Cambrian | Colwyn Bay | 5 | ||
| 8 | Llandudno | Colwyn Bay | 5 | ||
| 9 | Cardiff MU | Colwyn Bay | 5 | ||
| 10 | Airbus | Colwyn Bay | 5 | ||
| 11 | Haverfordwest | Colwyn Bay | 5 | ||
| 12 | Briton Ferry | Colwyn Bay | 5 | ||
| 13 | Flint Town Utd | Colwyn Bay | 5 | ||
| 14 | Trefelin | Colwyn Bay | 5 | ||
| 15 | Ammanford | 2–2 | Colwyn Bay | 5 | 19′ Away |
| 16 | Holywell | 0–5 | Colwyn Bay | 5 | 9′ Away |
Connah's Quay Home
Colwyn Bay Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
Cymru Premier · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.
Connah's Quay
| Goals & results | Home6 matches | Away5 matches | Overall11 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 2.17 | 2.40 | 2.27 |
| Draws | 16.7% | 0.0% | 9.1% |
| Goals scored / match | 2.50 | 2.40 | 2.45 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.73 |
| Total goals / match | 3.00 | 3.40 | 3.18 |
| Failed to score | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33.3% | 20.0% | 27.3% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 3 of 58 of 10 | 60%80% |
| Scores first → wins | 4 of 58 of 10 | 80%80% |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 10 of 1 | 0%0% |
Scoring order known: 6/6 home.Scoring order known: 11/11 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 2 | 0 |
| 16–30 | 2 | 0 |
| 31–45 | 1 | 0 |
| 46–60 | 4 | 2 |
| 61–75 | 2 | 1 |
| 76–90 | 4 | 0 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Colwyn Bay
| Goals & results | Home6 matches | Away5 matches | Overall11 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 3.00 | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Draws | 0.0% | 20.0% | 9.1% |
| Goals scored / match | 2.17 | 1.60 | 1.91 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.50 | 2.20 | 1.27 |
| Total goals / match | 2.67 | 3.80 | 3.18 |
| Failed to score | 0.0% | 40.0% | 18.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 66.7% | 20.0% | 45.5% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 2 of 25 of 6 | 100%83% |
| Scores first → wins | 1 of 25 of 6 | 50%83% |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 32 of 5 | 0%40% |
Scoring order known: 5/5 away.Scoring order known: 11/11 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 1 | 0 |
| 16–30 | 3 | 3 |
| 31–45 | 3 | 2 |
| 46–60 | 0 | 3 |
| 61–75 | 1 | 2 |
| 76–90 | 0 | 1 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Connah's Quay | Draw | Colwyn Bay | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 53.3% | 15.8% | 30.9% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 55.0% | 24.1% | 20.1% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
1.69–0.91
Model expected goals
47.4%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
48.3%
Both teams to score
1-0
Most likely score, at 12.5%
Most likely scores
1-012.5%
1-111.4%
2-010.6%
2-19.7%
0-07.4%
0-16.7%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Connah's Quay | Colwyn Bay | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1585 | 1550 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | 97 | 38 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1494 | 1510 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connah's Quay | 1.27 | 1.18 | 0.09 | 0.64 |
| Colwyn Bay | 1.09 | 0.82 | 0.73 | 0.55 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connah's Quay | 0% | 9% | 18% | 46% | 27% |
| Colwyn Bay | 0% | 27% | 18% | 18% | 36% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
2.17
Connah's Quay at home, 6 matches
0.80
Colwyn Bay away, 5 matches
139d
Days of rest for Connah's Quay
139d
Days of rest for Colwyn Bay
—
Manager of Connah's Quay
—
Manager of Colwyn Bay
0
Matches for Connah's Quay in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Colwyn Bay in the last 14 days
6
Points for Connah's Quay behind the leaders, and 20 above the relegation zone
9
Points for Colwyn Bay behind the leaders, and 17 above the relegation zone
3.37
League goals per match
17.2%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Connah's Quay, the right bar represents Colwyn Bay.
On the ball
6.75
4.9
corners
—
10.0
fouls
2.25
3.33
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connah's Quay | WWWLDWWWWW | 2.50 | 2.60–0.60 | 3W |
| Colwyn Bay | WWWWLWLWLD | 1.90 | 1.90–1.40 | 4W |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connah's Quay | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Colwyn Bay | 5 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Connah's Quay
No absences reported.
Colwyn Bay
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
No recent news linked to these teams.