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Caernarfon
VS Scheduled Wales 26/27 Cymru Premier · Matchday 28
Llandudno

Head-to-head overview

1 meetings
CaernarfonWins
0
Draws100.0% of meetings
1
LlandudnoWins
0
Goals per match
2.00
Over 2.5 goals
0.0%
Both teams scored
100.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-15 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Llandudno1–1Caernarfon
Recent matches

Caernarfon

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Cardiff MU2–2Caernarfon
2026-09-18 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Caernarfon9–1Cambrian
2026-09-15 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Llandudno1–1Caernarfon
2026-09-11 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Ammanford0–5Caernarfon
2026-09-04 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Caernarfon3–0Flint Town Utd
2026-08-31 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Caernarfon2–3TNS
2026-08-28 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Holywell3–5Caernarfon
2026-08-21 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Trefelin0–2Caernarfon

Llandudno

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Cambrian4–3Llandudno
2026-09-19 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 TNS2–1Llandudno
2026-09-15 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Llandudno1–1Caernarfon
2026-09-11 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Barry Town4–1Llandudno
2026-09-04 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Llandudno2–0Ammanford
2026-08-31 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Colwyn Bay2–0Llandudno
2026-08-28 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Llandudno2–0Haverfordwest
2026-08-21 Wales, Cymru Premier 26/27 Penybont2–1Llandudno
Caernarfon Llandudno

Wins

62%
25%

Over 2.5 goals

75%
50%

Both teams scored

62%
62%

Clean sheets

38%
25%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Caernarfon

Home · Cymru Premier
HomeAway1st goal
4 Caernarfon 2–3 TNS 1 14′ Away
4 Caernarfon 1–2 Penybont 2 5′ Home
4 Caernarfon Connah's Quay 3
4 · Caernarfon
4 Caernarfon 3–0 Colwyn Bay 5 27′ Home
4 Caernarfon Barry Town 6
4 Caernarfon 9–1 Cambrian 7 16′ Away
4 Caernarfon Llandudno 8
4 Caernarfon Cardiff MU 9
4 Caernarfon Airbus 10
4 Caernarfon Haverfordwest 11
4 Caernarfon Briton Ferry 12
4 Caernarfon 3–0 Flint Town Utd 13 45′ Home
4 Caernarfon Trefelin 14
4 Caernarfon Ammanford 15
4 Caernarfon Holywell 16

Llandudno

Away · Cymru Premier
HomeAway1st goal
1 TNS 2–1 Llandudno 8 45+1′ Away
2 Penybont 2–1 Llandudno 8 —
3 Connah's Quay Llandudno 8
4 Caernarfon Llandudno 8
5 Colwyn Bay 2–0 Llandudno 8 39′ Home
6 Barry Town 4–1 Llandudno 8 5′ Home
7 Cambrian 4–3 Llandudno 8 9′ Home
8 · Llandudno
9 Cardiff MU Llandudno 8
10 Airbus Llandudno 8
11 Haverfordwest Llandudno 8
12 Briton Ferry Llandudno 8
13 Flint Town Utd Llandudno 8
14 Trefelin 0–4 Llandudno 8 23′ Away
15 Ammanford Llandudno 8
16 Holywell Llandudno 8
Caernarfon Home Llandudno Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Cymru Premier · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Caernarfon

11 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway6 matchesOverall11 matches
Points / match1.802.332.09
Draws0.0%33.3%18.2%
Goals scored / match3.602.833.18
Goals conceded / match1.201.171.18
Total goals / match4.804.004.36
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%33.3%18.2%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 2 of 3 67%
Scores first → wins 2 of 3 67%
Concedes first → wins 1 of 2 50%

Scoring order known: 5/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1511
16–3033
31–4531
46–6030
61–7561
76–9020

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Llandudno

11 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway6 matchesOverall11 matches
Points / match2.600.501.45
Draws20.0%0.0%9.1%
Goals scored / match2.201.671.91
Goals conceded / match0.802.331.64
Total goals / match3.004.003.55
Failed to score0.0%16.7%9.1%
Under 2.5 goals60.0%16.7%36.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 2 of 2 100%
Scores first → wins 1 of 2 50%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 4 0%

Scoring order known: 6/6 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelCaernarfonDraw LlandudnoHow it works
Strength (Elo) 58.4% 14.5% 27.2% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 59.0% 16.4% 17.4% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
2.84–1.47 Model expected goals
73.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals
67.0% Both teams to score
2-1 Most likely score, at 8.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
2-18.0%
3-17.5%
2-25.9%
1-15.6%
3-25.5%
2-05.4%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureCaernarfonLlandudno How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1579 1506 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 67 -2 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1494 1509 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Caernarfon 1.361.82 0.730.45
Llandudno 0.731.18 1.000.64

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Caernarfon 0%0%18%36%46%
Llandudno 0%0%36%18%46%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.80 Caernarfon at home, 5 matches
0.50 Llandudno away, 6 matches
167d Days of rest for Caernarfon
167d Days of rest for Llandudno
— Manager of Caernarfon
— Manager of Llandudno
0 Matches for Caernarfon in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Llandudno in the last 14 days
8 Points for Caernarfon behind the leaders, and 18 above the relegation zone
15 Points for Llandudno behind the leaders, and 11 above the relegation zone
3.37 League goals per match
17.2% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Caernarfon, the right bar represents Llandudno.

On the ball

20 matches
6.67
corners
4.7
6.0
fouls
17.0
3.17
yellow cards
2.9

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Caernarfon DWDWWLWWWL 2.00 3.30–1.20 1D
Llandudno LLDLWLWLWW 1.30 1.80–1.60 2L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Caernarfon7 04 11
Llandudno3 26 11
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Caernarfon

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Llandudno

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.