Head-to-head overview
1 meetings- Black BullsWins
- 1
- Draws0.0% of meetings
- 0
- Ferro NacalaWins
- 0
- Goals per match
- 1.00
- Over 2.5 goals
- 0.0%
- Both teams scored
- 0.0%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 |
2026
|
Ferro Nacala0–1Black Bulls |
Recent matches
Black Bulls
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 |
2026
|
Ferro Beira0–2Black Bulls |
| 2026-09-02 |
2026
|
Black Bulls2–1Chingale |
| 2026-08-26 |
2026
|
Costa do Sol3–0Black Bulls |
| 2026-08-21 |
2026
|
Black Bulls2–0Maxaquene |
| 2026-08-17 |
2026
|
Ferro Nacala0–1Black Bulls |
| 2026-08-14 |
2026
|
Ferro Nampula1–3Black Bulls |
| 2026-08-09 |
2026
|
Black Bulls1–0Baía de Pemba |
| 2026-08-05 |
2026
|
Black Bulls2–0AD Pemba |
Ferro Nacala
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 |
2026
|
Ferroviário0–0Ferro Nacala |
| 2026-09-02 |
2026
|
Ferro Nacala1–0Vilankulo |
| 2026-08-25 |
2026
|
Baía de Pemba1–0Ferro Nacala |
| 2026-08-21 |
2026
|
AD Pemba1–0Ferro Nacala |
| 2026-08-17 |
2026
|
Ferro Nacala0–1Black Bulls |
| 2026-08-14 |
2026
|
Ferro Nacala1–0Ferro Maputo |
| 2026-08-10 |
2026
|
Maxaquene1–0Ferro Nacala |
| 2026-08-05 |
2026
|
Costa do Sol3–0Ferro Nacala |
Black Bulls
Ferro Nacala
Wins
88%
25%
Over 2.5 goals
38%
12%
Both teams scored
25%
0%
Clean sheets
62%
38%
Home & away results
This season · 2026
Black Bulls
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 · Black Bulls | |||||
| 1 | Black Bulls | 0–0 | Costa do Sol | 2 | – |
| 1 | Black Bulls | 0–0 | Ferro Beira | 3 | – |
| 1 | Black Bulls | 1–0 | Ferroviário | 4 | 14′ Home |
| 1 | Black Bulls | Ferro Nampula | 5 | ||
| 1 | Black Bulls | Ferro Maputo | 6 | ||
| 1 | Black Bulls | Ferro Nacala | 7 | ||
| 1 | Black Bulls | 1–0 | Baía de Pemba | 8 | 20′ Home |
| 1 | Black Bulls | 2–0 | AD Pemba | 9 | 31′ Home |
| 1 | Black Bulls | Vilankulo | 10 | ||
| 1 | Black Bulls | 2–1 | Chingale | 11 | 17′ Home |
| 1 | Black Bulls | 2–0 | Maxaquene | 12 | 5′ Home |
Ferro Nacala
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Black Bulls | Ferro Nacala | 7 | ||
| 2 | Costa do Sol | 3–0 | Ferro Nacala | 7 | — |
| 3 | Ferro Beira | 2–0 | Ferro Nacala | 7 | 26′ Home |
| 4 | Ferroviário | 0–0 | Ferro Nacala | 7 | – |
| 5 | Ferro Nampula | 1–3 | Ferro Nacala | 7 | 13′ Away |
| 6 | Ferro Maputo | Ferro Nacala | 7 | ||
| 7 · Ferro Nacala | |||||
| 8 | Baía de Pemba | 1–0 | Ferro Nacala | 7 | 56′ Home |
| 9 | AD Pemba | 1–0 | Ferro Nacala | 7 | 14′ Home |
| 10 | Vilankulo | 1–1 | Ferro Nacala | 7 | 51′ Home |
| 11 | Chingale | Ferro Nacala | 7 | ||
| 12 | Maxaquene | 1–0 | Ferro Nacala | 7 | 17′ Home |
Black Bulls Home
Ferro Nacala Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
Moçambola · 2026 · Completed league matches only.
Black Bulls
| Goals & results | Home7 matches | Away8 matches | Overall15 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 2.43 | 2.12 | 2.27 |
| Draws | 28.6% | 25.0% | 26.7% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.14 | 1.38 | 1.27 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.14 | 0.62 | 0.40 |
| Total goals / match | 1.29 | 2.00 | 1.67 |
| Failed to score | 28.6% | 25.0% | 26.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 85.7% | 62.5% | 73.3% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 5 of 5— | 100%— |
| Scores first → wins | 5 of 5— | 100%— |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 0— | —— |
Scoring order known: 7/7 home.Scoring order known: 14/15 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 2 | 0 |
| 16–30 | 3 | 1 |
| 31–45 | 3 | 0 |
| 46–60 | 0 | 0 |
| 61–75 | 0 | 0 |
| 76–90 | 0 | 0 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Ferro Nacala
| Goals & results | Home7 matches | Away8 matches | Overall15 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 1.86 | 0.62 | 1.20 |
| Draws | 14.3% | 25.0% | 20.0% |
| Goals scored / match | 0.57 | 0.50 | 0.53 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.29 | 1.25 | 0.80 |
| Total goals / match | 0.86 | 1.75 | 1.33 |
| Failed to score | 42.9% | 75.0% | 60.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 100.0% | 75.0% | 86.7% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 1 of 13 of 5 | 100%60% |
| Scores first → wins | 1 of 15 of 5 | 100%100% |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 60 of 8 | 0%0% |
Scoring order known: 8/8 away.Scoring order known: 15/15 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Black Bulls | Draw | Ferro Nacala | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 58.8% | 20.0% | 21.2% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 50.6% | 36.5% | 12.8% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
0.97–0.34
Model expected goals
14.6%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
18.1%
Both teams to score
0-0
Most likely score, at 26.8%
Most likely scores
0-026.8%
1-026.1%
2-012.7%
0-19.2%
1-19.0%
2-14.4%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Black Bulls | Ferro Nacala | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1594 | 1477 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | 66 | -55 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1504 | 1500 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Black Bulls | 0.80 | 0.47 | 0.27 | 0.13 |
| Ferro Nacala | 0.29 | 0.29 | 0.43 | 0.43 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Black Bulls | 20% | 27% | 27% | 20% | 7% |
| Ferro Nacala | 13% | 60% | 13% | 7% | 7% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
2.43
Black Bulls at home, 7 matches
0.62
Ferro Nacala away, 8 matches
4d
Days of rest for Black Bulls
4d
Days of rest for Ferro Nacala
—
Manager of Black Bulls
—
Manager of Ferro Nacala
2
Matches for Black Bulls in the last 14 days
2
Matches for Ferro Nacala in the last 14 days
0
Points for Black Bulls behind the leaders, and 17 above the relegation zone
16
Points for Ferro Nacala behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone
1.66
League goals per match
27.5%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Black Bulls, the right bar represents Ferro Nacala.
On the ball
6.11
5.5
corners
5.5
—
fouls
2.0
1.5
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Black Bulls | WWLWWWWWWD | 2.50 | 1.50–0.60 | 2W |
| Ferro Nacala | DWLLLWLLLL | 0.70 | 0.20–1.00 | 1D |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Black Bulls | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Ferro Nacala | 3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Black Bulls
No absences reported.
Ferro Nacala
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
No recent news linked to these teams.