Head-to-head overview
1 meetings- Ferro MaputoWins
- 0
- Draws0.0% of meetings
- 0
- Ferro NampulaWins
- 1
- Goals per match
- 3.00
- Over 2.5 goals
- 100.0%
- Both teams scored
- 100.0%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 |
2026
|
Ferro Nampula2–1Ferro Maputo |
Recent matches
Ferro Maputo
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 |
2026
|
Ferro Beira0–1Ferro Maputo |
| 2026-08-30 |
2026
|
Ferro Maputo1–0Chingale |
| 2026-08-25 |
2026
|
Maxaquene2–2Ferro Maputo |
| 2026-08-22 |
2026
|
Ferro Maputo0–1Costa do Sol |
| 2026-08-18 |
2026
|
Ferro Nampula2–1Ferro Maputo |
| 2026-08-14 |
2026
|
Ferro Nacala1–0Ferro Maputo |
| 2026-08-09 |
2026
|
Ferro Maputo2–0AD Pemba |
| 2026-08-06 |
2026
|
Ferro Maputo0–0Baía de Pemba |
Ferro Nampula
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 |
2026
|
Ferroviário3–0Ferro Nampula |
| 2026-08-30 |
2026
|
Ferro Nampula2–1Vilankulo |
| 2026-08-26 |
2026
|
AD Pemba2–0Ferro Nampula |
| 2026-08-22 |
2026
|
Baía de Pemba0–0Ferro Nampula |
| 2026-08-18 |
2026
|
Ferro Nampula2–1Ferro Maputo |
| 2026-08-14 |
2026
|
Ferro Nampula1–3Black Bulls |
| 2026-08-11 |
2026
|
Costa do Sol0–0Ferro Nampula |
| 2026-08-07 |
2026
|
Maxaquene0–1Ferro Nampula |
Ferro Maputo
Ferro Nampula
Wins
38%
38%
Over 2.5 goals
25%
50%
Both teams scored
25%
38%
Clean sheets
50%
38%
Home & away results
This season · 2026
Ferro Maputo
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ferro Maputo | 0–1 | Black Bulls | 1 | 90′ Away |
| 6 | Ferro Maputo | 0–1 | Costa do Sol | 2 | — |
| 6 | Ferro Maputo | 0–1 | Ferro Beira | 3 | 23′ Away |
| 6 | Ferro Maputo | 2–0 | Ferroviário | 4 | 7′ Home |
| 6 | Ferro Maputo | Ferro Nampula | 5 | ||
| 6 · Ferro Maputo | |||||
| 6 | Ferro Maputo | Ferro Nacala | 7 | ||
| 6 | Ferro Maputo | 0–0 | Baía de Pemba | 8 | – |
| 6 | Ferro Maputo | 2–0 | AD Pemba | 9 | 35′ Home |
| 6 | Ferro Maputo | Vilankulo | 10 | ||
| 6 | Ferro Maputo | 1–0 | Chingale | 11 | 88′ Home |
| 6 | Ferro Maputo | 1–0 | Maxaquene | 12 | 65′ Home |
Ferro Nampula
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Black Bulls | Ferro Nampula | 5 | ||
| 2 | Costa do Sol | 0–0 | Ferro Nampula | 5 | – |
| 3 | Ferro Beira | 2–2 | Ferro Nampula | 5 | 36′ Home |
| 4 | Ferroviário | 3–0 | Ferro Nampula | 5 | 9′ Home |
| 5 · Ferro Nampula | |||||
| 6 | Ferro Maputo | Ferro Nampula | 5 | ||
| 7 | Ferro Nacala | Ferro Nampula | 5 | ||
| 8 | Baía de Pemba | 0–0 | Ferro Nampula | 5 | – |
| 9 | AD Pemba | 2–0 | Ferro Nampula | 5 | 44′ Home |
| 10 | Vilankulo | 3–0 | Ferro Nampula | 5 | 7′ Home |
| 11 | Chingale | Ferro Nampula | 5 | ||
| 12 | Maxaquene | 0–1 | Ferro Nampula | 5 | 45′ Away |
Ferro Maputo Home
Ferro Nampula Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
Moçambola · 2026 · Completed league matches only.
Ferro Maputo
| Goals & results | Home8 matches | Away7 matches | Overall15 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 1.62 | 0.86 | 1.27 |
| Draws | 12.5% | 42.9% | 26.7% |
| Goals scored / match | 0.75 | 0.57 | 0.67 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.38 | 0.86 | 0.60 |
| Total goals / match | 1.12 | 1.43 | 1.27 |
| Failed to score | 50.0% | 57.1% | 53.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 100.0% | 71.4% | 86.7% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 2 of 4— | 50%— |
| Scores first → wins | 4 of 45 of 6 | 100%83% |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 30 of 6 | 0%0% |
Scoring order known: 8/8 home.Scoring order known: 15/15 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Ferro Nampula
| Goals & results | Home8 matches | Away7 matches | Overall15 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 2.25 | 0.86 | 1.60 |
| Draws | 0.0% | 42.9% | 20.0% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.62 | 0.43 | 1.07 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.25 | 1.43 | 1.33 |
| Total goals / match | 2.88 | 1.86 | 2.40 |
| Failed to score | 0.0% | 71.4% | 33.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 25.0% | 57.1% | 40.0% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 1 of 1— | 100%— |
| Scores first → wins | 1 of 1— | 100%— |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 4— | 0%— |
Scoring order known: 7/7 away.Scoring order known: 14/15 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 0 | 2 |
| 16–30 | 0 | 0 |
| 31–45 | 1 | 4 |
| 46–60 | 1 | 0 |
| 61–75 | 1 | 2 |
| 76–90 | 0 | 2 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Ferro Maputo | Draw | Ferro Nampula | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 44.0% | 26.2% | 29.8% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 29.1% | 31.7% | 39.2% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
0.85–1.04
Model expected goals
29.4%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
37.1%
Both teams to score
0-1
Most likely score, at 15.7%
Most likely scores
0-115.7%
0-015.0%
1-113.4%
1-012.8%
0-28.2%
1-27.0%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Ferro Maputo | Ferro Nampula | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1501 | 1493 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | 21 | -1 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1499 | 1501 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferro Maputo | 0.29 | 0.36 | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| Ferro Nampula | 0.53 | 0.53 | 0.73 | 0.60 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferro Maputo | 20% | 53% | 13% | 7% | 7% |
| Ferro Nampula | 13% | 13% | 13% | 40% | 20% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
1.62
Ferro Maputo at home, 8 matches
0.86
Ferro Nampula away, 7 matches
7d
Days of rest for Ferro Maputo
7d
Days of rest for Ferro Nampula
—
Manager of Ferro Maputo
—
Manager of Ferro Nampula
2
Matches for Ferro Maputo in the last 14 days
2
Matches for Ferro Nampula in the last 14 days
15
Points for Ferro Maputo behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone
10
Points for Ferro Nampula behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone
1.66
League goals per match
27.5%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Ferro Maputo, the right bar represents Ferro Nampula.
On the ball
5.78
6.0
corners
8.33
—
fouls
1.67
2.5
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferro Maputo | WWDLLLWDWD | 1.50 | 0.90–0.60 | 2W |
| Ferro Nampula | LWLDWLDWWD | 1.50 | 1.00–1.20 | 1L |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferro Maputo | 2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Ferro Nampula | 5 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Ferro Maputo
No absences reported.
Ferro Nampula
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
No recent news linked to these teams.