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Costa do Sol
VS Scheduled Mozambique 2026 Moçambola · Matchday 15
Baía de Pemba

Head-to-head overview

1 meetings
Costa do SolWins
0
Draws0.0% of meetings
0
Baía de PembaWins
1
Goals per match
1.00
Over 2.5 goals
0.0%
Both teams scored
0.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-08-19 Mozambique, Moçambola 2026 Baía de Pemba1–0Costa do Sol
Recent matches

Costa do Sol

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-16 Mozambique, Moçambola 2026 Chingale0–1Costa do Sol
2026-08-30 Mozambique, Moçambola 2026 Costa do Sol1–2Ferro Beira
2026-08-26 Mozambique, Moçambola 2026 Costa do Sol3–0Black Bulls
2026-08-22 Mozambique, Moçambola 2026 Ferro Maputo0–1Costa do Sol
2026-08-19 Mozambique, Moçambola 2026 Baía de Pemba1–0Costa do Sol
2026-08-15 Mozambique, Moçambola 2026 AD Pemba0–2Costa do Sol
2026-08-11 Mozambique, Moçambola 2026 Costa do Sol0–0Ferro Nampula
2026-08-05 Mozambique, Moçambola 2026 Costa do Sol3–0Ferro Nacala

Baía de Pemba

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-13 Mozambique, Moçambola 2026 Vilankulo2–0Baía de Pemba
2026-09-02 Mozambique, Moçambola 2026 Baía de Pemba2–1Ferroviário
2026-08-25 Mozambique, Moçambola 2026 Baía de Pemba1–0Ferro Nacala
2026-08-22 Mozambique, Moçambola 2026 Baía de Pemba0–0Ferro Nampula
2026-08-19 Mozambique, Moçambola 2026 Baía de Pemba1–0Costa do Sol
2026-08-14 Mozambique, Moçambola 2026 Baía de Pemba0–0Maxaquene
2026-08-09 Mozambique, Moçambola 2026 Black Bulls1–0Baía de Pemba
2026-08-06 Mozambique, Moçambola 2026 Ferro Maputo0–0Baía de Pemba
Costa do Sol Baía de Pemba

Wins

62%
38%

Over 2.5 goals

38%
12%

Both teams scored

12%
12%

Clean sheets

75%
62%
Home & away results

This season · 2026

Costa do Sol

Home · Moçambola
HomeAway1st goal
2 Costa do Sol 3–0 Black Bulls 1 22′ Home
2 · Costa do Sol
2 Costa do Sol 1–2 Ferro Beira 3 47′ Away
2 Costa do Sol Ferroviário 4
2 Costa do Sol 0–0 Ferro Nampula 5 –
2 Costa do Sol 1–0 Ferro Maputo 6 82′ Home
2 Costa do Sol 3–0 Ferro Nacala 7 —
2 Costa do Sol Baía de Pemba 8
2 Costa do Sol AD Pemba 9
2 Costa do Sol 2–1 Vilankulo 10 16′ Home
2 Costa do Sol 1–0 Chingale 11 65′ Home
2 Costa do Sol Maxaquene 12

Baía de Pemba

Away · Moçambola
HomeAway1st goal
1 Black Bulls 1–0 Baía de Pemba 8 20′ Home
2 Costa do Sol Baía de Pemba 8
3 Ferro Beira Baía de Pemba 8
4 Ferroviário 1–0 Baía de Pemba 8 61′ Home
5 Ferro Nampula 1–0 Baía de Pemba 8 72′ Home
6 Ferro Maputo 0–0 Baía de Pemba 8 –
7 Ferro Nacala 1–0 Baía de Pemba 8 —
8 · Baía de Pemba
9 AD Pemba Baía de Pemba 8
10 Vilankulo 2–0 Baía de Pemba 8 22′ Home
11 Chingale 0–0 Baía de Pemba 8 –
12 Maxaquene Baía de Pemba 8
Costa do Sol Home Baía de Pemba Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Moçambola · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Costa do Sol

15 matches
Goals & resultsHome7 matchesAway8 matchesOverall15 matches
Points / match2.291.621.93
Draws14.3%12.5%13.3%
Goals scored / match1.571.121.33
Goals conceded / match0.430.620.53
Total goals / match2.001.751.87
Failed to score14.3%37.5%26.7%
Under 2.5 goals42.9%75.0%60.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 3 of 5 60%
Scores first → wins 5 of 5 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 7/7 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Baía de Pemba

15 matches
Goals & resultsHome8 matchesAway7 matchesOverall15 matches
Points / match1.880.291.13
Draws37.5%28.6%33.3%
Goals scored / match1.000.000.53
Goals conceded / match0.620.860.73
Total goals / match1.620.861.27
Failed to score37.5%100.0%66.7%
Under 2.5 goals62.5%100.0%80.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 0 —
Scores first → wins 0 of 0 —
Concedes first → wins 0 of 5 0%

Scoring order known: 7/7 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–150—
16–300—
31–450—
46–600—
61–750—
76–900—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelCosta do SolDraw Baía de PembaHow it works
Strength (Elo) 53.6% 22.6% 23.9% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 45.7% 36.8% 17.5% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.93–0.46 Model expected goals
16.3% Probability of over 2.5 goals
22.2% Both teams to score
0-0 Most likely score, at 25.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-025.0%
1-023.2%
0-111.4%
2-010.8%
1-110.6%
2-14.9%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureCosta do SolBaía de Pemba How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1564 1484 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 37 19 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1502 1504 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Costa do Sol 0.800.53 0.330.20
Baía de Pemba 0.270.27 0.330.40

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Costa do Sol 13%40%7%33%7%
Baía de Pemba 27%47%7%13%7%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.29 Costa do Sol at home, 7 matches
0.29 Baía de Pemba away, 7 matches
7d Days of rest for Costa do Sol
4d Days of rest for Baía de Pemba
— Manager of Costa do Sol
— Manager of Baía de Pemba
2 Matches for Costa do Sol in the last 14 days
2 Matches for Baía de Pemba in the last 14 days
5 Points for Costa do Sol behind the leaders, and 12 above the relegation zone
17 Points for Baía de Pemba behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
1.66 League goals per match
27.5% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Costa do Sol, the right bar represents Baía de Pemba.

On the ball

20 matches
6.0
corners
3.0
21.0
fouls
—
1.5
yellow cards
2.0

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Costa do Sol WLWWLWDWWL 1.90 1.40–0.60 1W
Baía de Pemba LWWDWDLDWD 1.60 0.60–0.50 1L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Costa do Sol6 63 00
Baía de Pemba3 93 00
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Costa do Sol

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Baía de Pemba

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.