Al-Fayha

Al-Fayha

VS Scheduled Monday 19 Oct 202616:05

Saudi Arabia 26/27 Saudi Pro League · Matchday 10

Al-Ahli

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-12	26/27	Al-Shabab0–0Al-Fayha
2026-09-08	26/27	Al-Ittihad2–1Al-Fayha
2026-09-03	26/27	Al-Fayha2–2Al-Kholood
2026-08-28	26/27	Al-Fayha3–2Abha
2026-08-25	26/27	Al-Taawoun0–0Al-Fayha
2026-08-20	26/27	Al-Fayha0–3Al-Hilal
2026-08-14	26/27	Neom SC2–1Al-Fayha

Al-Ahli

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-11	26/27	Al-Ahli3–1Al-Hazem
2026-09-08	26/27	Al-Qadsiah3–2Al-Ahli
2026-09-04	26/27	Al-Ahli5–0Al-Riyadh
2026-09-01	26/27	Al-Hilal3–0Al-Ahli
2026-08-29	26/27	Al-Kholood3–1Al-Ahli
2026-08-22	26/27	Al-Ahli4–0Abha
2026-08-13	26/27	Draih0–1Al-Ahli

Al-Fayha Al-Ahli

Wins

14%

57%

Over 2.5 goals

71%

86%

Both teams scored

57%

43%

Clean sheets

29%

43%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Al-Fayha

Home · Saudi Pro League

Home			Away		1st goal
12	Al-Fayha	0–3	Al-Hilal	1	31′ Away
12	Al-Fayha		Al-Ittihad	2
12	Al-Fayha		Al-Nassr	3
12	Al-Fayha		Al-Qadsiah	4
12	Al-Fayha		Neom SC	5
12	Al-Fayha		Al-Ahli	6
12	Al-Fayha	2–2	Al-Kholood	7	5′ Home
12	Al-Fayha		Draih	8
12	Al-Fayha		Al-Ettifaq	9
12	Al-Fayha		Al-Hazem	10
12	Al-Fayha		Al-Riyadh	11
12 · Al-Fayha
12	Al-Fayha		Al-Khaleej	13
12	Al-Fayha		Al-Shabab	14
12	Al-Fayha		Al-Fateh	15
12	Al-Fayha		Faisaly	16
12	Al-Fayha		Al-Taawoun	17
12	Al-Fayha	3–2	Abha	18	—

Al-Ahli

Away · Saudi Pro League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Al-Hilal	3–0	Al-Ahli	6	9′ Home
2	Al-Ittihad		Al-Ahli	6
3	Al-Nassr		Al-Ahli	6
4	Al-Qadsiah	3–2	Al-Ahli	6	14′ Home
5	Neom SC		Al-Ahli	6
6 · Al-Ahli
7	Al-Kholood	3–1	Al-Ahli	6	32′ Home
8	Draih	0–1	Al-Ahli	6	25′ Away
9	Al-Ettifaq		Al-Ahli	6
10	Al-Hazem		Al-Ahli	6
11	Al-Riyadh		Al-Ahli	6
12	Al-Fayha		Al-Ahli	6
13	Al-Khaleej		Al-Ahli	6
14	Al-Shabab		Al-Ahli	6
15	Al-Fateh		Al-Ahli	6
16	Faisaly		Al-Ahli	6
17	Al-Taawoun		Al-Ahli	6
18	Abha		Al-Ahli	6

Al-Fayha Home Al-Ahli Away

Wins

33%

25%

Over 1.5

100%

75%

Over 2.5

100%

75%

Over 3.5

67%

50%

Both teams scored

67%

50%

Clean sheets

0%

25%

Scores first

67%

25%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Saudi Pro League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Al-Fayha

7 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away4 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	1.33	0.50	0.86
Draws	33.3%	50.0%	42.9%
Goals scored / match	1.67	0.50	1.00
Goals conceded / match	2.33	1.00	1.57
Total goals / match	4.00	1.50	2.57
Failed to score	33.3%	50.0%	42.9%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	50.0%	28.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	1 of 2	50%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Al-Ahli

7 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away4 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	3.00	0.75	1.71
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	4.00	1.00	2.29
Goals conceded / match	0.33	2.25	1.43
Total goals / match	4.33	3.25	3.71
Failed to score	0.0%	25.0%	14.3%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	25.0%	14.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	2
16–30	1	1
31–45	0	3
46–60	0	0
61–75	2	0
76–90	1	3

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Al-Fayha	Draw	Al-Ahli	How it works
Strength (Elo)	36.6%	30.1%	33.3%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	12.3%	15.9%	66.6%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.02–2.63 Model expected goals

65.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals

56.1% Both teams to score

1-2 Most likely score, at 9.2%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-29.2%

0-28.9%

1-38.0%

0-37.9%

1-17.0%

0-16.8%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Al-Fayha	Al-Ahli	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1477	1520	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-15	9	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1499	1511	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Al-Fayha	0.43	0.57	0.71	0.86
Al-Ahli	1.29	1.00	1.00	0.43

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Al-Fayha	29%	0%	0%	43%	29%
Al-Ahli	0%	14%	0%	14%	71%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.33 Al-Fayha at home, 3 matches

0.75 Al-Ahli away, 4 matches

37d Days of rest for Al-Fayha

38d Days of rest for Al-Ahli

— Manager of Al-Fayha

— Manager of Al-Ahli

0 Matches for Al-Fayha in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Al-Ahli in the last 14 days

12 Points for Al-Fayha behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone

6 Points for Al-Ahli behind the leaders, and 9 above the relegation zone

2.76 League goals per match

30.2% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Al-Fayha, the right bar represents Al-Ahli.

On the ball

20 matches

2.71

corners

3.86

9.17

fouls

13.71

1.5

yellow cards

2.6

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Al-Fayha	DLDWDLL	0.86	1.00–1.57	1D
Al-Ahli	WLWLLWW	1.71	2.29–1.43	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Al-Fayha	1	4	2	0	0
Al-Ahli	4	0	3	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Al-Fayha

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Al-Ahli

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.