Al-Nassr

Al-Nassr

VS Scheduled Tuesday 20 Oct 202619:00

Saudi Arabia 26/27 Saudi Pro League · Matchday 10

Neom SC

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-12	26/27	Al-Khaleej1–1Al-Nassr
2026-09-09	26/27	Al-Nassr2–1Abha
2026-09-05	26/27	Al-Ittihad2–1Al-Nassr
2026-08-28	26/27	Al-Nassr2–1Al-Taawoun
2026-08-25	26/27	Al-Ettifaq2–3Al-Nassr
2026-08-21	26/27	Al-Riyadh0–4Al-Nassr
2026-08-15	26/27	Al-Nassr3–0Al-Fateh

Neom SC

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-13	26/27	Neom SC4–2Al-Fateh
2026-09-07	26/27	Al-Hilal0–2Neom SC
2026-09-03	26/27	Neom SC3–0Al-Khaleej
2026-08-28	26/27	Al-Riyadh1–0Neom SC
2026-08-24	26/27	Neom SC0–2Al-Qadsiah
2026-08-21	26/27	Faisaly0–2Neom SC
2026-08-14	26/27	Neom SC2–1Al-Fayha

Al-Nassr Neom SC

Wins

71%

Over 2.5 goals

86%

43%

Both teams scored

71%

29%

Clean sheets

29%

43%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Al-Nassr

Home · Saudi Pro League

Home			Away		1st goal
3	Al-Nassr		Al-Hilal	1
3	Al-Nassr		Al-Ittihad	2
3 · Al-Nassr
3	Al-Nassr		Al-Qadsiah	4
3	Al-Nassr		Neom SC	5
3	Al-Nassr		Al-Ahli	6
3	Al-Nassr		Al-Kholood	7
3	Al-Nassr		Draih	8
3	Al-Nassr		Al-Ettifaq	9
3	Al-Nassr		Al-Hazem	10
3	Al-Nassr		Al-Riyadh	11
3	Al-Nassr		Al-Fayha	12
3	Al-Nassr		Al-Khaleej	13
3	Al-Nassr		Al-Shabab	14
3	Al-Nassr	3–0	Al-Fateh	15	37′ Home
3	Al-Nassr		Faisaly	16
3	Al-Nassr	2–1	Al-Taawoun	17	11′ Away
3	Al-Nassr	2–1	Abha	18	22′ Home

Neom SC

Away · Saudi Pro League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Al-Hilal	0–2	Neom SC	5	—
2	Al-Ittihad		Neom SC	5
3	Al-Nassr		Neom SC	5
4	Al-Qadsiah		Neom SC	5
5 · Neom SC
6	Al-Ahli		Neom SC	5
7	Al-Kholood		Neom SC	5
8	Draih		Neom SC	5
9	Al-Ettifaq		Neom SC	5
10	Al-Hazem		Neom SC	5
11	Al-Riyadh	1–0	Neom SC	5	61′ Home
12	Al-Fayha		Neom SC	5
13	Al-Khaleej		Neom SC	5
14	Al-Shabab		Neom SC	5
15	Al-Fateh		Neom SC	5
16	Faisaly	0–2	Neom SC	5	51′ Away
17	Al-Taawoun		Neom SC	5
18	Abha		Neom SC	5

Al-Nassr Home Neom SC Away

Wins

100%

67%

Over 1.5

100%

67%

Over 2.5

100%

0%

Over 3.5

0%

Both teams scored

67%

0%

Clean sheets

33%

67%

Scores first

67%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Saudi Pro League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Al-Nassr

7 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away4 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	3.00	1.75	2.29
Draws	0.0%	25.0%	14.3%
Goals scored / match	2.33	2.25	2.29
Goals conceded / match	0.67	1.25	1.00
Total goals / match	3.00	3.50	3.29
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	25.0%	14.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 2	100%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 1	100%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	1	0
31–45	3	0
46–60	2	0
61–75	1	1
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Neom SC

7 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away3 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	2.25	2.00	2.14
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	2.25	1.33	1.86
Goals conceded / match	1.25	0.33	0.86
Total goals / match	3.50	1.67	2.71
Failed to score	25.0%	33.3%	28.6%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	100.0%	57.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Al-Nassr	Draw	Neom SC	How it works
Strength (Elo)	42.5%	28.8%	28.7%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	38.0%	25.4%	35.9%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.41–1.36 Model expected goals

51.8% Probability of over 2.5 goals

55.8% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 12.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-112.0%

1-08.8%

0-18.5%

2-18.5%

1-28.2%

0-06.3%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Al-Nassr	Neom SC	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1549	1541	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	35	33	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1491	1498	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Al-Nassr	1.00	1.29	0.86	0.14
Neom SC	1.14	0.71	0.29	0.57

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Al-Nassr	0%	0%	14%	57%	29%
Neom SC	0%	14%	43%	29%	14%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

3.00 Al-Nassr at home, 3 matches

2.00 Neom SC away, 3 matches

38d Days of rest for Al-Nassr

37d Days of rest for Neom SC

— Manager of Al-Nassr

— Manager of Neom SC

0 Matches for Al-Nassr in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Neom SC in the last 14 days

2 Points for Al-Nassr behind the leaders, and 13 above the relegation zone

3 Points for Neom SC behind the leaders, and 12 above the relegation zone

2.76 League goals per match

30.2% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Al-Nassr, the right bar represents Neom SC.

On the ball

20 matches

8.29

corners

4.57

11.0

fouls

11.14

2.2

yellow cards

2.0

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Al-Nassr	DWLWWWW	2.29	2.29–1.00	1D
Neom SC	WWWLLWW	2.14	1.86–0.86	3W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Al-Nassr	3	1	3	1	0
Neom SC	3	3	1	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Al-Nassr

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Neom SC

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.