Al-Qadsiah

Al-Qadsiah

VS Scheduled Thursday 26 Nov 202600:00

Saudi Arabia 26/27 Saudi Pro League · Matchday 15

Al-Fateh

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-11	26/27	Al-Qadsiah3–3Al-Ettifaq
2026-09-08	26/27	Al-Qadsiah3–2Al-Ahli
2026-09-03	26/27	Draih0–2Al-Qadsiah
2026-08-30	26/27	Al-Qadsiah3–1Faisaly
2026-08-24	26/27	Neom SC0–2Al-Qadsiah
2026-08-21	26/27	Al-Qadsiah0–1Al-Ittihad
2026-08-13	26/27	Al-Shabab1–3Al-Qadsiah

Al-Fateh

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-13	26/27	Neom SC4–2Al-Fateh
2026-09-09	26/27	Al-Fateh1–2Draih
2026-09-05	26/27	Al-Taawoun0–0Al-Fateh
2026-08-29	26/27	Al-Fateh0–0Al-Ittihad
2026-08-26	26/27	Faisaly1–1Al-Fateh
2026-08-22	26/27	Al-Fateh0–1Al-Ettifaq
2026-08-15	26/27	Al-Nassr3–0Al-Fateh

Al-Qadsiah Al-Fateh

Wins

71%

0%

Over 2.5 goals

57%

43%

Both teams scored

57%

43%

Clean sheets

29%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Al-Qadsiah

Home · Saudi Pro League

Home			Away		1st goal
4	Al-Qadsiah		Al-Hilal	1
4	Al-Qadsiah	0–1	Al-Ittihad	2	45+1′ Away
4	Al-Qadsiah		Al-Nassr	3
4 · Al-Qadsiah
4	Al-Qadsiah		Neom SC	5
4	Al-Qadsiah	3–2	Al-Ahli	6	14′ Home
4	Al-Qadsiah		Al-Kholood	7
4	Al-Qadsiah		Draih	8
4	Al-Qadsiah	3–3	Al-Ettifaq	9	12′ Home
4	Al-Qadsiah		Al-Hazem	10
4	Al-Qadsiah		Al-Riyadh	11
4	Al-Qadsiah		Al-Fayha	12
4	Al-Qadsiah		Al-Khaleej	13
4	Al-Qadsiah		Al-Shabab	14
4	Al-Qadsiah		Al-Fateh	15
4	Al-Qadsiah	3–1	Faisaly	16	—
4	Al-Qadsiah		Al-Taawoun	17
4	Al-Qadsiah		Abha	18

Al-Fateh

Away · Saudi Pro League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Al-Hilal		Al-Fateh	15
2	Al-Ittihad		Al-Fateh	15
3	Al-Nassr	3–0	Al-Fateh	15	37′ Home
4	Al-Qadsiah		Al-Fateh	15
5	Neom SC	4–2	Al-Fateh	15	16′ Home
6	Al-Ahli		Al-Fateh	15
7	Al-Kholood		Al-Fateh	15
8	Draih		Al-Fateh	15
9	Al-Ettifaq		Al-Fateh	15
10	Al-Hazem		Al-Fateh	15
11	Al-Riyadh		Al-Fateh	15
12	Al-Fayha		Al-Fateh	15
13	Al-Khaleej		Al-Fateh	15
14	Al-Shabab		Al-Fateh	15
15 · Al-Fateh
16	Faisaly	1–1	Al-Fateh	15	29′ Away
17	Al-Taawoun	0–0	Al-Fateh	15	–
18	Abha		Al-Fateh	15

Al-Qadsiah Home Al-Fateh Away

Wins

50%

0%

Over 1.5

75%

Over 2.5

75%

50%

Over 3.5

75%

25%

Both teams scored

75%

50%

Clean sheets

0%

25%

Scores first

N/A

25%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Saudi Pro League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Al-Qadsiah

7 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away3 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	1.75	3.00	2.29
Draws	25.0%	0.0%	14.3%
Goals scored / match	2.25	2.33	2.29
Goals conceded / match	1.75	0.33	1.14
Total goals / match	4.00	2.67	3.43
Failed to score	25.0%	0.0%	14.3%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	66.7%	42.9%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 3/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Al-Fateh

7 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away4 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	0.33	0.50	0.43
Draws	33.3%	50.0%	42.9%
Goals scored / match	0.33	0.75	0.57
Goals conceded / match	1.00	2.00	1.57
Total goals / match	1.33	2.75	2.14
Failed to score	66.7%	50.0%	57.1%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	50.0%	57.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	0 of 1	0%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	1	1
31–45	1	3
46–60	0	1
61–75	1	2
76–90	0	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Al-Qadsiah	Draw	Al-Fateh	How it works
Strength (Elo)	54.6%	23.5%	21.9%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	76.3%	13.2%	5.8%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

2.57–0.55 Model expected goals

55.6% Probability of over 2.5 goals

36.9% Both teams to score

2-0 Most likely score, at 14.6%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

2-014.6%

3-012.6%

1-011.4%

4-08.1%

2-18.0%

3-16.9%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Al-Qadsiah	Al-Fateh	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1555	1457	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	37	-29	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1504	1503	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Al-Qadsiah	1.29	1.00	0.57	0.57
Al-Fateh	0.43	0.14	0.86	0.71

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Al-Qadsiah	0%	14%	29%	0%	57%
Al-Fateh	29%	14%	14%	29%	14%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.75 Al-Qadsiah at home, 4 matches

0.50 Al-Fateh away, 4 matches

76d Days of rest for Al-Qadsiah

74d Days of rest for Al-Fateh

— Manager of Al-Qadsiah

— Manager of Al-Fateh

0 Matches for Al-Qadsiah in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Al-Fateh in the last 14 days

2 Points for Al-Qadsiah behind the leaders, and 13 above the relegation zone

15 Points for Al-Fateh behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

2.76 League goals per match

30.2% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Al-Qadsiah, the right bar represents Al-Fateh.

On the ball

20 matches

6.83

corners

4.14

11.86

fouls

11.43

2.5

yellow cards

2.0

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Al-Qadsiah	DWWWWLW	2.29	2.29–1.14	1D
Al-Fateh	LLDDDLL	0.43	0.57–1.57	2L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Al-Qadsiah	4	2	1	0	1
Al-Fateh	0	5	2	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Al-Qadsiah

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Al-Fateh

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.