Al-Nassr

Al-Nassr

VS Scheduled Thursday 26 Nov 202600:00

Saudi Arabia 26/27 Saudi Pro League · Matchday 15

Al-Shabab

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-12	26/27	Al-Khaleej1–1Al-Nassr
2026-09-09	26/27	Al-Nassr2–1Abha
2026-09-05	26/27	Al-Ittihad2–1Al-Nassr
2026-08-28	26/27	Al-Nassr2–1Al-Taawoun
2026-08-25	26/27	Al-Ettifaq2–3Al-Nassr
2026-08-21	26/27	Al-Riyadh0–4Al-Nassr
2026-08-15	26/27	Al-Nassr3–0Al-Fateh

Al-Shabab

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-12	26/27	Al-Shabab0–0Al-Fayha
2026-09-09	26/27	Al-Kholood2–1Al-Shabab
2026-09-04	26/27	Al-Shabab0–2Al-Hilal
2026-08-30	26/27	Al-Hazem1–1Al-Shabab
2026-08-25	26/27	Al-Shabab3–3Al-Riyadh
2026-08-22	26/27	Al-Khaleej0–0Al-Shabab
2026-08-13	26/27	Al-Shabab1–3Al-Qadsiah

Al-Nassr Al-Shabab

Wins

71%

0%

Over 2.5 goals

86%

43%

Both teams scored

71%

57%

Clean sheets

29%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Al-Nassr

Home · Saudi Pro League

Home			Away		1st goal
3	Al-Nassr		Al-Hilal	1
3	Al-Nassr		Al-Ittihad	2
3 · Al-Nassr
3	Al-Nassr		Al-Qadsiah	4
3	Al-Nassr		Neom SC	5
3	Al-Nassr		Al-Ahli	6
3	Al-Nassr		Al-Kholood	7
3	Al-Nassr		Draih	8
3	Al-Nassr		Al-Ettifaq	9
3	Al-Nassr		Al-Hazem	10
3	Al-Nassr		Al-Riyadh	11
3	Al-Nassr		Al-Fayha	12
3	Al-Nassr		Al-Khaleej	13
3	Al-Nassr		Al-Shabab	14
3	Al-Nassr	3–0	Al-Fateh	15	37′ Home
3	Al-Nassr		Faisaly	16
3	Al-Nassr	2–1	Al-Taawoun	17	11′ Away
3	Al-Nassr	2–1	Abha	18	22′ Home

Al-Shabab

Away · Saudi Pro League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Al-Hilal		Al-Shabab	14
2	Al-Ittihad		Al-Shabab	14
3	Al-Nassr		Al-Shabab	14
4	Al-Qadsiah		Al-Shabab	14
5	Neom SC		Al-Shabab	14
6	Al-Ahli		Al-Shabab	14
7	Al-Kholood	2–1	Al-Shabab	14	6′ Away
8	Draih		Al-Shabab	14
9	Al-Ettifaq		Al-Shabab	14
10	Al-Hazem	1–1	Al-Shabab	14	48′ Away
11	Al-Riyadh		Al-Shabab	14
12	Al-Fayha		Al-Shabab	14
13	Al-Khaleej	0–0	Al-Shabab	14	–
14 · Al-Shabab
15	Al-Fateh		Al-Shabab	14
16	Faisaly		Al-Shabab	14
17	Al-Taawoun		Al-Shabab	14
18	Abha		Al-Shabab	14

Al-Nassr Home Al-Shabab Away

Wins

100%

0%

Over 1.5

100%

67%

Over 2.5

100%

33%

Over 3.5

0%

Both teams scored

67%

Clean sheets

33%

Scores first

67%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Saudi Pro League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Al-Nassr

7 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away4 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	3.00	1.75	2.29
Draws	0.0%	25.0%	14.3%
Goals scored / match	2.33	2.25	2.29
Goals conceded / match	0.67	1.25	1.00
Total goals / match	3.00	3.50	3.29
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	25.0%	14.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 2	100%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 1	100%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	1	0
31–45	3	0
46–60	2	0
61–75	1	1
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Al-Shabab

7 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away3 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	0.50	0.67	0.57
Draws	50.0%	66.7%	57.1%
Goals scored / match	1.00	0.67	0.86
Goals conceded / match	2.00	1.00	1.57
Total goals / match	3.00	1.67	2.43
Failed to score	50.0%	33.3%	42.9%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	66.7%	57.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 2	0%
Scores first → wins	0 of 2	0%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	0	1
31–45	0	0
46–60	1	0
61–75	0	0
76–90	0	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Al-Nassr	Draw	Al-Shabab	How it works
Strength (Elo)	53.0%	24.3%	22.7%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	74.5%	13.8%	6.9%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

2.57–0.63 Model expected goals

57.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals

41.0% Both teams to score

2-0 Most likely score, at 13.4%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

2-013.4%

3-011.5%

1-010.5%

2-18.5%

4-07.4%

3-17.3%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Al-Nassr	Al-Shabab	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1549	1462	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	35	-20	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1491	1504	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Al-Nassr	1.00	1.29	0.86	0.14
Al-Shabab	0.57	0.29	0.57	1.00

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Al-Nassr	0%	0%	14%	57%	29%
Al-Shabab	29%	0%	29%	14%	29%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

3.00 Al-Nassr at home, 3 matches

0.67 Al-Shabab away, 3 matches

75d Days of rest for Al-Nassr

75d Days of rest for Al-Shabab

— Manager of Al-Nassr

— Manager of Al-Shabab

0 Matches for Al-Nassr in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Al-Shabab in the last 14 days

2 Points for Al-Nassr behind the leaders, and 13 above the relegation zone

14 Points for Al-Shabab behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone

2.76 League goals per match

30.2% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Al-Nassr, the right bar represents Al-Shabab.

On the ball

20 matches

8.29

corners

6.71

11.0

fouls

9.43

2.2

yellow cards

2.0

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Al-Nassr	DWLWWWW	2.29	2.29–1.00	1D
Al-Shabab	DLLDDDL	0.57	0.86–1.57	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Al-Nassr	3	1	3	1	0
Al-Shabab	0	7	0	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Al-Nassr

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Al-Shabab

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.