Faisaly

Faisaly

VS Scheduled Wednesday 12 May 202701:00

Saudi Arabia 26/27 Saudi Pro League · Matchday 31

Al-Ahli

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-11	26/27	Faisaly1–3Al-Ittihad
2026-09-08	26/27	Al-Ettifaq0–0Faisaly
2026-09-05	26/27	Faisaly0–0Al-Hazem
2026-08-30	26/27	Al-Qadsiah3–1Faisaly
2026-08-26	26/27	Faisaly1–1Al-Fateh
2026-08-21	26/27	Faisaly0–2Neom SC
2026-08-14	26/27	Al-Hilal4–2Faisaly

Al-Ahli

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-11	26/27	Al-Ahli3–1Al-Hazem
2026-09-08	26/27	Al-Qadsiah3–2Al-Ahli
2026-09-04	26/27	Al-Ahli5–0Al-Riyadh
2026-09-01	26/27	Al-Hilal3–0Al-Ahli
2026-08-29	26/27	Al-Kholood3–1Al-Ahli
2026-08-22	26/27	Al-Ahli4–0Abha
2026-08-13	26/27	Draih0–1Al-Ahli

Faisaly Al-Ahli

Wins

0%

57%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

86%

Both teams scored

57%

43%

Clean sheets

29%

43%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Faisaly

Home · Saudi Pro League

Home			Away		1st goal
16	Faisaly		Al-Hilal	1
16	Faisaly	1–3	Al-Ittihad	2	28′ Away
16	Faisaly		Al-Nassr	3
16	Faisaly		Al-Qadsiah	4
16	Faisaly	0–2	Neom SC	5	51′ Away
16	Faisaly		Al-Ahli	6
16	Faisaly		Al-Kholood	7
16	Faisaly		Draih	8
16	Faisaly		Al-Ettifaq	9
16	Faisaly	0–0	Al-Hazem	10	–
16	Faisaly		Al-Riyadh	11
16	Faisaly		Al-Fayha	12
16	Faisaly		Al-Khaleej	13
16	Faisaly		Al-Shabab	14
16	Faisaly	1–1	Al-Fateh	15	29′ Away
16 · Faisaly
16	Faisaly		Al-Taawoun	17
16	Faisaly		Abha	18

Al-Ahli

Away · Saudi Pro League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Al-Hilal	3–0	Al-Ahli	6	9′ Home
2	Al-Ittihad		Al-Ahli	6
3	Al-Nassr		Al-Ahli	6
4	Al-Qadsiah	3–2	Al-Ahli	6	14′ Home
5	Neom SC		Al-Ahli	6
6 · Al-Ahli
7	Al-Kholood	3–1	Al-Ahli	6	32′ Home
8	Draih	0–1	Al-Ahli	6	25′ Away
9	Al-Ettifaq		Al-Ahli	6
10	Al-Hazem		Al-Ahli	6
11	Al-Riyadh		Al-Ahli	6
12	Al-Fayha		Al-Ahli	6
13	Al-Khaleej		Al-Ahli	6
14	Al-Shabab		Al-Ahli	6
15	Al-Fateh		Al-Ahli	6
16	Faisaly		Al-Ahli	6
17	Al-Taawoun		Al-Ahli	6
18	Abha		Al-Ahli	6

Faisaly Home Al-Ahli Away

Wins

0%

25%

Over 1.5

75%

Over 2.5

25%

75%

Over 3.5

25%

50%

Both teams scored

50%

Clean sheets

25%

Scores first

0%

25%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Saudi Pro League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Faisaly

7 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away3 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	0.50	0.33	0.43
Draws	50.0%	33.3%	42.9%
Goals scored / match	0.50	1.00	0.71
Goals conceded / match	1.50	2.33	1.86
Total goals / match	2.00	3.33	2.57
Failed to score	50.0%	33.3%	42.9%
Under 2.5 goals	75.0%	33.3%	57.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	2
31–45	1	1
46–60	0	3
61–75	0	0
76–90	1	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Al-Ahli

7 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away4 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	3.00	0.75	1.71
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	4.00	1.00	2.29
Goals conceded / match	0.33	2.25	1.43
Total goals / match	4.33	3.25	3.71
Failed to score	0.0%	25.0%	14.3%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	25.0%	14.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	2
16–30	1	1
31–45	0	3
46–60	0	0
61–75	2	0
76–90	1	3

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Faisaly	Draw	Al-Ahli	How it works
Strength (Elo)	33.6%	30.1%	36.3%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	5.5%	10.5%	74.3%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.73–3.12 Model expected goals

64.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals

44.4% Both teams to score

0-3 Most likely score, at 10.8%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-310.8%

0-210.4%

0-48.4%

1-37.9%

1-27.6%

0-16.7%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Faisaly	Al-Ahli	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1447	1520	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-41	9	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1505	1511	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Faisaly	0.29	0.43	1.14	0.71
Al-Ahli	1.29	1.00	1.00	0.43

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Faisaly	29%	0%	29%	0%	43%
Al-Ahli	0%	14%	0%	14%	71%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.50 Faisaly at home, 4 matches

0.75 Al-Ahli away, 4 matches

243d Days of rest for Faisaly

243d Days of rest for Al-Ahli

— Manager of Faisaly

— Manager of Al-Ahli

0 Matches for Faisaly in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Al-Ahli in the last 14 days

15 Points for Faisaly behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

6 Points for Al-Ahli behind the leaders, and 9 above the relegation zone

2.76 League goals per match

30.2% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Faisaly, the right bar represents Al-Ahli.

On the ball

20 matches

2.14

corners

3.86

8.86

fouls

13.71

2.67

yellow cards

2.6

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Faisaly	LDDLDLL	0.43	0.71–1.86	1L
Al-Ahli	WLWLLWW	1.71	2.29–1.43	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Faisaly	0	4	3	0	0
Al-Ahli	4	0	3	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Faisaly

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Al-Ahli

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.