| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 |
2026
|
Auckland II2–3Wellington Ol. |
| 2026-08-29 |
2026
|
Wellington Ol.2–1Waterside Karori |
| 2026-08-22 |
2026
|
Petone1–1Wellington Ol. |
| 2026-08-08 |
2026
|
Wellington0–2Wellington Ol. |
| 2026-08-01 |
2026
|
Wellington Ol.4–1Upper Hutt City |
| 2026-07-18 |
2026
|
Island Bay United1–2Wellington Ol. |
| 2026-07-11 |
2026
|
Wellington Ol.9–0FC Western |
| 2026-06-28 |
2026
|
Napier3–2Wellington Ol. |
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 |
2026
|
Ferrymead Bays0–0Eastern |
| 2026-08-30 |
2026
|
Ferrymead Bays2–1South City Royals |
| 2026-08-22 |
2026
|
Ferrymead Bays5–0Nelson Suburbs |
| 2026-08-08 |
2026
|
Ferrymead Bays1–2Nomads United |
| 2026-08-01 |
2026
|
Selwyn United0–2Ferrymead Bays |
| 2026-07-17 |
2026
|
Ferrymead Bays6–0Coastal Spirit |
| 2026-07-11 |
2026
|
Christchurch United0–0Ferrymead Bays |
| 2026-06-27 |
2026
|
Cashmere Technical4–0Ferrymead Bays |
National League · 2026 · Completed league matches only.
| Goals & results | Home9 matches | Away10 matches | Overall19 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 2.44 | 2.30 | 2.37 |
| Draws | 11.1% | 20.0% | 15.8% |
| Goals scored / match | 3.44 | 2.50 | 2.95 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.11 | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| Total goals / match | 4.56 | 3.40 | 3.95 |
| Failed to score | 11.1% | 0.0% | 5.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 11.1% | 40.0% | 26.3% |
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | —— | —— |
| Scores first → wins | —— | —— |
| Concedes first → wins | —— | —— |
Scoring order known: 8/9 home.Scoring order known: 18/19 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
| Goals & results | Home10 matches | Away9 matches | Overall19 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 2.20 | 1.89 | 2.05 |
| Draws | 10.0% | 22.2% | 15.8% |
| Goals scored / match | 2.40 | 1.67 | 2.05 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.80 | 1.22 | 1.00 |
| Total goals / match | 3.20 | 2.89 | 3.05 |
| Failed to score | 20.0% | 33.3% | 26.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 30.0% | 44.4% | 36.8% |
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 2 of 39 of 11 | 67%82% |
| Scores first → wins | 3 of 310 of 11 | 100%91% |
| Concedes first → wins | 2 of 52 of 6 | 40%33% |
Scoring order known: 9/9 away.Scoring order known: 19/19 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Wellington Ol. | Draw | Ferrymead Bays | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 54.5% | 14.0% | 31.5% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 39.0% | 25.2% | 35.1% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Wellington Ol. | Ferrymead Bays | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1627 | 1581 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | 43 | 17 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1483 | 1503 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wellington Ol. | 1.56 | 1.50 | 0.22 | 0.78 |
| Ferrymead Bays | 1.32 | 0.74 | 0.47 | 0.53 |
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wellington Ol. | 0% | 5% | 21% | 26% | 47% |
| Ferrymead Bays | 10% | 10% | 16% | 26% | 37% |
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Wellington Ol., the right bar represents Ferrymead Bays.
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wellington Ol. | WWDWWWWLWD | 2.30 | 2.80–1.10 | 2W |
| Ferrymead Bays | DWWLWWDLLW | 1.70 | 2.10–0.90 | 1D |
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wellington Ol. | 11 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Ferrymead Bays | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
No absences reported.
No absences reported.
No recent news linked to these teams.
