Auckland City

Auckland City

VS Scheduled Saturday 10 Oct 202603:00

New Zealand 2026 National League · Matchday 3

Wellington Ol.

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-08-29	2026	Melville United0–1Auckland City
2026-08-01	2026	Fencibles United0–3Auckland City
2026-07-29	2026	Auckland City5–1Bay Olympic
2026-07-22	2026	East Coast Bays4–3Auckland City
2026-07-18	2026	Auckland City3–2Tauranga City United
2026-07-11	2026	Manukau United0–5Auckland City
2026-07-01	2026	Auckland City2–0Auckland II
2026-06-27	2026	Auckland City3–0Western Springs

Wellington Ol.

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-27	2026	Auckland II2–3Wellington Ol.
2026-08-29	2026	Wellington Ol.2–1Waterside Karori
2026-08-22	2026	Petone1–1Wellington Ol.
2026-08-08	2026	Wellington0–2Wellington Ol.
2026-08-01	2026	Wellington Ol.4–1Upper Hutt City
2026-07-18	2026	Island Bay United1–2Wellington Ol.
2026-07-11	2026	Wellington Ol.9–0FC Western
2026-06-28	2026	Napier3–2Wellington Ol.

Auckland City Wellington Ol.

Wins

88%

75%

Over 2.5 goals

75%

Both teams scored

38%

75%

Clean sheets

62%

25%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Auckland City

Home · National League

Home			Away		1st goal
6	Auckland City	0–1	Birkenhead United	1	45+2′ Away
6	Auckland City		Cashmere Technical	2
6	Auckland City	0–1	Eastern	3	16′ Away
6	Auckland City		Wellington Ol.	4
6	Auckland City		Napier	5
6 · Auckland City
6	Auckland City		Miramar	7
6	Auckland City	1–1	Auckland United	8	71′ Home
6	Auckland City	4–1	Fencibles United	9	3′ Home
6	Auckland City		Ferrymead Bays	10
6	Auckland City		Western Suburbs	11
6	Auckland City		Nomads United	12
6	Auckland City	1–0	East Coast Bays	13	72′ Home
6	Auckland City		Coastal Spirit	14
6	Auckland City	3–0	Western Springs	15	10′ Home
6	Auckland City	2–0	Auckland II	16	51′ Home
6	Auckland City		Nelson Suburbs	17
6	Auckland City		Upper Hutt City	18
6	Auckland City		Christchurch United	19
6	Auckland City		Northern AFC	20
6	Auckland City		Island Bay United	21
6	Auckland City	4–0	Melville United	22	43′ Home
6	Auckland City		South City Royals	23
6	Auckland City	5–1	Bay Olympic	24	10′ Home
6	Auckland City	3–2	Tauranga City United	25	3′ Away
6	Auckland City		Waterside Karori	26
6	Auckland City		Petone	27
6	Auckland City		Wellington	28
6	Auckland City		Wanaka	29
6	Auckland City		Selwyn United	30
6	Auckland City	4–2	Manukau United	31	8′ Home
6	Auckland City		FC Western	32

Wellington Ol.

Away · National League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Birkenhead United		Wellington Ol.	4
2	Cashmere Technical		Wellington Ol.	4
3	Eastern		Wellington Ol.	4
4 · Wellington Ol.
5	Napier	3–2	Wellington Ol.	4	24′ Away
6	Auckland City		Wellington Ol.	4
7	Miramar	1–1	Wellington Ol.	4	2′ Away
8	Auckland United		Wellington Ol.	4
9	Fencibles United		Wellington Ol.	4
10	Ferrymead Bays		Wellington Ol.	4
11	Western Suburbs	0–1	Wellington Ol.	4	90+4′ Away
12	Nomads United		Wellington Ol.	4
13	East Coast Bays		Wellington Ol.	4
14	Coastal Spirit		Wellington Ol.	4
15	Western Springs		Wellington Ol.	4
16	Auckland II	2–3	Wellington Ol.	4	24′ Home
17	Nelson Suburbs		Wellington Ol.	4
18	Upper Hutt City	1–6	Wellington Ol.	4	8′ Away
19	Christchurch United		Wellington Ol.	4
20	Northern AFC		Wellington Ol.	4
21	Island Bay United	1–2	Wellington Ol.	4	35′ Away
22	Melville United		Wellington Ol.	4
23	South City Royals		Wellington Ol.	4
24	Bay Olympic		Wellington Ol.	4
25	Tauranga City United		Wellington Ol.	4
26	Waterside Karori	0–3	Wellington Ol.	4	29′ Away
27	Petone	1–1	Wellington Ol.	4	81′ Home
28	Wellington	0–2	Wellington Ol.	4	8′ Away
29	Wanaka		Wellington Ol.	4
30	Selwyn United		Wellington Ol.	4
31	Manukau United		Wellington Ol.	4
32	FC Western	0–4	Wellington Ol.	4	35′ Away

Auckland City Home Wellington Ol. Away

Wins

73%

70%

Over 1.5

73%

90%

Over 2.5

54%

60%

Over 3.5

46%

40%

Both teams scored

46%

60%

Clean sheets

36%

40%

Scores first

73%

80%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

National League · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Auckland City

22 matches

Goals & results	Home11 matches	Away11 matches	Overall22 matches
Points / match	2.27	1.82	2.05
Draws	9.1%	18.2%	13.6%
Goals scored / match	2.45	2.18	2.32
Goals conceded / match	0.82	0.91	0.86
Total goals / match	3.27	3.09	3.18
Failed to score	18.2%	27.3%	22.7%
Under 2.5 goals	45.5%	36.4%	40.9%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	5 of 8	62%
Scores first → wins	7 of 8	88%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 3	33%

Scoring order known: 11/11 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	5	1
16–30	5	3
31–45	4	1
46–60	4	2
61–75	4	0
76–90	5	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Wellington Ol.

19 matches

Goals & results	Home9 matches	Away10 matches	Overall19 matches
Points / match	2.44	2.30	2.37
Draws	11.1%	20.0%	15.8%
Goals scored / match	3.44	2.50	2.95
Goals conceded / match	1.11	0.90	1.00
Total goals / match	4.56	3.40	3.95
Failed to score	11.1%	0.0%	5.3%
Under 2.5 goals	11.1%	40.0%	26.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	6 of 8	75%
Scores first → wins	6 of 8	75%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 2	50%

Scoring order known: 10/10 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	3	0
16–30	3	1
31–45	6	1
46–60	2	3
61–75	4	1
76–90	7	3

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Auckland City	Draw	Wellington Ol.	How it works
Strength (Elo)	47.7%	15.0%	37.3%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	25.4%	23.5%	50.1%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.18–1.76 Model expected goals

55.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals

56.5% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 11.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-111.0%

1-29.7%

0-19.3%

0-28.2%

2-16.5%

1-06.2%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Auckland City	Wellington Ol.	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1620	1627	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	49	43	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1495	1483	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Auckland City	1.10	1.30	0.60	0.30
Wellington Ol.	1.56	1.50	0.22	0.78

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Auckland City	9%	23%	9%	14%	46%
Wellington Ol.	0%	5%	21%	26%	47%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.50 Auckland City at home, 10 matches

2.30 Wellington Ol. away, 10 matches

42d Days of rest for Auckland City

13d Days of rest for Wellington Ol.

— Manager of Auckland City

— Manager of Wellington Ol.

0 Matches for Auckland City in the last 14 days

1 Matches for Wellington Ol. in the last 14 days

13 Points for Auckland City behind the leaders, and 35 above the relegation zone

13 Points for Wellington Ol. behind the leaders, and 35 above the relegation zone

3.55 League goals per match

15.3% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Auckland City, the right bar represents Wellington Ol..

On the ball

20 matches

6.72

corners

6.69

—

fouls

—

1.91

yellow cards

1.67

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Auckland City	WWWLWWWWLD	2.20	2.80–1.10	3W
Wellington Ol.	WWDWWWWLWD	2.30	2.80–1.10	2W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Auckland City	9	6	5	1	0
Wellington Ol.	11	7	0	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Auckland City

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Wellington Ol.

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.