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Wellington Ol.
VS Scheduled New Zealand 2026 National League · Matchday 4
Eastern
Recent matches

Wellington Ol.

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-27 New Zealand, National League 2026 Auckland II2–3Wellington Ol.
2026-08-29 New Zealand, National League 2026 Wellington Ol.2–1Waterside Karori
2026-08-22 New Zealand, National League 2026 Petone1–1Wellington Ol.
2026-08-08 New Zealand, National League 2026 Wellington0–2Wellington Ol.
2026-08-01 New Zealand, National League 2026 Wellington Ol.4–1Upper Hutt City
2026-07-18 New Zealand, National League 2026 Island Bay United1–2Wellington Ol.
2026-07-11 New Zealand, National League 2026 Wellington Ol.9–0FC Western
2026-06-28 New Zealand, National League 2026 Napier3–2Wellington Ol.

Eastern

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 New Zealand, National League 2026 Ferrymead Bays0–0Eastern
2026-08-29 New Zealand, National League 2026 Eastern3–0Auckland II
2026-08-22 New Zealand, National League 2026 Eastern1–1East Coast Bays
2026-08-15 New Zealand, National League 2026 Bay Olympic1–5Eastern
2026-08-08 New Zealand, National League 2026 Eastern4–1Fencibles United
2026-08-01 New Zealand, National League 2026 Tauranga City United0–1Eastern
2026-07-18 New Zealand, National League 2026 Eastern7–0Manukau United
2026-07-11 New Zealand, National League 2026 Western Springs0–1Eastern
Wellington Ol. Eastern

Wins

75%
75%

Over 2.5 goals

75%
50%

Both teams scored

75%
38%

Clean sheets

25%
62%
Home & away results

This season · 2026

Eastern

Away · National League
HomeAway1st goal
1 Birkenhead United 2–1 Eastern 3 57′ Away
2 Cashmere Technical Eastern 3
3 · Eastern
4 Wellington Ol. Eastern 3
5 Napier Eastern 3
6 Auckland City 0–1 Eastern 3 16′ Away
7 Miramar Eastern 3
8 Auckland United 1–0 Eastern 3 80′ Home
9 Fencibles United 0–1 Eastern 3 14′ Away
10 Ferrymead Bays 0–0 Eastern 3 –
11 Western Suburbs Eastern 3
12 Nomads United Eastern 3
13 East Coast Bays 1–0 Eastern 3 69′ Home
14 Coastal Spirit Eastern 3
15 Western Springs 0–1 Eastern 3 90+2′ Away
16 Auckland II 0–1 Eastern 3 77′ Away
17 Nelson Suburbs Eastern 3
18 Upper Hutt City Eastern 3
19 Christchurch United Eastern 3
20 Northern AFC Eastern 3
21 Island Bay United Eastern 3
22 Melville United 1–1 Eastern 3 1′ Home
23 South City Royals Eastern 3
24 Bay Olympic 1–5 Eastern 3 16′ Away
25 Tauranga City United 0–1 Eastern 3 33′ Away
26 Waterside Karori Eastern 3
27 Petone Eastern 3
28 Wellington Eastern 3
29 Wanaka Eastern 3
30 Selwyn United Eastern 3
31 Manukau United 0–3 Eastern 3 1′ Away
32 FC Western Eastern 3
Wellington Ol. Home Eastern Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

National League · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Wellington Ol.

19 matches
Goals & resultsHome9 matchesAway10 matchesOverall19 matches
Points / match2.442.302.37
Draws11.1%20.0%15.8%
Goals scored / match3.442.502.95
Goals conceded / match1.110.901.00
Total goals / match4.563.403.95
Failed to score11.1%0.0%5.3%
Under 2.5 goals11.1%40.0%26.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 8/9 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Eastern

23 matches
Goals & resultsHome11 matchesAway12 matchesOverall23 matches
Points / match2.271.922.09
Draws36.4%16.7%26.1%
Goals scored / match2.361.251.78
Goals conceded / match0.270.500.39
Total goals / match2.641.752.17
Failed to score18.2%25.0%21.7%
Under 2.5 goals54.5%75.0%65.2%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 4 of 8 50%
Scores first → wins 7 of 8 88%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 3 0%

Scoring order known: 12/12 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1521
16–3030
31–4511
46–6030
61–7513
76–9051

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelWellington Ol.Draw EasternHow it works
Strength (Elo) 49.8% 14.8% 35.4% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 33.6% 27.1% 38.9% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.18–1.29 Model expected goals
44.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals
50.0% Both teams to score
1-1 Most likely score, at 12.9%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-112.9%
0-110.9%
1-010.0%
0-08.4%
1-28.3%
2-17.6%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureWellington Ol.Eastern How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1627 1616 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 43 47 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1483 1493 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Wellington Ol. 1.561.50 0.220.78
Eastern 0.751.20 0.150.20

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Wellington Ol. 0%5%21%26%47%
Eastern 13%35%17%17%17%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.44 Wellington Ol. at home, 9 matches
2.00 Eastern away, 10 matches
20d Days of rest for Wellington Ol.
21d Days of rest for Eastern
— Manager of Wellington Ol.
— Manager of Eastern
0 Matches for Wellington Ol. in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Eastern in the last 14 days
13 Points for Wellington Ol. behind the leaders, and 35 above the relegation zone
10 Points for Eastern behind the leaders, and 38 above the relegation zone
3.55 League goals per match
15.3% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Wellington Ol., the right bar represents Eastern.

On the ball

20 matches
6.69
corners
7.0
—
fouls
—
1.67
yellow cards
1.91

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Wellington Ol. WWDWWWWLWD 2.30 2.80–1.10 2W
Eastern DWDWWWWWDL 2.10 2.30–0.50 1D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Wellington Ol.11 70 01
Eastern8 102 00
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Wellington Ol.

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Eastern

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.