For the love of the game. Find your next match
Birkenhead United
VS Scheduled New Zealand 2026 National League · Matchday 4
Napier
Recent matches

Birkenhead United

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-27 New Zealand, National League 2026 Birkenhead United0–4Cashmere Technical
2026-09-02 New Zealand, National League 2026 Bay Olympic2–2Birkenhead United
2026-08-22 New Zealand, National League 2026 Birkenhead United0–0Fencibles United
2026-08-15 New Zealand, National League 2026 Tauranga City United0–3Birkenhead United
2026-08-08 New Zealand, National League 2026 Birkenhead United6–1Manukau United
2026-08-01 New Zealand, National League 2026 Western Springs1–2Birkenhead United
2026-07-18 New Zealand, National League 2026 Birkenhead United4–1Melville United
2026-07-11 New Zealand, National League 2026 Birkenhead United4–0Auckland United

Napier

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-27 New Zealand, National League 2026 Napier1–1Miramar
2026-08-29 New Zealand, National League 2026 FC Western0–6Napier
2026-08-23 New Zealand, National League 2026 Napier2–3Miramar
2026-08-08 New Zealand, National League 2026 Waterside Karori1–3Napier
2026-08-02 New Zealand, National League 2026 Napier4–0Petone
2026-07-18 New Zealand, National League 2026 Wellington1–2Napier
2026-07-12 New Zealand, National League 2026 Napier5–1Upper Hutt City
2026-06-28 New Zealand, National League 2026 Napier3–2Wellington Ol.
Birkenhead United Napier

Wins

62%
75%

Over 2.5 goals

88%
88%

Both teams scored

50%
75%

Clean sheets

38%
25%
Home & away results

This season · 2026

Napier

Away · National League
Birkenhead United Home Napier Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

National League · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Birkenhead United

23 matches
Goals & resultsHome13 matchesAway10 matchesOverall23 matches
Points / match2.622.402.52
Draws7.7%30.0%17.4%
Goals scored / match2.852.102.52
Goals conceded / match0.770.700.74
Total goals / match3.622.803.26
Failed to score15.4%0.0%8.7%
Under 2.5 goals30.8%50.0%39.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 7 of 8 88%
Scores first → wins 8 of 8 100%
Concedes first → wins 3 of 4 75%

Scoring order known: 13/13 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Napier

19 matches
Goals & resultsHome10 matchesAway9 matchesOverall19 matches
Points / match2.302.442.37
Draws20.0%11.1%15.8%
Goals scored / match3.102.442.79
Goals conceded / match0.900.780.84
Total goals / match4.003.223.63
Failed to score10.0%0.0%5.3%
Under 2.5 goals20.0%33.3%26.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 4 of 7 57%
Scores first → wins 6 of 7 86%
Concedes first → wins 1 of 2 50%

Scoring order known: 9/9 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1531
16–3020
31–4543
46–6031
61–7532
76–9070

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelBirkenhead UnitedDraw NapierHow it works
Strength (Elo) 50.9% 14.6% 34.5% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 31.2% 27.6% 40.9% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.09–1.29 Model expected goals
42.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals
48.0% Both teams to score
1-1 Most likely score, at 13.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-113.0%
0-111.9%
1-010.0%
0-09.2%
1-28.4%
0-27.7%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureBirkenhead UnitedNapier How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1646 1627 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 13 50 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1491 1498 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Birkenhead United 1.201.45 0.450.25
Napier 1.051.74 0.470.37

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Birkenhead United 4%9%26%17%44%
Napier 5%10%10%26%47%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.58 Birkenhead United at home, 12 matches
2.44 Napier away, 9 matches
21d Days of rest for Birkenhead United
21d Days of rest for Napier
— Manager of Birkenhead United
— Manager of Napier
0 Matches for Birkenhead United in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Napier in the last 14 days
0 Points for Birkenhead United behind the leaders, and 48 above the relegation zone
13 Points for Napier behind the leaders, and 35 above the relegation zone
3.55 League goals per match
15.3% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Birkenhead United, the right bar represents Napier.

On the ball

20 matches
8.84
corners
8.23
—
fouls
—
2.91
yellow cards
2.12

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Birkenhead United LDDWWWWWDW 2.10 2.50–1.20 1L
Napier DWLWWWWWWD 2.30 3.00–1.20 1D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Birkenhead United11 72 00
Napier8 83 21
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Birkenhead United

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Napier

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.