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Auckland United
VS Scheduled New Zealand 2026 National League · Matchday 4
Ferrymead Bays
Recent matches

Auckland United

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 New Zealand, National League 2026 Wellington1–1Auckland United
2026-08-29 New Zealand, National League 2026 East Coast Bays0–4Auckland United
2026-08-22 New Zealand, National League 2026 Auckland United3–1Bay Olympic
2026-08-19 New Zealand, National League 2026 Fencibles United4–1Auckland United
2026-08-08 New Zealand, National League 2026 Auckland United3–0Tauranga City United
2026-08-01 New Zealand, National League 2026 Manukau United0–6Auckland United
2026-07-18 New Zealand, National League 2026 Auckland United0–0Western Springs
2026-07-11 New Zealand, National League 2026 Birkenhead United4–0Auckland United

Ferrymead Bays

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 New Zealand, National League 2026 Ferrymead Bays0–0Eastern
2026-08-30 New Zealand, National League 2026 Ferrymead Bays2–1South City Royals
2026-08-22 New Zealand, National League 2026 Ferrymead Bays5–0Nelson Suburbs
2026-08-08 New Zealand, National League 2026 Ferrymead Bays1–2Nomads United
2026-08-01 New Zealand, National League 2026 Selwyn United0–2Ferrymead Bays
2026-07-17 New Zealand, National League 2026 Ferrymead Bays6–0Coastal Spirit
2026-07-11 New Zealand, National League 2026 Christchurch United0–0Ferrymead Bays
2026-06-27 New Zealand, National League 2026 Cashmere Technical4–0Ferrymead Bays
Auckland United Ferrymead Bays

Wins

50%
50%

Over 2.5 goals

75%
62%

Both teams scored

38%
25%

Clean sheets

50%
62%
Home & away results

This season · 2026

Auckland United Home Ferrymead Bays Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

National League · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Auckland United

23 matches
Goals & resultsHome11 matchesAway12 matchesOverall23 matches
Points / match2.181.501.83
Draws27.3%25.0%26.1%
Goals scored / match2.271.922.09
Goals conceded / match0.641.250.96
Total goals / match2.913.173.04
Failed to score18.2%33.3%26.1%
Under 2.5 goals45.5%41.7%43.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 6 of 7 86%
Scores first → wins 6 of 7 86%
Concedes first → wins 1 of 3 33%

Scoring order known: 11/11 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Ferrymead Bays

19 matches
Goals & resultsHome10 matchesAway9 matchesOverall19 matches
Points / match2.201.892.05
Draws10.0%22.2%15.8%
Goals scored / match2.401.672.05
Goals conceded / match0.801.221.00
Total goals / match3.202.893.05
Failed to score20.0%33.3%26.3%
Under 2.5 goals30.0%44.4%36.8%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 2 of 3 67%
Scores first → wins 3 of 3 100%
Concedes first → wins 2 of 5 40%

Scoring order known: 9/9 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelAuckland UnitedDraw Ferrymead BaysHow it works
Strength (Elo) 47.6% 15.0% 37.3% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 30.2% 28.7% 40.9% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.01–1.22 Model expected goals
38.3% Probability of over 2.5 goals
44.6% Both teams to score
1-1 Most likely score, at 13.2%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-113.2%
0-113.2%
1-010.8%
0-010.8%
1-28.1%
0-28.0%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureAuckland UnitedFerrymead Bays How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1574 1581 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 30 17 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1483 1503 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Auckland United 0.851.20 0.400.50
Ferrymead Bays 1.320.74 0.470.53

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Auckland United 9%9%26%22%35%
Ferrymead Bays 10%10%16%26%37%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.30 Auckland United at home, 10 matches
1.89 Ferrymead Bays away, 9 matches
22d Days of rest for Auckland United
22d Days of rest for Ferrymead Bays
— Manager of Auckland United
— Manager of Ferrymead Bays
0 Matches for Auckland United in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Ferrymead Bays in the last 14 days
16 Points for Auckland United behind the leaders, and 32 above the relegation zone
19 Points for Ferrymead Bays behind the leaders, and 29 above the relegation zone
3.55 League goals per match
15.3% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Auckland United, the right bar represents Ferrymead Bays.

On the ball

20 matches
5.8
corners
4.69
—
fouls
—
2.0
yellow cards
2.56

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Auckland United DWWLWWDLWW 2.00 2.20–1.00 1D
Ferrymead Bays DWWLWWDLLW 1.70 2.10–0.90 1D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Auckland United10 55 11
Ferrymead Bays10 63 11
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Auckland United

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Ferrymead Bays

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.