Eastern

Eastern

VS Scheduled Saturday 24 Oct 202603:00

New Zealand 2026 National League · Matchday 5

Miramar

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	2026	Ferrymead Bays0–0Eastern
2026-08-29	2026	Eastern3–0Auckland II
2026-08-22	2026	Eastern1–1East Coast Bays
2026-08-15	2026	Bay Olympic1–5Eastern
2026-08-08	2026	Eastern4–1Fencibles United
2026-08-01	2026	Tauranga City United0–1Eastern
2026-07-18	2026	Eastern7–0Manukau United
2026-07-11	2026	Western Springs0–1Eastern

Miramar

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-27	2026	Napier1–1Miramar
2026-08-29	2026	Miramar1–1Western Suburbs
2026-08-23	2026	Napier2–3Miramar
2026-08-08	2026	Miramar12–0FC Western
2026-08-01	2026	Miramar0–0Waterside Karori
2026-07-18	2026	Petone1–1Miramar
2026-07-11	2026	Miramar1–0Wellington
2026-06-27	2026	Miramar4–2Island Bay United

Eastern Miramar

Wins

75%

50%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

38%

Both teams scored

38%

62%

Clean sheets

62%

38%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Eastern

Home · National League

Home			Away		1st goal
3	Eastern	1–1	Birkenhead United	1	84′ Away
3	Eastern		Cashmere Technical	2
3 · Eastern
3	Eastern		Wellington Ol.	4
3	Eastern		Napier	5
3	Eastern	0–0	Auckland City	6	–
3	Eastern		Miramar	7
3	Eastern	0–0	Auckland United	8	–
3	Eastern	4–1	Fencibles United	9	5′ Home
3	Eastern		Ferrymead Bays	10
3	Eastern		Western Suburbs	11
3	Eastern		Nomads United	12
3	Eastern	1–1	East Coast Bays	13	25′ Away
3	Eastern		Coastal Spirit	14
3	Eastern	1–0	Western Springs	15	65′ Home
3	Eastern	3–0	Auckland II	16	50′ Home
3	Eastern		Nelson Suburbs	17
3	Eastern		Upper Hutt City	18
3	Eastern		Christchurch United	19
3	Eastern		Northern AFC	20
3	Eastern		Island Bay United	21
3	Eastern	4–0	Melville United	22	15′ Home
3	Eastern		South City Royals	23
3	Eastern	2–0	Bay Olympic	24	19′ Home
3	Eastern	3–0	Tauranga City United	25	23′ Home
3	Eastern		Waterside Karori	26
3	Eastern		Petone	27
3	Eastern		Wellington	28
3	Eastern		Wanaka	29
3	Eastern		Selwyn United	30
3	Eastern	7–0	Manukau United	31	10′ Home
3	Eastern		FC Western	32

Miramar

Away · National League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Birkenhead United		Miramar	7
2	Cashmere Technical		Miramar	7
3	Eastern		Miramar	7
4	Wellington Ol.	1–1	Miramar	7	—
5	Napier	2–3	Miramar	7	8′ Home
5	Napier	1–1	Miramar	7	1′ Home
6	Auckland City		Miramar	7
7 · Miramar
8	Auckland United		Miramar	7
9	Fencibles United		Miramar	7
10	Ferrymead Bays		Miramar	7
11	Western Suburbs	1–0	Miramar	7	76′ Home
12	Nomads United		Miramar	7
13	East Coast Bays		Miramar	7
14	Coastal Spirit		Miramar	7
15	Western Springs		Miramar	7
16	Auckland II		Miramar	7
17	Nelson Suburbs		Miramar	7
18	Upper Hutt City	2–3	Miramar	7	5′ Away
19	Christchurch United		Miramar	7
20	Northern AFC		Miramar	7
21	Island Bay United	0–2	Miramar	7	8′ Away
22	Melville United		Miramar	7
23	South City Royals		Miramar	7
24	Bay Olympic		Miramar	7
25	Tauranga City United		Miramar	7
26	Waterside Karori	0–6	Miramar	7	—
27	Petone	1–1	Miramar	7	4′ Home
28	Wellington	0–1	Miramar	7	1′ Away
29	Wanaka		Miramar	7
30	Selwyn United		Miramar	7
31	Manukau United		Miramar	7
32	FC Western	1–3	Miramar	7	27′ Away

Eastern Home Miramar Away

Wins

64%

60%

Over 1.5

73%

80%

Over 2.5

46%

40%

Over 3.5

27%

40%

Both teams scored

27%

60%

Clean sheets

73%

30%

Scores first

64%

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

National League · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Eastern

23 matches

Goals & results	Home11 matches	Away12 matches	Overall23 matches
Points / match	2.27	1.92	2.09
Draws	36.4%	16.7%	26.1%
Goals scored / match	2.36	1.25	1.78
Goals conceded / match	0.27	0.50	0.39
Total goals / match	2.64	1.75	2.17
Failed to score	18.2%	25.0%	21.7%
Under 2.5 goals	54.5%	75.0%	65.2%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	5 of 7	71%
Scores first → wins	7 of 7	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 11/11 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	3	0
16–30	4	1
31–45	3	0
46–60	2	0
61–75	5	0
76–90	9	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Miramar

19 matches

Goals & results	Home9 matches	Away10 matches	Overall19 matches
Points / match	2.33	2.10	2.21
Draws	33.3%	30.0%	31.6%
Goals scored / match	3.00	2.10	2.53
Goals conceded / match	0.67	0.90	0.79
Total goals / match	3.67	3.00	3.32
Failed to score	11.1%	10.0%	10.5%
Under 2.5 goals	55.6%	60.0%	57.9%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 9/10 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Eastern	Draw	Miramar	How it works
Strength (Elo)	48.4%	15.0%	36.7%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	28.5%	32.4%	39.1%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.82–1.01 Model expected goals

27.6% Probability of over 2.5 goals

35.4% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 16.3%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-116.3%

0-016.1%

1-113.3%

1-013.1%

0-28.2%

1-26.7%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Eastern	Miramar	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1616	1618	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	47	36	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1493	1508	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Eastern	0.75	1.20	0.15	0.20
Miramar	1.17	1.44	0.39	0.39

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Eastern	13%	35%	17%	17%	17%
Miramar	5%	16%	37%	5%	37%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.40 Eastern at home, 10 matches

2.10 Miramar away, 10 matches

28d Days of rest for Eastern

27d Days of rest for Miramar

— Manager of Eastern

— Manager of Miramar

0 Matches for Eastern in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Miramar in the last 14 days

10 Points for Eastern behind the leaders, and 38 above the relegation zone

16 Points for Miramar behind the leaders, and 32 above the relegation zone

3.55 League goals per match

15.3% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Eastern, the right bar represents Miramar.

On the ball

20 matches

7.0

corners

8.33

—

fouls

—

1.91

yellow cards

2.56

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Eastern	DWDWWWWWDL	2.10	2.30–0.50	1D
Miramar	DDWWDDWWWD	2.00	2.70–1.00	2D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Eastern	8	10	2	0	0
Miramar	9	6	3	1	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Eastern

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Miramar

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.