Ferrymead Bays

VS Scheduled Saturday 21 Nov 202602:00

New Zealand 2026 National League · Matchday 9

Recent matches

Ferrymead Bays

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	2026	Ferrymead Bays0–0Eastern
2026-08-30	2026	Ferrymead Bays2–1South City Royals
2026-08-22	2026	Ferrymead Bays5–0Nelson Suburbs
2026-08-08	2026	Ferrymead Bays1–2Nomads United
2026-08-01	2026	Selwyn United0–2Ferrymead Bays
2026-07-17	2026	Ferrymead Bays6–0Coastal Spirit
2026-07-11	2026	Christchurch United0–0Ferrymead Bays
2026-06-27	2026	Cashmere Technical4–0Ferrymead Bays

Auckland II

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-27	2026	Auckland II2–3Wellington Ol.
2026-08-29	2026	Eastern3–0Auckland II
2026-08-15	2026	Melville United1–5Auckland II
2026-08-09	2026	Auckland II2–0East Coast Bays
2026-08-01	2026	Bay Olympic4–3Auckland II
2026-07-18	2026	Auckland II1–2Fencibles United
2026-07-11	2026	Tauranga City United1–2Auckland II
2026-07-04	2026	Auckland II4–1Bay Olympic

Ferrymead Bays Auckland II

Wins

50%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

88%

Both teams scored

25%

75%

Clean sheets

62%

12%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Ferrymead Bays

Home · National League

Home			Away		1st goal
10	Ferrymead Bays		Birkenhead United	1
10	Ferrymead Bays	0–5	Cashmere Technical	2	—
10	Ferrymead Bays	0–0	Eastern	3	–
10	Ferrymead Bays		Wellington Ol.	4
10	Ferrymead Bays		Napier	5
10	Ferrymead Bays		Auckland City	6
10	Ferrymead Bays		Miramar	7
10	Ferrymead Bays		Auckland United	8
10	Ferrymead Bays		Fencibles United	9
10 · Ferrymead Bays
10	Ferrymead Bays		Western Suburbs	11
10	Ferrymead Bays	1–2	Nomads United	12	43′ Home
10	Ferrymead Bays		East Coast Bays	13
10	Ferrymead Bays	6–0	Coastal Spirit	14	2′ Home
10	Ferrymead Bays		Western Springs	15
10	Ferrymead Bays		Auckland II	16
10	Ferrymead Bays	5–0	Nelson Suburbs	17	5′ Home
10	Ferrymead Bays		Upper Hutt City	18
10	Ferrymead Bays	1–0	Christchurch United	19	—
10	Ferrymead Bays	1–0	Northern AFC	20	47′ Home
10	Ferrymead Bays		Island Bay United	21
10	Ferrymead Bays		Melville United	22
10	Ferrymead Bays	2–1	South City Royals	23	15′ Home
10	Ferrymead Bays		Bay Olympic	24
10	Ferrymead Bays		Tauranga City United	25
10	Ferrymead Bays		Waterside Karori	26
10	Ferrymead Bays		Petone	27
10	Ferrymead Bays		Wellington	28
10	Ferrymead Bays	5–0	Wanaka	29	30′ Home
10	Ferrymead Bays	3–0	Selwyn United	30	9′ Home
10	Ferrymead Bays		Manukau United	31
10	Ferrymead Bays		FC Western	32

Auckland II

Away · National League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Birkenhead United	2–0	Auckland II	16	—
1	Birkenhead United	2–0	Auckland II	16	—
2	Cashmere Technical		Auckland II	16
3	Eastern	3–0	Auckland II	16	50′ Home
4	Wellington Ol.		Auckland II	16
5	Napier		Auckland II	16
6	Auckland City	2–0	Auckland II	16	51′ Home
7	Miramar		Auckland II	16
8	Auckland United	3–3	Auckland II	16	—
9	Fencibles United	3–2	Auckland II	16	—
10	Ferrymead Bays		Auckland II	16
11	Western Suburbs		Auckland II	16
12	Nomads United		Auckland II	16
13	East Coast Bays	2–1	Auckland II	16	6′ Away
14	Coastal Spirit		Auckland II	16
15	Western Springs	1–1	Auckland II	16	45+2′ Home
16 · Auckland II
17	Nelson Suburbs		Auckland II	16
18	Upper Hutt City		Auckland II	16
19	Christchurch United		Auckland II	16
20	Northern AFC		Auckland II	16
21	Island Bay United		Auckland II	16
22	Melville United	1–5	Auckland II	16	2′ Away
23	South City Royals		Auckland II	16
24	Bay Olympic	4–3	Auckland II	16	14′ Home
25	Tauranga City United	1–2	Auckland II	16	25′ Away
26	Waterside Karori		Auckland II	16
27	Petone		Auckland II	16
28	Wellington		Auckland II	16
29	Wanaka		Auckland II	16
30	Selwyn United		Auckland II	16
31	Manukau United	1–2	Auckland II	16	9′ Home
32	FC Western		Auckland II	16

Ferrymead Bays Home Auckland II Away

Wins

70%

25%

Over 1.5

70%

100%

Over 2.5

70%

67%

Over 3.5

40%

33%

Both teams scored

20%

67%

Clean sheets

70%

0%

Scores first

80%

33%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

National League · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Ferrymead Bays

19 matches

Goals & results	Home10 matches	Away9 matches	Overall19 matches
Points / match	2.20	1.89	2.05
Draws	10.0%	22.2%	15.8%
Goals scored / match	2.40	1.67	2.05
Goals conceded / match	0.80	1.22	1.00
Total goals / match	3.20	2.89	3.05
Failed to score	20.0%	33.3%	26.3%
Under 2.5 goals	30.0%	44.4%	36.8%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	7 of 8	88%
Scores first → wins	7 of 8	88%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 10/10 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Auckland II

23 matches

Goals & results	Home11 matches	Away12 matches	Overall23 matches
Points / match	1.45	0.92	1.17
Draws	9.1%	16.7%	13.0%
Goals scored / match	1.91	1.58	1.74
Goals conceded / match	1.64	2.08	1.87
Total goals / match	3.55	3.67	3.61
Failed to score	18.2%	33.3%	26.1%
Under 2.5 goals	36.4%	33.3%	34.8%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	3 of 4	75%
Scores first → wins	2 of 4	50%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 8	12%

Scoring order known: 12/12 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Ferrymead Bays	Draw	Auckland II	How it works
Strength (Elo)	61.4%	12.3%	26.3%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	54.3%	22.2%	22.0%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.91–1.13 Model expected goals

57.1% Probability of over 2.5 goals

56.6% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 10.3%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-110.3%

2-19.9%

1-09.2%

2-08.8%

3-16.3%

1-25.8%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Ferrymead Bays	Auckland II	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1581	1482	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	17	16	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1503	1511	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Ferrymead Bays	1.32	0.74	0.47	0.53
Auckland II	0.75	0.95	0.65	1.25

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Ferrymead Bays	10%	10%	16%	26%	37%
Auckland II	0%	9%	26%	22%	44%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.20 Ferrymead Bays at home, 10 matches

0.67 Auckland II away, 9 matches

56d Days of rest for Ferrymead Bays

55d Days of rest for Auckland II

— Manager of Ferrymead Bays

— Manager of Auckland II

0 Matches for Ferrymead Bays in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Auckland II in the last 14 days

19 Points for Ferrymead Bays behind the leaders, and 29 above the relegation zone

31 Points for Auckland II behind the leaders, and 17 above the relegation zone

3.55 League goals per match

15.3% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Ferrymead Bays, the right bar represents Auckland II.

On the ball

20 matches

4.69

corners

4.75

—

fouls

—

2.56

yellow cards

1.4

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Ferrymead Bays	DWWLWWDLLW	1.70	2.10–0.90	1D
Auckland II	LLWWLLWWLW	1.50	2.20–1.90	2L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Ferrymead Bays	10	6	3	1	1
Auckland II	6	8	6	1	2

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Ferrymead Bays

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Auckland II

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.