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Wellington Ol.
VS Scheduled New Zealand 2026 National League · Matchday 9
Birkenhead United
Recent matches

Wellington Ol.

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-27 New Zealand, National League 2026 Auckland II2–3Wellington Ol.
2026-08-29 New Zealand, National League 2026 Wellington Ol.2–1Waterside Karori
2026-08-22 New Zealand, National League 2026 Petone1–1Wellington Ol.
2026-08-08 New Zealand, National League 2026 Wellington0–2Wellington Ol.
2026-08-01 New Zealand, National League 2026 Wellington Ol.4–1Upper Hutt City
2026-07-18 New Zealand, National League 2026 Island Bay United1–2Wellington Ol.
2026-07-11 New Zealand, National League 2026 Wellington Ol.9–0FC Western
2026-06-28 New Zealand, National League 2026 Napier3–2Wellington Ol.

Birkenhead United

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-27 New Zealand, National League 2026 Birkenhead United0–4Cashmere Technical
2026-09-02 New Zealand, National League 2026 Bay Olympic2–2Birkenhead United
2026-08-22 New Zealand, National League 2026 Birkenhead United0–0Fencibles United
2026-08-15 New Zealand, National League 2026 Tauranga City United0–3Birkenhead United
2026-08-08 New Zealand, National League 2026 Birkenhead United6–1Manukau United
2026-08-01 New Zealand, National League 2026 Western Springs1–2Birkenhead United
2026-07-18 New Zealand, National League 2026 Birkenhead United4–1Melville United
2026-07-11 New Zealand, National League 2026 Birkenhead United4–0Auckland United
Wellington Ol. Birkenhead United

Wins

75%
62%

Over 2.5 goals

75%
88%

Both teams scored

75%
50%

Clean sheets

25%
38%
Home & away results

This season · 2026

Wellington Ol. Home Birkenhead United Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

National League · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Wellington Ol.

19 matches
Goals & resultsHome9 matchesAway10 matchesOverall19 matches
Points / match2.442.302.37
Draws11.1%20.0%15.8%
Goals scored / match3.442.502.95
Goals conceded / match1.110.901.00
Total goals / match4.563.403.95
Failed to score11.1%0.0%5.3%
Under 2.5 goals11.1%40.0%26.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 8/9 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Birkenhead United

23 matches
Goals & resultsHome13 matchesAway10 matchesOverall23 matches
Points / match2.622.402.52
Draws7.7%30.0%17.4%
Goals scored / match2.852.102.52
Goals conceded / match0.770.700.74
Total goals / match3.622.803.26
Failed to score15.4%0.0%8.7%
Under 2.5 goals30.8%50.0%39.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 9/10 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelWellington Ol.Draw Birkenhead UnitedHow it works
Strength (Elo) 46.1% 15.2% 38.7% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 25.5% 23.5% 49.9% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.18–1.76 Model expected goals
55.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals
56.5% Both teams to score
1-1 Most likely score, at 11.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-111.0%
1-29.7%
0-19.3%
0-28.2%
2-16.5%
1-06.3%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureWellington Ol.Birkenhead United How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1627 1646 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 43 13 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1483 1491 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Wellington Ol. 1.561.50 0.220.78
Birkenhead United 1.201.45 0.450.25

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Wellington Ol. 0%5%21%26%47%
Birkenhead United 4%9%26%17%44%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.44 Wellington Ol. at home, 9 matches
2.50 Birkenhead United away, 8 matches
55d Days of rest for Wellington Ol.
55d Days of rest for Birkenhead United
— Manager of Wellington Ol.
— Manager of Birkenhead United
0 Matches for Wellington Ol. in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Birkenhead United in the last 14 days
13 Points for Wellington Ol. behind the leaders, and 35 above the relegation zone
0 Points for Birkenhead United behind the leaders, and 48 above the relegation zone
3.55 League goals per match
15.3% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Wellington Ol., the right bar represents Birkenhead United.

On the ball

20 matches
6.69
corners
8.84
—
fouls
—
1.67
yellow cards
2.91

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Wellington Ol. WWDWWWWLWD 2.30 2.80–1.10 2W
Birkenhead United LDDWWWWWDW 2.10 2.50–1.20 1L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Wellington Ol.11 70 01
Birkenhead United11 72 00
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Wellington Ol.

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Birkenhead United

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.