Eastern

Eastern

VS Scheduled Sunday 22 Nov 202603:00

New Zealand 2026 National League · Matchday 9

Wellington

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	2026	Ferrymead Bays0–0Eastern
2026-08-29	2026	Eastern3–0Auckland II
2026-08-22	2026	Eastern1–1East Coast Bays
2026-08-15	2026	Bay Olympic1–5Eastern
2026-08-08	2026	Eastern4–1Fencibles United
2026-08-01	2026	Tauranga City United0–1Eastern
2026-07-18	2026	Eastern7–0Manukau United
2026-07-11	2026	Western Springs0–1Eastern

Wellington

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	2026	Wellington1–1Auckland United
2026-08-29	2026	Wellington1–2Upper Hutt City
2026-08-22	2026	Island Bay United2–1Wellington
2026-08-08	2026	Wellington0–2Wellington Ol.
2026-08-01	2026	Wellington2–2Western Suburbs
2026-07-18	2026	Wellington1–2Napier
2026-07-11	2026	Miramar1–0Wellington
2026-07-04	2026	Wellington1–1FC Western

Eastern Wellington

Wins

75%

0%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

Both teams scored

38%

75%

Clean sheets

62%

0%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Eastern

Home · National League

Home			Away		1st goal
3	Eastern	1–1	Birkenhead United	1	84′ Away
3	Eastern		Cashmere Technical	2
3 · Eastern
3	Eastern		Wellington Ol.	4
3	Eastern		Napier	5
3	Eastern	0–0	Auckland City	6	–
3	Eastern		Miramar	7
3	Eastern	0–0	Auckland United	8	–
3	Eastern	4–1	Fencibles United	9	5′ Home
3	Eastern		Ferrymead Bays	10
3	Eastern		Western Suburbs	11
3	Eastern		Nomads United	12
3	Eastern	1–1	East Coast Bays	13	25′ Away
3	Eastern		Coastal Spirit	14
3	Eastern	1–0	Western Springs	15	65′ Home
3	Eastern	3–0	Auckland II	16	50′ Home
3	Eastern		Nelson Suburbs	17
3	Eastern		Upper Hutt City	18
3	Eastern		Christchurch United	19
3	Eastern		Northern AFC	20
3	Eastern		Island Bay United	21
3	Eastern	4–0	Melville United	22	15′ Home
3	Eastern		South City Royals	23
3	Eastern	2–0	Bay Olympic	24	19′ Home
3	Eastern	3–0	Tauranga City United	25	23′ Home
3	Eastern		Waterside Karori	26
3	Eastern		Petone	27
3	Eastern		Wellington	28
3	Eastern		Wanaka	29
3	Eastern		Selwyn United	30
3	Eastern	7–0	Manukau United	31	10′ Home
3	Eastern		FC Western	32

Wellington

Away · National League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Birkenhead United		Wellington	28
2	Cashmere Technical		Wellington	28
3	Eastern		Wellington	28
4	Wellington Ol.	3–1	Wellington	28	3′ Away
5	Napier	2–1	Wellington	28	42′ Away
6	Auckland City		Wellington	28
7	Miramar	1–0	Wellington	28	45+4′ Home
8	Auckland United		Wellington	28
9	Fencibles United		Wellington	28
10	Ferrymead Bays		Wellington	28
11	Western Suburbs	1–0	Wellington	28	34′ Home
12	Nomads United		Wellington	28
13	East Coast Bays		Wellington	28
14	Coastal Spirit		Wellington	28
15	Western Springs		Wellington	28
16	Auckland II		Wellington	28
17	Nelson Suburbs		Wellington	28
18	Upper Hutt City	1–0	Wellington	28	61′ Home
19	Christchurch United		Wellington	28
20	Northern AFC		Wellington	28
21	Island Bay United	2–1	Wellington	28	31′ Away
22	Melville United		Wellington	28
23	South City Royals		Wellington	28
24	Bay Olympic		Wellington	28
25	Tauranga City United		Wellington	28
26	Waterside Karori	1–3	Wellington	28	9′ Away
27	Petone	1–1	Wellington	28	31′ Away
28 · Wellington
29	Wanaka		Wellington	28
30	Selwyn United		Wellington	28
31	Manukau United		Wellington	28
32	FC Western	2–1	Wellington	28	20′ Home

Eastern Home Wellington Away

Wins

64%

11%

Over 1.5

73%

67%

Over 2.5

46%

56%

Over 3.5

27%

22%

Both teams scored

27%

67%

Clean sheets

73%

0%

Scores first

64%

56%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

National League · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Eastern

23 matches

Goals & results	Home11 matches	Away12 matches	Overall23 matches
Points / match	2.27	1.92	2.09
Draws	36.4%	16.7%	26.1%
Goals scored / match	2.36	1.25	1.78
Goals conceded / match	0.27	0.50	0.39
Total goals / match	2.64	1.75	2.17
Failed to score	18.2%	25.0%	21.7%
Under 2.5 goals	54.5%	75.0%	65.2%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	5 of 7	71%
Scores first → wins	7 of 7	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 11/11 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	3	0
16–30	4	1
31–45	3	0
46–60	2	0
61–75	5	0
76–90	9	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Wellington

19 matches

Goals & results	Home10 matches	Away9 matches	Overall19 matches
Points / match	0.80	0.44	0.63
Draws	50.0%	11.1%	31.6%
Goals scored / match	1.00	0.89	0.95
Goals conceded / match	1.30	1.56	1.42
Total goals / match	2.30	2.44	2.37
Failed to score	30.0%	33.3%	31.6%
Under 2.5 goals	60.0%	44.4%	52.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	4 of 5	80%
Scores first → wins	1 of 5	20%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 4	0%

Scoring order known: 9/9 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	2	1
16–30	0	3
31–45	4	3
46–60	0	3
61–75	0	3
76–90	2	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Eastern	Draw	Wellington	How it works
Strength (Elo)	72.8%	8.7%	18.5%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	55.0%	28.2%	16.5%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.36–0.60 Model expected goals

31.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals

33.6% Both teams to score

1-0 Most likely score, at 19.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-019.1%

0-014.0%

2-013.0%

1-111.5%

0-18.5%

2-17.8%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Eastern	Wellington	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1616	1428	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	47	-43	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1493	1505	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Eastern	0.75	1.20	0.15	0.20
Wellington	0.63	0.32	0.74	0.68

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Eastern	13%	35%	17%	17%	17%
Wellington	5%	21%	26%	26%	21%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.40 Eastern at home, 10 matches

0.44 Wellington away, 9 matches

57d Days of rest for Eastern

57d Days of rest for Wellington

— Manager of Eastern

— Manager of Wellington

0 Matches for Eastern in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Wellington in the last 14 days

10 Points for Eastern behind the leaders, and 38 above the relegation zone

46 Points for Wellington behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

3.55 League goals per match

15.3% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Eastern, the right bar represents Wellington.

On the ball

20 matches

7.0

corners

6.06

—

fouls

—

1.91

yellow cards

1.55

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Eastern	DWDWWWWWDL	2.10	2.30–0.50	1D
Wellington	DLLLDLLDDD	0.50	0.80–1.40	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Eastern	8	10	2	0	0
Wellington	7	5	7	0	5

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Eastern

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Wellington

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.