Miramar

Miramar

VS Scheduled Sunday 6 Dec 202601:00

New Zealand 2026 National League · Matchday 11

Wellington

Head-to-head overview

2 meetings

MiramarWins: 2
Draws0.0% of meetings: 0
WellingtonWins: 0

Goals per match: 1.00
Over 2.5 goals: 0.0%
Both teams scored: 0.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-07-11	2026	Miramar1–0Wellington
2026-04-18	2026	Wellington0–1Miramar

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-27	2026	Napier1–1Miramar
2026-08-29	2026	Miramar1–1Western Suburbs
2026-08-23	2026	Napier2–3Miramar
2026-08-08	2026	Miramar12–0FC Western
2026-08-01	2026	Miramar0–0Waterside Karori
2026-07-18	2026	Petone1–1Miramar
2026-07-11	2026	Miramar1–0Wellington
2026-06-27	2026	Miramar4–2Island Bay United

Wellington

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	2026	Wellington1–1Auckland United
2026-08-29	2026	Wellington1–2Upper Hutt City
2026-08-22	2026	Island Bay United2–1Wellington
2026-08-08	2026	Wellington0–2Wellington Ol.
2026-08-01	2026	Wellington2–2Western Suburbs
2026-07-18	2026	Wellington1–2Napier
2026-07-11	2026	Miramar1–0Wellington
2026-07-04	2026	Wellington1–1FC Western

Miramar Wellington

Wins

50%

0%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

50%

Both teams scored

62%

75%

Clean sheets

38%

0%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Miramar

Home · National League

Home			Away		1st goal
7	Miramar		Birkenhead United	1
7	Miramar		Cashmere Technical	2
7	Miramar		Eastern	3
7	Miramar	1–1	Wellington Ol.	4	2′ Away
7	Miramar	2–1	Napier	5	32′ Home
7	Miramar		Auckland City	6
7 · Miramar
7	Miramar		Auckland United	8
7	Miramar		Fencibles United	9
7	Miramar		Ferrymead Bays	10
7	Miramar	1–1	Western Suburbs	11	85′ Away
7	Miramar		Nomads United	12
7	Miramar		East Coast Bays	13
7	Miramar		Coastal Spirit	14
7	Miramar		Western Springs	15
7	Miramar		Auckland II	16
7	Miramar		Nelson Suburbs	17
7	Miramar	2–0	Upper Hutt City	18	11′ Home
7	Miramar		Christchurch United	19
7	Miramar		Northern AFC	20
7	Miramar	4–2	Island Bay United	21	10′ Away
7	Miramar		Melville United	22
7	Miramar		South City Royals	23
7	Miramar		Bay Olympic	24
7	Miramar		Tauranga City United	25
7	Miramar	0–0	Waterside Karori	26	–
7	Miramar	4–1	Petone	27	3′ Home
7	Miramar	1–0	Wellington	28	45+4′ Home
7	Miramar		Wanaka	29
7	Miramar		Selwyn United	30
7	Miramar		Manukau United	31
7	Miramar	12–0	FC Western	32	6′ Home

Wellington

Away · National League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Birkenhead United		Wellington	28
2	Cashmere Technical		Wellington	28
3	Eastern		Wellington	28
4	Wellington Ol.	3–1	Wellington	28	3′ Away
5	Napier	2–1	Wellington	28	42′ Away
6	Auckland City		Wellington	28
7	Miramar	1–0	Wellington	28	45+4′ Home
8	Auckland United		Wellington	28
9	Fencibles United		Wellington	28
10	Ferrymead Bays		Wellington	28
11	Western Suburbs	1–0	Wellington	28	34′ Home
12	Nomads United		Wellington	28
13	East Coast Bays		Wellington	28
14	Coastal Spirit		Wellington	28
15	Western Springs		Wellington	28
16	Auckland II		Wellington	28
17	Nelson Suburbs		Wellington	28
18	Upper Hutt City	1–0	Wellington	28	61′ Home
19	Christchurch United		Wellington	28
20	Northern AFC		Wellington	28
21	Island Bay United	2–1	Wellington	28	31′ Away
22	Melville United		Wellington	28
23	South City Royals		Wellington	28
24	Bay Olympic		Wellington	28
25	Tauranga City United		Wellington	28
26	Waterside Karori	1–3	Wellington	28	9′ Away
27	Petone	1–1	Wellington	28	31′ Away
28 · Wellington
29	Wanaka		Wellington	28
30	Selwyn United		Wellington	28
31	Manukau United		Wellington	28
32	FC Western	2–1	Wellington	28	20′ Home

Miramar Home Wellington Away

Wins

67%

11%

Over 1.5

78%

67%

Over 2.5

44%

56%

Over 3.5

33%

22%

Both teams scored

56%

67%

Clean sheets

44%

0%

Scores first

56%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

National League · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Miramar

19 matches

Goals & results	Home9 matches	Away10 matches	Overall19 matches
Points / match	2.33	2.10	2.21
Draws	33.3%	30.0%	31.6%
Goals scored / match	3.00	2.10	2.53
Goals conceded / match	0.67	0.90	0.79
Total goals / match	3.67	3.00	3.32
Failed to score	11.1%	10.0%	10.5%
Under 2.5 goals	55.6%	60.0%	57.9%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	5 of 5	100%
Scores first → wins	5 of 5	100%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 3	33%

Scoring order known: 9/9 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	6	2
16–30	1	0
31–45	4	1
46–60	7	1
61–75	6	0
76–90	3	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Wellington

19 matches

Goals & results	Home10 matches	Away9 matches	Overall19 matches
Points / match	0.80	0.44	0.63
Draws	50.0%	11.1%	31.6%
Goals scored / match	1.00	0.89	0.95
Goals conceded / match	1.30	1.56	1.42
Total goals / match	2.30	2.44	2.37
Failed to score	30.0%	33.3%	31.6%
Under 2.5 goals	60.0%	44.4%	52.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	4 of 5	80%
Scores first → wins	1 of 5	20%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 4	0%

Scoring order known: 9/9 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	2	1
16–30	0	3
31–45	4	3
46–60	0	3
61–75	0	3
76–90	2	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Miramar	Draw	Wellington	How it works
Strength (Elo)	72.9%	8.7%	18.4%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	64.5%	22.4%	12.2%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.76–0.60 Model expected goals

41.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals

37.1% Both teams to score

1-0 Most likely score, at 16.5%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-016.5%

2-014.6%

1-110.0%

0-09.4%

2-18.8%

3-08.6%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Miramar	Wellington	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1618	1428	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	36	-43	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1508	1505	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Miramar	1.17	1.44	0.39	0.39
Wellington	0.63	0.32	0.74	0.68

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Miramar	5%	16%	37%	5%	37%
Wellington	5%	21%	26%	26%	21%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.33 Miramar at home, 9 matches

0.44 Wellington away, 9 matches

70d Days of rest for Miramar

71d Days of rest for Wellington

— Manager of Miramar

— Manager of Wellington

0 Matches for Miramar in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Wellington in the last 14 days

16 Points for Miramar behind the leaders, and 32 above the relegation zone

46 Points for Wellington behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

3.55 League goals per match

15.3% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Miramar, the right bar represents Wellington.

On the ball

20 matches

8.33

corners

6.06

—

fouls

—

2.56

yellow cards

1.55

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Miramar	DDWWDDWWWD	2.00	2.70–1.00	2D
Wellington	DLLLDLLDDD	0.50	0.80–1.40	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Miramar	9	6	3	1	0
Wellington	7	5	7	0	5

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Miramar

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Wellington

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.