Head-to-head overview
2 meetings- Wellington Ol.Wins
- 0
- Draws0.0% of meetings
- 0
- NapierWins
- 2
- Goals per match
- 4.00
- Over 2.5 goals
- 100.0%
- Both teams scored
- 50.0%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-28 |
2026
|
Napier3–2Wellington Ol. |
| 2026-04-04 |
2026
|
Wellington Ol.0–3Napier |
Recent matches
Wellington Ol.
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 |
2026
|
Auckland II2–3Wellington Ol. |
| 2026-08-29 |
2026
|
Wellington Ol.2–1Waterside Karori |
| 2026-08-22 |
2026
|
Petone1–1Wellington Ol. |
| 2026-08-08 |
2026
|
Wellington0–2Wellington Ol. |
| 2026-08-01 |
2026
|
Wellington Ol.4–1Upper Hutt City |
| 2026-07-18 |
2026
|
Island Bay United1–2Wellington Ol. |
| 2026-07-11 |
2026
|
Wellington Ol.9–0FC Western |
| 2026-06-28 |
2026
|
Napier3–2Wellington Ol. |
Napier
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 |
2026
|
Napier1–1Miramar |
| 2026-08-29 |
2026
|
FC Western0–6Napier |
| 2026-08-23 |
2026
|
Napier2–3Miramar |
| 2026-08-08 |
2026
|
Waterside Karori1–3Napier |
| 2026-08-02 |
2026
|
Napier4–0Petone |
| 2026-07-18 |
2026
|
Wellington1–2Napier |
| 2026-07-12 |
2026
|
Napier5–1Upper Hutt City |
| 2026-06-28 |
2026
|
Napier3–2Wellington Ol. |
Wellington Ol.
Napier
Wins
75%
75%
Over 2.5 goals
75%
88%
Both teams scored
75%
75%
Clean sheets
25%
25%
Home & away results
This season · 2026
Wellington Ol.
Napier
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birkenhead United | Napier | 5 | ||
| 2 | Cashmere Technical | Napier | 5 | ||
| 3 | Eastern | Napier | 5 | ||
| 4 | Wellington Ol. | 0–3 | Napier | 5 | 50′ Away |
| 5 · Napier | |||||
| 6 | Auckland City | Napier | 5 | ||
| 7 | Miramar | 2–1 | Napier | 5 | 32′ Home |
| 8 | Auckland United | Napier | 5 | ||
| 9 | Fencibles United | Napier | 5 | ||
| 10 | Ferrymead Bays | Napier | 5 | ||
| 11 | Western Suburbs | 3–3 | Napier | 5 | 9′ Away |
| 12 | Nomads United | Napier | 5 | ||
| 13 | East Coast Bays | Napier | 5 | ||
| 14 | Coastal Spirit | Napier | 5 | ||
| 15 | Western Springs | Napier | 5 | ||
| 16 | Auckland II | Napier | 5 | ||
| 17 | Nelson Suburbs | Napier | 5 | ||
| 18 | Upper Hutt City | 0–2 | Napier | 5 | 15′ Away |
| 19 | Christchurch United | Napier | 5 | ||
| 20 | Northern AFC | Napier | 5 | ||
| 21 | Island Bay United | 0–1 | Napier | 5 | 50′ Away |
| 22 | Melville United | Napier | 5 | ||
| 23 | South City Royals | Napier | 5 | ||
| 24 | Bay Olympic | Napier | 5 | ||
| 25 | Tauranga City United | Napier | 5 | ||
| 26 | Waterside Karori | 1–3 | Napier | 5 | 28′ Away |
| 27 | Petone | 0–1 | Napier | 5 | 53′ Away |
| 28 | Wellington | 1–2 | Napier | 5 | 33′ Home |
| 29 | Wanaka | Napier | 5 | ||
| 30 | Selwyn United | Napier | 5 | ||
| 31 | Manukau United | Napier | 5 | ||
| 32 | FC Western | 0–6 | Napier | 5 | 11′ Away |
Wellington Ol. Home
Napier Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
National League · 2026 · Completed league matches only.
Wellington Ol.
| Goals & results | Home9 matches | Away10 matches | Overall19 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 2.44 | 2.30 | 2.37 |
| Draws | 11.1% | 20.0% | 15.8% |
| Goals scored / match | 3.44 | 2.50 | 2.95 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.11 | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| Total goals / match | 4.56 | 3.40 | 3.95 |
| Failed to score | 11.1% | 0.0% | 5.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 11.1% | 40.0% | 26.3% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | —— | —— |
| Scores first → wins | —— | —— |
| Concedes first → wins | —— | —— |
Scoring order known: 8/9 home.Scoring order known: 18/19 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Napier
| Goals & results | Home10 matches | Away9 matches | Overall19 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 2.30 | 2.44 | 2.37 |
| Draws | 20.0% | 11.1% | 15.8% |
| Goals scored / match | 3.10 | 2.44 | 2.79 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.90 | 0.78 | 0.84 |
| Total goals / match | 4.00 | 3.22 | 3.63 |
| Failed to score | 10.0% | 0.0% | 5.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 20.0% | 33.3% | 26.3% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 4 of 78 of 13 | 57%62% |
| Scores first → wins | 6 of 710 of 13 | 86%77% |
| Concedes first → wins | 1 of 24 of 5 | 50%80% |
Scoring order known: 9/9 away.Scoring order known: 19/19 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 3 | 1 |
| 16–30 | 2 | 0 |
| 31–45 | 4 | 3 |
| 46–60 | 3 | 1 |
| 61–75 | 3 | 2 |
| 76–90 | 7 | 0 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Wellington Ol. | Draw | Napier | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 48.4% | 15.0% | 36.6% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 24.9% | 22.8% | 51.0% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
1.22–1.85
Model expected goals
57.8%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
58.3%
Both teams to score
1-1
Most likely score, at 10.5%
Most likely scores
1-110.5%
1-29.7%
0-18.6%
0-28.0%
2-16.4%
1-36.0%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Wellington Ol. | Napier | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1627 | 1627 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | 43 | 50 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1483 | 1498 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wellington Ol. | 1.56 | 1.50 | 0.22 | 0.78 |
| Napier | 1.05 | 1.74 | 0.47 | 0.37 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wellington Ol. | 0% | 5% | 21% | 26% | 47% |
| Napier | 5% | 10% | 10% | 26% | 47% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
2.44
Wellington Ol. at home, 9 matches
2.44
Napier away, 9 matches
70d
Days of rest for Wellington Ol.
70d
Days of rest for Napier
—
Manager of Wellington Ol.
—
Manager of Napier
0
Matches for Wellington Ol. in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Napier in the last 14 days
13
Points for Wellington Ol. behind the leaders, and 35 above the relegation zone
13
Points for Napier behind the leaders, and 35 above the relegation zone
3.55
League goals per match
15.3%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Wellington Ol., the right bar represents Napier.
On the ball
6.69
8.23
corners
—
—
fouls
1.67
2.12
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wellington Ol. | WWDWWWWLWD | 2.30 | 2.80–1.10 | 2W |
| Napier | DWLWWWWWWD | 2.30 | 3.00–1.20 | 1D |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wellington Ol. | 11 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Napier | 8 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Wellington Ol.
No absences reported.
Napier
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
No recent news linked to these teams.