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Auckland City
VS Scheduled New Zealand 2026 National League · Matchday 11
Ferrymead Bays
Recent matches

Auckland City

DateSeasonMatch
2026-08-29 New Zealand, National League 2026 Melville United0–1Auckland City
2026-08-01 New Zealand, National League 2026 Fencibles United0–3Auckland City
2026-07-29 New Zealand, National League 2026 Auckland City5–1Bay Olympic
2026-07-22 New Zealand, National League 2026 East Coast Bays4–3Auckland City
2026-07-18 New Zealand, National League 2026 Auckland City3–2Tauranga City United
2026-07-11 New Zealand, National League 2026 Manukau United0–5Auckland City
2026-07-01 New Zealand, National League 2026 Auckland City2–0Auckland II
2026-06-27 New Zealand, National League 2026 Auckland City3–0Western Springs

Ferrymead Bays

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 New Zealand, National League 2026 Ferrymead Bays0–0Eastern
2026-08-30 New Zealand, National League 2026 Ferrymead Bays2–1South City Royals
2026-08-22 New Zealand, National League 2026 Ferrymead Bays5–0Nelson Suburbs
2026-08-08 New Zealand, National League 2026 Ferrymead Bays1–2Nomads United
2026-08-01 New Zealand, National League 2026 Selwyn United0–2Ferrymead Bays
2026-07-17 New Zealand, National League 2026 Ferrymead Bays6–0Coastal Spirit
2026-07-11 New Zealand, National League 2026 Christchurch United0–0Ferrymead Bays
2026-06-27 New Zealand, National League 2026 Cashmere Technical4–0Ferrymead Bays
Auckland City Ferrymead Bays

Wins

88%
50%

Over 2.5 goals

75%
62%

Both teams scored

38%
25%

Clean sheets

62%
62%
Home & away results

This season · 2026

Auckland City Home Ferrymead Bays Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

National League · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Auckland City

22 matches
Goals & resultsHome11 matchesAway11 matchesOverall22 matches
Points / match2.271.822.05
Draws9.1%18.2%13.6%
Goals scored / match2.452.182.32
Goals conceded / match0.820.910.86
Total goals / match3.273.093.18
Failed to score18.2%27.3%22.7%
Under 2.5 goals45.5%36.4%40.9%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 5 of 8 62%
Scores first → wins 7 of 8 88%
Concedes first → wins 1 of 3 33%

Scoring order known: 11/11 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1551
16–3053
31–4541
46–6042
61–7540
76–9052

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Ferrymead Bays

19 matches
Goals & resultsHome10 matchesAway9 matchesOverall19 matches
Points / match2.201.892.05
Draws10.0%22.2%15.8%
Goals scored / match2.401.672.05
Goals conceded / match0.801.221.00
Total goals / match3.202.893.05
Failed to score20.0%33.3%26.3%
Under 2.5 goals30.0%44.4%36.8%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 2 of 3 67%
Scores first → wins 3 of 3 100%
Concedes first → wins 2 of 5 40%

Scoring order known: 9/9 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelAuckland CityDraw Ferrymead BaysHow it works
Strength (Elo) 53.7% 14.2% 32.2% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 35.0% 27.7% 37.1% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.18–1.22 Model expected goals
42.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals
48.6% Both teams to score
1-1 Most likely score, at 13.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-113.1%
0-111.1%
1-010.7%
0-09.1%
1-28.0%
2-17.7%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureAuckland CityFerrymead Bays How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1620 1581 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 49 17 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1495 1503 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Auckland City 1.101.30 0.600.30
Ferrymead Bays 1.320.74 0.470.53

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Auckland City 9%23%9%14%46%
Ferrymead Bays 10%10%16%26%37%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.50 Auckland City at home, 10 matches
1.89 Ferrymead Bays away, 9 matches
99d Days of rest for Auckland City
71d Days of rest for Ferrymead Bays
— Manager of Auckland City
— Manager of Ferrymead Bays
0 Matches for Auckland City in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Ferrymead Bays in the last 14 days
13 Points for Auckland City behind the leaders, and 35 above the relegation zone
19 Points for Ferrymead Bays behind the leaders, and 29 above the relegation zone
3.55 League goals per match
15.3% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Auckland City, the right bar represents Ferrymead Bays.

On the ball

20 matches
6.72
corners
4.69
—
fouls
—
1.91
yellow cards
2.56

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Auckland City WWWLWWWWLD 2.20 2.80–1.10 3W
Ferrymead Bays DWWLWWDLLW 1.70 2.10–0.90 1D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Auckland City9 65 10
Ferrymead Bays10 63 11
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Auckland City

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Ferrymead Bays

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.