PSM

PSM

VS Scheduled Thursday 22 Oct 202609:30

Indonesia 26/27 Liga 1 · Matchday 6

Persebaya

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	PSM2–2Persita
2026-09-13	26/27	PSM3–3Arema
2026-09-06	26/27	Persib3–1PSM

Persebaya

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Persebaya1–1Garudayaksa FC
2026-09-13	26/27	Persebaya1–0PSIM Yogyakarta
2026-09-05	26/27	Bhayangkara1–1Persebaya

PSM Persebaya

Wins

0%

33%

Over 2.5 goals

100%

0%

Both teams scored

100%

67%

Clean sheets

0%

33%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

PSM

Home · Liga 1

Home			Away		1st goal
12	PSM		Dewa United	1
12	PSM		Madura Utd	2
12	PSM		Persija	3
12	PSM		Bali United	4
12	PSM		Persib	5
12	PSM		Borneo	6
12	PSM	3–3	Arema	7	28′ Away
12	PSM		Bhayangkara	8
12	PSM	2–2	Persita	9	17′ Away
12	PSM		Persebaya	10
12	PSM		Persik	11
12 · PSM
12	PSM		Garudayaksa FC	13
12	PSM		Malut United	14
12	PSM		PSIM Yogyakarta	15
12	PSM		PSS	16
12	PSM		Persijap	17
12	PSM		Adhyaksa	18

Persebaya

Away · Liga 1

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Dewa United		Persebaya	10
2	Madura Utd		Persebaya	10
3	Persija		Persebaya	10
4	Bali United		Persebaya	10
5	Persib		Persebaya	10
6	Borneo		Persebaya	10
7	Arema		Persebaya	10
8	Bhayangkara	1–1	Persebaya	10	13′ Away
9	Persita		Persebaya	10
10 · Persebaya
11	Persik		Persebaya	10
12	PSM		Persebaya	10
13	Garudayaksa FC		Persebaya	10
14	Malut United		Persebaya	10
15	PSIM Yogyakarta		Persebaya	10
16	PSS		Persebaya	10
17	Persijap		Persebaya	10
18	Adhyaksa		Persebaya	10

PSM Home Persebaya Away

Wins

0%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

100%

0%

Over 3.5

100%

0%

Both teams scored

100%

Clean sheets

0%

Scores first

0%

100%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Liga 1 · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

PSM

3 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away1 matches	Overall3 matches
Points / match	1.00	0.00	0.67
Draws	100.0%	0.0%	66.7%
Goals scored / match	2.50	1.00	2.00
Goals conceded / match	2.50	3.00	2.67
Total goals / match	5.00	4.00	4.67
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	2
31–45	1	1
46–60	0	1
61–75	2	1
76–90	2	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Persebaya

3 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away1 matches	Overall3 matches
Points / match	2.00	1.00	1.67
Draws	50.0%	100.0%	66.7%
Goals scored / match	1.00	1.00	1.00
Goals conceded / match	0.50	1.00	0.67
Total goals / match	1.50	2.00	1.67
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	100.0%	100.0%	100.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	0 of 1	0%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 1/1 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	0	0
46–60	0	1
61–75	0	0
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	PSM	Draw	Persebaya	How it works
Goals (Poisson)	12.6%	18.1%	66.5%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.85–2.27 Model expected goals

57.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals

49.8% Both teams to score

0-2 Most likely score, at 11.4%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-211.4%

0-110.0%

1-29.7%

0-38.6%

1-18.5%

1-37.3%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	PSM	Persebaya	How to read it

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
PSM	0.67	1.33	1.00	1.67
Persebaya	0.33	0.67	0.00	0.67

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
PSM	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
Persebaya	0%	33%	67%	0%	0%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.00 PSM at home, 2 matches

1.00 Persebaya away, 1 matches

33d Days of rest for PSM

33d Days of rest for Persebaya

— Manager of PSM

— Manager of Persebaya

0 Matches for PSM in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Persebaya in the last 14 days

8 Points for PSM behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone

5 Points for Persebaya behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone

2.75 League goals per match

28.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents PSM, the right bar represents Persebaya.

On the ball

20 matches

5.0

corners

7.0

—

fouls

—

2.0

yellow cards

2.5

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
PSM	DDL	0.67	2.00–2.67	2D
Persebaya	DWD	1.67	1.00–0.67	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
PSM	1	0	2	0	1
Persebaya	1	2	0	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

PSM

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Persebaya

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.