Concepción

Concepción

VS Scheduled Sunday 1 Nov 202600:00

Chile 2026 Primera División · Matchday 26

Palestino

Head-to-head overview

1 meetings

ConcepciónWins: 1
Draws0.0% of meetings: 0
PalestinoWins: 0

Goals per match: 1.00
Over 2.5 goals: 0.0%
Both teams scored: 0.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-04-24	2026	Palestino0–1Concepción

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-13	2026	Colo Colo1–1Concepción
2026-09-05	2026	Concepción0–1Audax
2026-08-30	2026	Dep Nublense0–1Concepción
2026-08-23	2026	Concepción1–1Coquimbo
2026-08-16	2026	Cobresal0–2Concepción
2026-08-09	2026	Concepción1–0Uni Concepción
2026-08-02	2026	Concepción3–0Univ Católica
2026-07-27	2026	Concepción2–0O'Higgins

Palestino

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-13	2026	Palestino2–3Univ Católica
2026-09-06	2026	Palestino2–1Uni Concepción
2026-08-28	2026	Cobresal2–0Palestino
2026-08-23	2026	O'Higgins0–1Palestino
2026-08-18	2026	Palestino5–1Huachipato
2026-08-10	2026	Univ Chile2–1Palestino
2026-08-01	2026	Palestino2–1Coquimbo
2026-07-26	2026	Dep Nublense2–0Palestino

Concepción Palestino

Wins

62%

50%

Over 2.5 goals

12%

62%

Both teams scored

25%

62%

Clean sheets

62%

12%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Concepción

Home · Primera División

Home			Away		1st goal
8	Concepción	0–1	Colo Colo	1	68′ Away
8	Concepción	3–0	Univ Católica	2	10′ Home
8	Concepción		Univ Chile	3
8	Concepción	0–2	Everton	4	—
8	Concepción		Palestino	5
8	Concepción	3–2	Limache	6	13′ Home
8	Concepción	0–2	Dep Nublense	7	29′ Away
8 · Concepción
8	Concepción	3–3	La Serena	9	11′ Home
8	Concepción	1–1	Coquimbo	10	7′ Away
8	Concepción	0–1	Audax	11	17′ Away
8	Concepción	2–0	O'Higgins	12	45′ Home
8	Concepción	2–0	Huachipato	13	32′ Home
8	Concepción	1–0	Uni Concepción	14	45+5′ Home
8	Concepción	1–1	Cobresal	15	81′ Away
8	Concepción		U. La Calera	16

Palestino

Away · Primera División

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Colo Colo	0–1	Palestino	5	33′ Away
2	Univ Católica	6–1	Palestino	5	9′ Home
3	Univ Chile	2–1	Palestino	5	18′ Home
4	Everton	1–2	Palestino	5	20′ Away
5 · Palestino
6	Limache		Palestino	5
7	Dep Nublense	2–0	Palestino	5	23′ Home
8	Concepción		Palestino	5
9	La Serena		Palestino	5
10	Coquimbo	3–1	Palestino	5	19′ Home
11	Audax		Palestino	5
12	O'Higgins	0–1	Palestino	5	90+4′ Away
13	Huachipato	2–1	Palestino	5	18′ Away
14	Uni Concepción	1–0	Palestino	5	90+3′ Home
15	Cobresal	2–0	Palestino	5	17′ Home
16	U. La Calera	1–2	Palestino	5	8′ Away

Concepción Home Palestino Away

Wins

42%

36%

Over 1.5

75%

73%

Over 2.5

25%

54%

Over 3.5

17%

18%

Both teams scored

33%

54%

Clean sheets

33%

18%

Scores first

50%

46%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Primera División · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Concepción

23 matches

Goals & results	Home12 matches	Away11 matches	Overall23 matches
Points / match	1.50	1.18	1.35
Draws	25.0%	9.1%	17.4%
Goals scored / match	1.33	0.82	1.09
Goals conceded / match	1.08	1.18	1.13
Total goals / match	2.42	2.00	2.22
Failed to score	33.3%	27.3%	30.4%
Under 2.5 goals	75.0%	63.6%	69.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	5 of 6	83%
Scores first → wins	5 of 6	83%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 6	0%

Scoring order known: 12/12 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Palestino

23 matches

Goals & results	Home12 matches	Away11 matches	Overall23 matches
Points / match	2.00	1.09	1.57
Draws	25.0%	0.0%	13.0%
Goals scored / match	2.17	0.91	1.57
Goals conceded / match	1.08	1.82	1.43
Total goals / match	3.25	2.73	3.00
Failed to score	25.0%	27.3%	26.1%
Under 2.5 goals	41.7%	45.5%	43.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	4 of 5	80%
Scores first → wins	4 of 5	80%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 6	0%

Scoring order known: 11/11 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	1
16–30	4	5
31–45	2	4
46–60	0	1
61–75	1	4
76–90	2	5

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Concepción	Draw	Palestino	How it works
Strength (Elo)	45.8%	20.3%	33.9%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	27.1%	26.9%	45.5%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.01–1.40 Model expected goals

42.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals

47.7% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 12.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-112.7%

0-112.6%

1-09.1%

0-09.0%

1-28.9%

0-28.8%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Concepción	Palestino	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1513	1514	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	61	-2	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1507	1497	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Concepción	0.60	0.55	0.50	0.50
Palestino	0.75	0.95	0.75	0.70

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Concepción	0%	30%	39%	22%	9%
Palestino	9%	22%	13%	26%	30%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.50 Concepción at home, 12 matches

1.20 Palestino away, 10 matches

49d Days of rest for Concepción

49d Days of rest for Palestino

— Manager of Concepción

— Manager of Palestino

0 Matches for Concepción in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Palestino in the last 14 days

23 Points for Concepción behind the leaders, and 6 above the relegation zone

18 Points for Palestino behind the leaders, and 11 above the relegation zone

2.86 League goals per match

20.9% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Concepción, the right bar represents Palestino.

On the ball

20 matches

4.58

corners

4.83

9.63

fouls

10.45

2.25

yellow cards

3.18

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Concepción	DLWDWWWWWL	2.00	1.50–0.70	1D
Palestino	LWLWWLWLWD	1.60	1.50–1.30	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Concepción	10	4	6	0	1
Palestino	6	7	7	1	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Concepción

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Palestino

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.