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Independiente
VS Scheduled Panama 26/27 LPF · Matchday 11
Árabe
Recent matches

Independiente

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-21 Panama, LPF 26/27 Independiente4–3San Miguelito
2026-09-13 Panama, LPF 26/27 Independiente2–2Plaza Amador
2026-09-08 Panama, LPF 26/27 UMECIT2–0Independiente
2026-08-29 Panama, LPF 26/27 Tauro2–1Independiente
2026-08-23 Panama, LPF 26/27 Independiente3–0Unión Coclé
2026-08-15 Panama, LPF 26/27 San Francisco2–1Independiente
2026-08-11 Panama, LPF 26/27 Independiente2–2Universitario
2026-08-04 Panama, LPF 26/27 Independiente0–0Herrera

Árabe

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 Panama, LPF 26/27 Árabe2–1Herrera
2026-09-19 Panama, LPF 26/27 San Francisco1–2Árabe
2026-09-12 Panama, LPF 26/27 Árabe4–1Unión Coclé
2026-09-05 Panama, LPF 26/27 Árabe3–1Veraguas
2026-08-30 Panama, LPF 26/27 Universitario0–0Árabe
2026-08-22 Panama, LPF 26/27 Árabe1–0San Miguelito
2026-08-18 Panama, LPF 26/27 Tauro0–1Árabe
2026-08-09 Panama, LPF 26/27 UMECIT0–0Árabe
Independiente Árabe

Wins

25%
75%

Over 2.5 goals

75%
50%

Both teams scored

62%
50%

Clean sheets

25%
50%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Independiente Home Árabe Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

LPF · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Independiente

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway4 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match1.800.251.11
Draws60.0%25.0%44.4%
Goals scored / match2.200.751.56
Goals conceded / match1.401.751.56
Total goals / match3.602.503.11
Failed to score20.0%25.0%22.2%
Under 2.5 goals20.0%50.0%33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 2 of 2 100%
Scores first → wins 2 of 2 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 2 0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Árabe

10 matches
Goals & resultsHome6 matchesAway4 matchesOverall10 matches
Points / match2.172.002.10
Draws16.7%50.0%30.0%
Goals scored / match2.000.751.50
Goals conceded / match1.000.250.70
Total goals / match3.001.002.20
Failed to score16.7%50.0%30.0%
Under 2.5 goals33.3%75.0%50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 1 100%
Scores first → wins 1 of 1 100%
Concedes first → wins 1 of 1 100%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1510
16–3000
31–4511
46–6000
61–7510
76–9000

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelIndependienteDraw ÁrabeHow it works
Strength (Elo) 32.1% 35.6% 32.3% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 14.2% 21.2% 63.2% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.77–1.92 Model expected goals
48.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals
44.9% Both teams to score
0-1 Most likely score, at 13.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-113.1%
0-212.5%
1-110.0%
1-29.6%
0-38.0%
0-06.8%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureIndependienteÁrabe How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1491 1552 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -11 53 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1497 1493 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Independiente 0.561.00 0.670.89
Árabe 0.900.60 0.200.50

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Independiente 11%0%22%33%33%
Árabe 20%30%0%20%30%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.80 Independiente at home, 5 matches
2.00 Árabe away, 4 matches
13d Days of rest for Independiente
8d Days of rest for Árabe
— Manager of Independiente
— Manager of Árabe
1 Matches for Independiente in the last 14 days
1 Matches for Árabe in the last 14 days
11 Points for Independiente behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
0 Points for Árabe behind the leaders, and 11 above the relegation zone
2.64 League goals per match
35.6% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Independiente, the right bar represents Árabe.

On the ball

20 matches
4.11
corners
4.75
13.83
fouls
15.62
3.0
yellow cards
3.0

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Independiente WDLLWLDDD 1.11 1.56–1.56 1W
Árabe WWWWDWWDLD 2.10 1.50–0.70 4W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Independiente2 43 00
Árabe6 31 01
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Independiente

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Árabe

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.