Herrera

Herrera

VS Scheduled Sunday 4 Oct 202622:00

Panama 26/27 LPF · Matchday 11

Alianza

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	26/27	Árabe2–1Herrera
2026-09-20	26/27	Herrera0–6Tauro
2026-09-13	26/27	Herrera1–3UMECIT
2026-09-06	26/27	Plaza Amador4–1Herrera
2026-08-31	26/27	San Miguelito3–1Herrera
2026-08-23	26/27	Herrera0–1Universitario
2026-08-16	26/27	Herrera2–2Veraguas
2026-08-08	26/27	San Francisco3–1Herrera

Alianza

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Alianza0–0Universitario
2026-09-14	26/27	Veraguas2–1Alianza
2026-09-07	26/27	Alianza1–1San Francisco
2026-08-30	26/27	Unión Coclé2–2Alianza
2026-08-25	26/27	Alianza2–0Tauro
2026-08-17	26/27	Alianza2–4Plaza Amador
2026-08-10	26/27	San Miguelito0–0Alianza
2026-08-01	26/27	Árabe0–1Alianza

Herrera Alianza

Wins

0%

25%

Over 2.5 goals

88%

38%

Both teams scored

75%

50%

Clean sheets

0%

50%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Herrera

Home · LPF

Home			Away		1st goal
12	Herrera		Plaza Amador	1
12	Herrera		Árabe	2
12	Herrera		San Francisco	3
12	Herrera	2–2	Veraguas	4	—
12	Herrera	0–6	Tauro	5	—
12	Herrera	1–3	UMECIT	6	13′ Away
12	Herrera		Alianza	7
12	Herrera	0–1	Universitario	8	60′ Away
12	Herrera		Independiente	9
12	Herrera		San Miguelito	10
12	Herrera	1–0	Unión Coclé	11	23′ Home
12 · Herrera
12	Herrera		1st ranked East	13
12	Herrera		1st ranked West	14
12	Herrera		2nd ranked East	15
12	Herrera		2nd ranked West	16
12	Herrera		3rd ranked East	17
12	Herrera		3rd ranked West	18
12	Herrera		Winner Play-Offs 1	19
12	Herrera		Winner Play-Offs 2	20

Alianza

Away · LPF

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Plaza Amador		Alianza	7
2	Árabe	0–1	Alianza	7	40′ Away
3	San Francisco		Alianza	7
4	Veraguas	2–1	Alianza	7	14′ Home
5	Tauro		Alianza	7
6	UMECIT		Alianza	7
7 · Alianza
8	Universitario		Alianza	7
9	Independiente		Alianza	7
10	San Miguelito	0–0	Alianza	7	–
11	Unión Coclé	2–2	Alianza	7	—
12	Herrera		Alianza	7
13	1st ranked East		Alianza	7
14	1st ranked West		Alianza	7
15	2nd ranked East		Alianza	7
16	2nd ranked West		Alianza	7
17	3rd ranked East		Alianza	7
18	3rd ranked West		Alianza	7
19	Winner Play-Offs 1		Alianza	7
20	Winner Play-Offs 2		Alianza	7

Herrera Home Alianza Away

Wins

20%

25%

Over 1.5

60%

50%

Over 2.5

60%

50%

Over 3.5

60%

25%

Both teams scored

40%

50%

Clean sheets

20%

50%

Scores first

N/A

25%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

LPF · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Herrera

10 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away5 matches	Overall10 matches
Points / match	0.80	0.20	0.50
Draws	20.0%	20.0%	20.0%
Goals scored / match	0.80	0.80	0.80
Goals conceded / match	2.40	2.40	2.40
Total goals / match	3.20	3.20	3.20
Failed to score	40.0%	20.0%	30.0%
Under 2.5 goals	40.0%	20.0%	30.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 4/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Alianza

9 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away4 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	1.20	1.25	1.22
Draws	60.0%	50.0%	55.6%
Goals scored / match	1.00	1.00	1.00
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.00	1.00
Total goals / match	2.00	2.00	2.00
Failed to score	40.0%	25.0%	33.3%
Under 2.5 goals	80.0%	50.0%	66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Herrera	Draw	Alianza	How it works
Strength (Elo)	30.6%	35.5%	33.9%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	9.8%	19.6%	69.1%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.57–1.97 Model expected goals

45.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals

36.7% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 15.6%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-115.6%

0-215.3%

0-310.0%

1-18.9%

1-28.7%

0-07.9%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Herrera	Alianza	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1417	1496	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-91	-3	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1507	1499	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Herrera	0.50	0.30	1.40	1.00
Alianza	0.44	0.56	0.56	0.44

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Herrera	10%	20%	0%	10%	60%
Alianza	33%	11%	22%	11%	22%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.80 Herrera at home, 5 matches

1.25 Alianza away, 4 matches

8d Days of rest for Herrera

14d Days of rest for Alianza

— Manager of Herrera

— Manager of Alianza

2 Matches for Herrera in the last 14 days

1 Matches for Alianza in the last 14 days

16 Points for Herrera behind the leaders, and -5 above the relegation zone

10 Points for Alianza behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone

2.64 League goals per match

35.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Herrera, the right bar represents Alianza.

On the ball

20 matches

4.6

corners

3.78

11.67

fouls

13.33

3.11

yellow cards

2.0

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Herrera	LLLLLLDLDW	0.50	0.80–2.40	6L
Alianza	DLDDWLDWD	1.22	1.00–1.00	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Herrera	1	3	6	0	0
Alianza	2	5	2	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Herrera

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Alianza

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.