Universitario

Universitario

VS Scheduled Sunday 18 Oct 202600:15

Panama 26/27 LPF · Matchday 13

Independiente

Head-to-head overview

1 meetings

UniversitarioWins: 0
Draws100.0% of meetings: 1
IndependienteWins: 0

Goals per match: 4.00
Over 2.5 goals: 100.0%
Both teams scored: 100.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-08-11	26/27	Independiente2–2Universitario

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-27	26/27	Universitario2–1UMECIT
2026-09-20	26/27	Alianza0–0Universitario
2026-09-13	26/27	Tauro1–0Universitario
2026-09-06	26/27	Universitario1–1San Miguelito
2026-08-30	26/27	Universitario0–0Árabe
2026-08-23	26/27	Herrera0–1Universitario
2026-08-16	26/27	Universitario1–1Unión Coclé
2026-08-11	26/27	Independiente2–2Universitario

Independiente

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-21	26/27	Independiente4–3San Miguelito
2026-09-13	26/27	Independiente2–2Plaza Amador
2026-09-08	26/27	UMECIT2–0Independiente
2026-08-29	26/27	Tauro2–1Independiente
2026-08-23	26/27	Independiente3–0Unión Coclé
2026-08-15	26/27	San Francisco2–1Independiente
2026-08-11	26/27	Independiente2–2Universitario
2026-08-04	26/27	Independiente0–0Herrera

Universitario Independiente

Wins

25%

Over 2.5 goals

25%

75%

Both teams scored

50%

62%

Clean sheets

38%

25%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Universitario

Home · LPF

Home			Away		1st goal
8	Universitario		Plaza Amador	1
8	Universitario	0–0	Árabe	2	–
8	Universitario	1–2	San Francisco	3	11′ Away
8	Universitario		Veraguas	4
8	Universitario		Tauro	5
8	Universitario	2–1	UMECIT	6	53′ Home
8	Universitario		Alianza	7
8 · Universitario
8	Universitario		Independiente	9
8	Universitario	1–1	San Miguelito	10	45′ Away
8	Universitario	1–1	Unión Coclé	11	64′ Away
8	Universitario		Herrera	12
8	Universitario		1st ranked East	13
8	Universitario		1st ranked West	14
8	Universitario		2nd ranked East	15
8	Universitario		2nd ranked West	16
8	Universitario		3rd ranked East	17
8	Universitario		3rd ranked West	18
8	Universitario		Winner Play-Offs 1	19
8	Universitario		Winner Play-Offs 2	20

Independiente

Away · LPF

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Plaza Amador		Independiente	9
2	Árabe		Independiente	9
3	San Francisco	2–1	Independiente	9	26′ Home
4	Veraguas	1–1	Independiente	9	17′ Home
5	Tauro	2–1	Independiente	9	11′ Home
6	UMECIT	2–0	Independiente	9	89′ Home
7	Alianza		Independiente	9
8	Universitario		Independiente	9
9 · Independiente
10	San Miguelito		Independiente	9
11	Unión Coclé		Independiente	9
12	Herrera		Independiente	9
13	1st ranked East		Independiente	9
14	1st ranked West		Independiente	9
15	2nd ranked East		Independiente	9
16	2nd ranked West		Independiente	9
17	3rd ranked East		Independiente	9
18	3rd ranked West		Independiente	9
19	Winner Play-Offs 1		Independiente	9
20	Winner Play-Offs 2		Independiente	9

Universitario Home Independiente Away

Wins

20%

0%

Over 1.5

80%

100%

Over 2.5

40%

50%

Over 3.5

0%

Both teams scored

80%

75%

Clean sheets

20%

0%

Scores first

20%

0%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

LPF · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Universitario

10 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away5 matches	Overall10 matches
Points / match	1.20	1.00	1.10
Draws	60.0%	40.0%	50.0%
Goals scored / match	1.00	0.80	0.90
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.00	1.00
Total goals / match	2.00	1.80	1.90
Failed to score	20.0%	40.0%	30.0%
Under 2.5 goals	60.0%	60.0%	60.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	0	0
31–45	0	2
46–60	3	0
61–75	2	1
76–90	0	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Independiente

9 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away4 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	1.80	0.25	1.11
Draws	60.0%	25.0%	44.4%
Goals scored / match	2.20	0.75	1.56
Goals conceded / match	1.40	1.75	1.56
Total goals / match	3.60	2.50	3.11
Failed to score	20.0%	25.0%	22.2%
Under 2.5 goals	20.0%	50.0%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 4	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	0	2
31–45	1	0
46–60	1	0
61–75	0	1
76–90	1	3

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Universitario	Draw	Independiente	How it works
Strength (Elo)	38.8%	34.2%	27.0%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	28.6%	28.2%	42.9%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.99–1.28 Model expected goals

39.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals

45.1% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 13.3%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-113.3%

1-113.1%

0-010.4%

1-010.2%

0-28.5%

1-28.4%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Universitario	Independiente	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1493	1491	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	5	-11	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1499	1497	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Universitario	0.30	0.60	0.40	0.60
Independiente	0.56	1.00	0.67	0.89

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Universitario	20%	20%	20%	30%	10%
Independiente	11%	0%	22%	33%	33%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.20 Universitario at home, 5 matches

0.25 Independiente away, 4 matches

21d Days of rest for Universitario

27d Days of rest for Independiente

— Manager of Universitario

— Manager of Independiente

0 Matches for Universitario in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Independiente in the last 14 days

10 Points for Universitario behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone

11 Points for Independiente behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

2.64 League goals per match

35.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Universitario, the right bar represents Independiente.

On the ball

20 matches

6.4

corners

4.11

13.0

fouls

13.83

3.7

yellow cards

3.0

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Universitario	WDLDDWDDLL	1.10	0.90–1.00	1W
Independiente	WDLLWLDDD	1.11	1.56–1.56	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Universitario	2	5	3	0	2
Independiente	2	4	3	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Universitario

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Independiente

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.