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Pogon Szczecin
VS Scheduled Poland 26/27 Ekstraklasa · Matchday 10
Korona Kielce

Head-to-head overview

25 meetings
Pogon SzczecinWins
10
Draws44.0% of meetings
11
Korona KielceWins
4
Goals per match
2.48
Over 2.5 goals
52.0%
Both teams scored
60.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-03-16 Poland, Ekstraklasa 25/26 Pogon Szczecin2–1Korona Kielce
2025-09-13 Poland, Ekstraklasa 25/26 Korona Kielce1–0Pogon Szczecin
2024-12-09 Poland, Ekstraklasa 24/25 Korona Kielce0–0Pogon Szczecin
2024-07-20 Poland, Ekstraklasa 24/25 Pogon Szczecin3–0Korona Kielce
2024-03-17 Poland, Ekstraklasa 23/24 Korona Kielce2–2Pogon Szczecin
2023-09-16 Poland, Ekstraklasa 23/24 Pogon Szczecin3–1Korona Kielce
2023-03-18 Poland, Ekstraklasa 22/23 Pogon Szczecin0–0Korona Kielce
2022-09-04 Poland, Ekstraklasa 22/23 Korona Kielce1–2Pogon Szczecin
Recent matches

Pogon Szczecin

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Piast Gliwice1–2Pogon Szczecin
2026-09-14 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Pogon Szczecin2–0Wieczysta Krakow
2026-09-13 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Pogon Szczecin2–0Wieczysta Krakow
2026-09-07 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Pogon Szczecin1–1Wisla Plock
2026-08-29 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Zaglebie0–0Pogon Szczecin
2026-08-23 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Pogon Szczecin2–2Wisla
2026-08-08 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Pogon Szczecin3–1Motor Lublin
2026-08-03 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Cracovia0–2Pogon Szczecin

Korona Kielce

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Korona Kielce3–2Rakow
2026-09-15 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Korona Kielce0–2Gornik Zabrze
2026-09-13 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Slask Wroclaw1–2Korona Kielce
2026-09-12 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Slask Wroclaw1–2Korona Kielce
2026-09-05 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Korona Kielce1–1Wisla
2026-08-28 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Wisla Plock0–2Korona Kielce
2026-08-22 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Korona Kielce1–1Motor Lublin
2026-08-15 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Widzew Lodz1–2Korona Kielce
Pogon Szczecin Korona Kielce

Wins

62%
62%

Over 2.5 goals

38%
50%

Both teams scored

50%
75%

Clean sheets

50%
12%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Pogon Szczecin Home Korona Kielce Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Ekstraklasa · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Pogon Szczecin

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome6 matchesAway3 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match1.832.332.00
Draws33.3%33.3%33.3%
Goals scored / match1.671.331.56
Goals conceded / match0.830.330.67
Total goals / match2.501.672.22
Failed to score16.7%33.3%22.2%
Under 2.5 goals66.7%66.7%66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 5/6 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Korona Kielce

10 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway5 matchesOverall10 matches
Points / match1.202.401.80
Draws60.0%0.0%30.0%
Goals scored / match1.201.601.40
Goals conceded / match1.400.801.10
Total goals / match2.602.402.50
Failed to score20.0%20.0%20.0%
Under 2.5 goals80.0%40.0%60.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 4/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelPogon SzczecinDraw Korona KielceHow it works
Strength (Elo) 45.9% 25.7% 28.4% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 35.7% 30.1% 34.0% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.06–1.03 Model expected goals
34.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals
41.8% Both teams to score
1-1 Most likely score, at 13.5%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-113.5%
1-013.2%
0-112.8%
0-012.4%
2-17.2%
2-07.0%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasurePogon SzczecinKorona Kielce How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1543 1515 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 6 13 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1520 1522 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Pogon Szczecin 0.620.88 0.380.38
Korona Kielce 0.890.44 0.440.67

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Pogon Szczecin 2%18%32%30%18%
Korona Kielce 5%15%40%25%15%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.64 Pogon Szczecin at home, 11 matches
1.30 Korona Kielce away, 10 matches
21d Days of rest for Pogon Szczecin
22d Days of rest for Korona Kielce
— Manager of Pogon Szczecin
— Manager of Korona Kielce
0 Matches for Pogon Szczecin in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Korona Kielce in the last 14 days
7 Points for Pogon Szczecin behind the leaders, and 12 above the relegation zone
7 Points for Korona Kielce behind the leaders, and 12 above the relegation zone
2.80 League goals per match
26.5% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Pogon Szczecin, the right bar represents Korona Kielce.

On the ball

20 matches
3.62
corners
4.86
15.0
fouls
13.11
2.0
yellow cards
2.0

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Pogon Szczecin WWWDDDWWLD 1.90 1.50–0.70 3W
Korona Kielce WLWWDWDWDL 1.80 1.40–1.10 1W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Pogon Szczecin1 70 00
Korona Kielce5 22 01
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Pogon Szczecin

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Korona Kielce

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.