Head-to-head overview
14 meetings- RakowWins
- 8
- Draws21.4% of meetings
- 3
- Pogon SzczecinWins
- 3
- Goals per match
- 1.79
- Over 2.5 goals
- 28.6%
- Both teams scored
- 35.7%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 |
25/26
|
Rakow2–0Pogon Szczecin |
| 2025-08-31 |
25/26
|
Pogon Szczecin2–0Rakow |
| 2025-04-19 |
24/25
|
Pogon Szczecin1–0Rakow |
| 2024-10-20 |
24/25
|
Rakow1–0Pogon Szczecin |
| 2024-05-11 |
23/24
|
Rakow2–1Pogon Szczecin |
| 2023-11-12 |
23/24
|
Pogon Szczecin1–1Rakow |
| 2023-03-05 |
22/23
|
Pogon Szczecin0–2Rakow |
| 2022-08-31 |
22/23
|
Rakow1–0Pogon Szczecin |
| 2022-04-20 |
21/22
|
Pogon Szczecin1–2Rakow |
| 2021-11-07 |
21/22
|
Rakow0–0Pogon Szczecin |
| 2021-05-16 |
20/21
|
Pogon Szczecin1–3Rakow |
| 2021-01-29 |
20/21
|
Rakow0–1Pogon Szczecin |
| 2020-03-08 |
19/20
|
Rakow0–0Pogon Szczecin |
| 2019-10-05 |
19/20
|
Pogon Szczecin1–2Rakow |
Recent matches
Rakow
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 |
26/27
|
Korona Kielce3–2Rakow |
| 2026-09-15 |
26/27
|
Rakow2–3Zaglebie |
| 2026-09-11 |
26/27
|
Rakow2–1Motor Lublin |
| 2026-09-06 |
26/27
|
Lech Poznan1–0Rakow |
| 2026-09-03 |
26/27
|
Rakow1–2Gornik Zabrze |
| 2026-08-30 |
26/27
|
Rakow2–5Jagiellonia |
| 2026-08-16 |
26/27
|
Cracovia2–1Rakow |
| 2026-08-02 |
26/27
|
Slask Wroclaw2–1Rakow |
Pogon Szczecin
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 |
26/27
|
Piast Gliwice1–2Pogon Szczecin |
| 2026-09-14 |
26/27
|
Pogon Szczecin2–0Wieczysta Krakow |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
Pogon Szczecin2–0Wieczysta Krakow |
| 2026-09-07 |
26/27
|
Pogon Szczecin1–1Wisla Plock |
| 2026-08-29 |
26/27
|
Zaglebie0–0Pogon Szczecin |
| 2026-08-23 |
26/27
|
Pogon Szczecin2–2Wisla |
| 2026-08-08 |
26/27
|
Pogon Szczecin3–1Motor Lublin |
| 2026-08-03 |
26/27
|
Cracovia0–2Pogon Szczecin |
Rakow
Pogon Szczecin
Wins
12%
62%
Over 2.5 goals
88%
38%
Both teams scored
88%
50%
Clean sheets
0%
50%
Home & away results
This season · 26/27
Rakow
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Rakow | 1–2 | Gornik Zabrze | 1 | 6′ Away |
| 18 | Rakow | Legia | 2 | ||
| 18 | Rakow | Lech Poznan | 3 | ||
| 18 | Rakow | Pogon Szczecin | 4 | ||
| 18 | Rakow | Korona Kielce | 5 | ||
| 18 | Rakow | 2–3 | Zaglebie | 6 | 45+2′ Home |
| 18 | Rakow | Wisla | 7 | ||
| 18 | Rakow | 1–2 | Wisla Plock | 8 | 37′ Away |
| 18 | Rakow | GKS Katowice | 9 | ||
| 18 | Rakow | 2–5 | Jagiellonia | 10 | 23′ Home |
| 18 | Rakow | Widzew Lodz | 11 | ||
| 18 | Rakow | Piast Gliwice | 12 | ||
| 18 | Rakow | Cracovia | 13 | ||
| 18 | Rakow | Radomiak Radom | 14 | ||
| 18 | Rakow | Slask Wroclaw | 15 | ||
| 18 | Rakow | 2–1 | Motor Lublin | 16 | 34′ Away |
| 18 | Rakow | Wieczysta Krakow | 17 | ||
| 18 · Rakow | |||||
Pogon Szczecin
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | Pogon Szczecin | 4 | ||
| 2 | Legia | Pogon Szczecin | 4 | ||
| 3 | Lech Poznan | Pogon Szczecin | 4 | ||
| 4 · Pogon Szczecin | |||||
| 5 | Korona Kielce | Pogon Szczecin | 4 | ||
| 6 | Zaglebie | 0–0 | Pogon Szczecin | 4 | – |
| 7 | Wisla | Pogon Szczecin | 4 | ||
| 8 | Wisla Plock | Pogon Szczecin | 4 | ||
| 9 | GKS Katowice | Pogon Szczecin | 4 | ||
| 10 | Jagiellonia | Pogon Szczecin | 4 | ||
| 11 | Widzew Lodz | Pogon Szczecin | 4 | ||
| 12 | Piast Gliwice | 1–2 | Pogon Szczecin | 4 | 26′ Away |
| 13 | Cracovia | 0–2 | Pogon Szczecin | 4 | 46′ Away |
| 14 | Radomiak Radom | Pogon Szczecin | 4 | ||
| 15 | Slask Wroclaw | Pogon Szczecin | 4 | ||
| 16 | Motor Lublin | Pogon Szczecin | 4 | ||
| 17 | Wieczysta Krakow | Pogon Szczecin | 4 | ||
| 18 | Rakow | Pogon Szczecin | 4 | ||
Rakow Home
Pogon Szczecin Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
Ekstraklasa · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.
Rakow
| Goals & results | Home5 matches | Away4 matches | Overall9 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 0.60 | 0.00 | 0.33 |
| Draws | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.60 | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| Goals conceded / match | 2.60 | 2.00 | 2.33 |
| Total goals / match | 4.20 | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| Failed to score | 0.0% | 25.0% | 11.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 0.0% | 25.0% | 11.1% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 1 of 22 of 4 | 50%50% |
| Scores first → wins | 0 of 20 of 4 | 0%0% |
| Concedes first → wins | 1 of 31 of 5 | 33%20% |
Scoring order known: 5/5 home.Scoring order known: 9/9 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 0 | 1 |
| 16–30 | 1 | 0 |
| 31–45 | 2 | 5 |
| 46–60 | 1 | 1 |
| 61–75 | 1 | 1 |
| 76–90 | 3 | 5 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Pogon Szczecin
| Goals & results | Home6 matches | Away3 matches | Overall9 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 1.83 | 2.33 | 2.00 |
| Draws | 33.3% | 33.3% | 33.3% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.67 | 1.33 | 1.56 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.83 | 0.33 | 0.67 |
| Total goals / match | 2.50 | 1.67 | 2.22 |
| Failed to score | 16.7% | 33.3% | 22.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 66.7% | 66.7% | 66.7% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 0 of 2— | 0%— |
| Scores first → wins | 2 of 2— | 100%— |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 0— | —— |
Scoring order known: 3/3 away.Scoring order known: 8/9 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 0 | 0 |
| 16–30 | 1 | 0 |
| 31–45 | 0 | 1 |
| 46–60 | 2 | 0 |
| 61–75 | 0 | 0 |
| 76–90 | 1 | 0 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Rakow | Draw | Pogon Szczecin | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 36.4% | 27.6% | 36.0% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 20.4% | 22.7% | 55.7% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
1.01–1.84
Model expected goals
53.0%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
52.6%
Both teams to score
1-1
Most likely score, at 10.8%
Most likely scores
1-110.8%
0-110.7%
1-29.9%
0-29.8%
1-36.1%
0-36.0%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Rakow | Pogon Szczecin | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1490 | 1543 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | -108 | 6 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1518 | 1520 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rakow | 0.44 | 0.89 | 0.89 | 1.44 |
| Pogon Szczecin | 0.62 | 0.88 | 0.38 | 0.38 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rakow | 5% | 15% | 25% | 25% | 30% |
| Pogon Szczecin | 2% | 18% | 32% | 30% | 18% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
1.45
Rakow at home, 11 matches
1.56
Pogon Szczecin away, 9 matches
44d
Days of rest for Rakow
43d
Days of rest for Pogon Szczecin
Dawid Szulczek
Manager of Rakow,
since 31/08/26
—
Manager of Pogon Szczecin
0
Matches for Rakow in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Pogon Szczecin in the last 14 days
22
Points for Rakow behind the leaders, and -3 above the relegation zone
7
Points for Pogon Szczecin behind the leaders, and 12 above the relegation zone
2.80
League goals per match
26.5%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Rakow, the right bar represents Pogon Szczecin.
On the ball
4.89
3.62
corners
10.5
15.0
fouls
2.4
2.0
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rakow | LLWLLLLLLW | 0.60 | 1.50–2.10 | 2L |
| Pogon Szczecin | WWWDDDWWLD | 1.90 | 1.50–0.70 | 3W |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rakow | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| Pogon Szczecin | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Rakow
No absences reported.
Pogon Szczecin
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
No recent news linked to these teams.