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Lech Poznan
VS Scheduled Poland 26/27 Ekstraklasa · Matchday 14
Zaglebie

Head-to-head overview

29 meetings
Lech PoznanWins
11
Draws31.0% of meetings
9
ZaglebieWins
9
Goals per match
2.38
Over 2.5 goals
48.3%
Both teams scored
58.6%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-03-15 Poland, Ekstraklasa 25/26 Zaglebie0–1Lech Poznan
2025-09-12 Poland, Ekstraklasa 25/26 Lech Poznan1–2Zaglebie
2025-02-23 Poland, Ekstraklasa 24/25 Lech Poznan3–1Zaglebie
2024-08-17 Poland, Ekstraklasa 24/25 Zaglebie0–1Lech Poznan
2024-02-10 Poland, Ekstraklasa 23/24 Lech Poznan2–0Zaglebie
2023-08-06 Poland, Ekstraklasa 23/24 Zaglebie1–1Lech Poznan
2023-02-19 Poland, Ekstraklasa 22/23 Lech Poznan1–2Zaglebie
2022-08-07 Poland, Ekstraklasa 22/23 Zaglebie1–1Lech Poznan
Recent matches

Lech Poznan

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Lech Poznan5–1Radomiak Radom
2026-09-13 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Gornik Zabrze2–1Lech Poznan
2026-09-12 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Gornik Zabrze2–1Lech Poznan
2026-09-06 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Lech Poznan1–0Rakow
2026-09-03 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Lech Poznan2–1Jagiellonia
2026-08-30 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Widzew Lodz2–3Lech Poznan
2026-08-09 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Lech Poznan3–0Piast Gliwice
2026-08-01 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Wieczysta Krakow1–2Lech Poznan

Zaglebie

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Zaglebie0–2Wisla Plock
2026-09-15 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Rakow2–3Zaglebie
2026-09-13 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Zaglebie2–1GKS Katowice
2026-09-12 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Zaglebie2–1GKS Katowice
2026-09-07 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Wieczysta Krakow1–1Zaglebie
2026-08-29 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Zaglebie0–0Pogon Szczecin
2026-08-23 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Radomiak Radom0–0Zaglebie
2026-08-15 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Zaglebie2–1Slask Wroclaw
Lech Poznan Zaglebie

Wins

75%
50%

Over 2.5 goals

88%
50%

Both teams scored

75%
62%

Clean sheets

25%
25%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Lech Poznan

Home · Ekstraklasa

Zaglebie

Away · Ekstraklasa
Lech Poznan Home Zaglebie Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Ekstraklasa · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Lech Poznan

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway4 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match2.601.502.11
Draws20.0%0.0%11.1%
Goals scored / match2.201.752.00
Goals conceded / match0.401.751.00
Total goals / match2.603.503.00
Failed to score20.0%0.0%11.1%
Under 2.5 goals40.0%0.0%22.2%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 3 0%
Scores first → wins 3 of 3 100%
Concedes first → wins 1 of 1 100%

Scoring order known: 5/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1521
16–3000
31–4521
46–6010
61–7530
76–9030

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Zaglebie

10 matches
Goals & resultsHome6 matchesAway4 matchesOverall10 matches
Points / match2.171.251.80
Draws16.7%50.0%30.0%
Goals scored / match1.331.251.30
Goals conceded / match0.831.501.10
Total goals / match2.172.752.40
Failed to score33.3%25.0%30.0%
Under 2.5 goals50.0%50.0%50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 2 0%
Scores first → wins 0 of 2 0%
Concedes first → wins 1 of 1 100%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1510
16–3001
31–4501
46–6000
61–7511
76–9033

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelLech PoznanDraw ZaglebieHow it works
Strength (Elo) 50.9% 23.8% 25.3% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 50.4% 28.5% 20.8% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.32–0.74 Model expected goals
33.8% Probability of over 2.5 goals
38.2% Both teams to score
1-0 Most likely score, at 16.8%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-016.8%
0-012.7%
1-112.4%
2-011.1%
0-19.4%
2-18.2%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureLech PoznanZaglebie How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1579 1512 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -66 -0 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1516 1516 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Lech Poznan 1.121.00 0.380.50
Zaglebie 0.221.00 0.440.67

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Lech Poznan 10%15%8%28%40%
Zaglebie 15%18%22%20%25%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.20 Lech Poznan at home, 10 matches
0.89 Zaglebie away, 9 matches
48d Days of rest for Lech Poznan
48d Days of rest for Zaglebie
— Manager of Lech Poznan
— Manager of Zaglebie
0 Matches for Lech Poznan in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Zaglebie in the last 14 days
6 Points for Lech Poznan behind the leaders, and 13 above the relegation zone
7 Points for Zaglebie behind the leaders, and 12 above the relegation zone
2.80 League goals per match
26.5% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Lech Poznan, the right bar represents Zaglebie.

On the ball

20 matches
7.25
corners
3.38
12.0
fouls
13.22
1.5
yellow cards
3.2

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Lech Poznan WLLWWWWWDD 2.00 2.00–1.10 1W
Zaglebie LWWWDDDWLW 1.80 1.30–1.10 1L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Lech Poznan4 40 01
Zaglebie1 53 20
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Lech Poznan

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Zaglebie

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.