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Lech Poznan
VS Scheduled Poland 26/27 Ekstraklasa · Matchday 16
Pogon Szczecin

Head-to-head overview

34 meetings
Lech PoznanWins
15
Draws35.3% of meetings
12
Pogon SzczecinWins
7
Goals per match
2.56
Over 2.5 goals
47.1%
Both teams scored
44.1%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-04-18 Poland, Ekstraklasa 25/26 Pogon Szczecin1–2Lech Poznan
2025-10-19 Poland, Ekstraklasa 25/26 Lech Poznan2–2Pogon Szczecin
2025-03-01 Poland, Ekstraklasa 24/25 Pogon Szczecin0–3Lech Poznan
2024-08-25 Poland, Ekstraklasa 24/25 Lech Poznan2–0Pogon Szczecin
2024-04-07 Poland, Ekstraklasa 23/24 Lech Poznan1–0Pogon Szczecin
2023-10-01 Poland, Ekstraklasa 23/24 Pogon Szczecin5–0Lech Poznan
2023-04-02 Poland, Ekstraklasa 22/23 Lech Poznan2–2Pogon Szczecin
2022-09-11 Poland, Ekstraklasa 22/23 Pogon Szczecin2–2Lech Poznan
Recent matches

Lech Poznan

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Lech Poznan5–1Radomiak Radom
2026-09-13 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Gornik Zabrze2–1Lech Poznan
2026-09-12 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Gornik Zabrze2–1Lech Poznan
2026-09-06 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Lech Poznan1–0Rakow
2026-09-03 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Lech Poznan2–1Jagiellonia
2026-08-30 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Widzew Lodz2–3Lech Poznan
2026-08-09 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Lech Poznan3–0Piast Gliwice
2026-08-01 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Wieczysta Krakow1–2Lech Poznan

Pogon Szczecin

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Piast Gliwice1–2Pogon Szczecin
2026-09-14 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Pogon Szczecin2–0Wieczysta Krakow
2026-09-13 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Pogon Szczecin2–0Wieczysta Krakow
2026-09-07 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Pogon Szczecin1–1Wisla Plock
2026-08-29 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Zaglebie0–0Pogon Szczecin
2026-08-23 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Pogon Szczecin2–2Wisla
2026-08-08 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Pogon Szczecin3–1Motor Lublin
2026-08-03 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Cracovia0–2Pogon Szczecin
Lech Poznan Pogon Szczecin

Wins

75%
62%

Over 2.5 goals

88%
38%

Both teams scored

75%
50%

Clean sheets

25%
50%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Lech Poznan

Home · Ekstraklasa
Lech Poznan Home Pogon Szczecin Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Ekstraklasa · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Lech Poznan

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway4 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match2.601.502.11
Draws20.0%0.0%11.1%
Goals scored / match2.201.752.00
Goals conceded / match0.401.751.00
Total goals / match2.603.503.00
Failed to score20.0%0.0%11.1%
Under 2.5 goals40.0%0.0%22.2%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 3 0%
Scores first → wins 3 of 3 100%
Concedes first → wins 1 of 1 100%

Scoring order known: 5/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1521
16–3000
31–4521
46–6010
61–7530
76–9030

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Pogon Szczecin

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome6 matchesAway3 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match1.832.332.00
Draws33.3%33.3%33.3%
Goals scored / match1.671.331.56
Goals conceded / match0.830.330.67
Total goals / match2.501.672.22
Failed to score16.7%33.3%22.2%
Under 2.5 goals66.7%66.7%66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 2 0%
Scores first → wins 2 of 2 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 0 —

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1500
16–3010
31–4501
46–6020
61–7500
76–9010

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelLech PoznanDraw Pogon SzczecinHow it works
Strength (Elo) 46.8% 25.4% 27.8% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 38.8% 27.5% 33.4% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.26–1.15 Model expected goals
43.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals
48.7% Both teams to score
1-1 Most likely score, at 13.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-113.0%
1-011.3%
0-110.3%
0-09.0%
2-18.2%
1-27.5%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureLech PoznanPogon Szczecin How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1579 1543 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -66 6 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1516 1520 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Lech Poznan 1.121.00 0.380.50
Pogon Szczecin 0.620.88 0.380.38

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Lech Poznan 10%15%8%28%40%
Pogon Szczecin 2%18%32%30%18%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.20 Lech Poznan at home, 10 matches
1.56 Pogon Szczecin away, 9 matches
69d Days of rest for Lech Poznan
69d Days of rest for Pogon Szczecin
— Manager of Lech Poznan
— Manager of Pogon Szczecin
0 Matches for Lech Poznan in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Pogon Szczecin in the last 14 days
6 Points for Lech Poznan behind the leaders, and 13 above the relegation zone
7 Points for Pogon Szczecin behind the leaders, and 12 above the relegation zone
2.80 League goals per match
26.5% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Lech Poznan, the right bar represents Pogon Szczecin.

On the ball

20 matches
7.25
corners
3.62
12.0
fouls
15.0
1.5
yellow cards
2.0

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Lech Poznan WLLWWWWWDD 2.00 2.00–1.10 1W
Pogon Szczecin WWWDDDWWLD 1.90 1.50–0.70 3W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Lech Poznan4 40 01
Pogon Szczecin1 70 00
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Lech Poznan

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Pogon Szczecin

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.