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Motor Lublin
VS Scheduled Poland 26/27 Ekstraklasa · Matchday 17
Lech Poznan

Head-to-head overview

4 meetings
Motor LublinWins
1
Draws25.0% of meetings
1
Lech PoznanWins
2
Goals per match
2.75
Over 2.5 goals
75.0%
Both teams scored
75.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-05-02 Poland, Ekstraklasa 25/26 Motor Lublin0–1Lech Poznan
2025-11-02 Poland, Ekstraklasa 25/26 Lech Poznan2–2Motor Lublin
2025-04-13 Poland, Ekstraklasa 24/25 Motor Lublin1–2Lech Poznan
2024-10-05 Poland, Ekstraklasa 24/25 Lech Poznan1–2Motor Lublin
Recent matches

Motor Lublin

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Motor Lublin0–0Gornik Zabrze
2026-09-11 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Rakow2–1Motor Lublin
2026-09-05 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Motor Lublin2–3Legia
2026-08-29 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Motor Lublin0–2Piast Gliwice
2026-08-22 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Korona Kielce1–1Motor Lublin
2026-08-16 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Motor Lublin1–0GKS Katowice
2026-08-08 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Pogon Szczecin3–1Motor Lublin
2026-07-31 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Motor Lublin1–2Jagiellonia

Lech Poznan

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Lech Poznan5–1Radomiak Radom
2026-09-13 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Gornik Zabrze2–1Lech Poznan
2026-09-12 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Gornik Zabrze2–1Lech Poznan
2026-09-06 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Lech Poznan1–0Rakow
2026-09-03 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Lech Poznan2–1Jagiellonia
2026-08-30 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Widzew Lodz2–3Lech Poznan
2026-08-09 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Lech Poznan3–0Piast Gliwice
2026-08-01 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Wieczysta Krakow1–2Lech Poznan
Motor Lublin Lech Poznan

Wins

12%
75%

Over 2.5 goals

50%
88%

Both teams scored

62%
75%

Clean sheets

25%
25%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Motor Lublin

Home · Ekstraklasa
Motor Lublin Home Lech Poznan Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Ekstraklasa · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Motor Lublin

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway4 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match0.800.500.67
Draws20.0%50.0%33.3%
Goals scored / match0.801.251.00
Goals conceded / match1.402.001.67
Total goals / match2.203.252.67
Failed to score40.0%0.0%22.2%
Under 2.5 goals60.0%25.0%44.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 1 0%
Scores first → wins 1 of 1 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 3 0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1500
16–3000
31–4502
46–6000
61–7520
76–9025

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Lech Poznan

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway4 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match2.601.502.11
Draws20.0%0.0%11.1%
Goals scored / match2.201.752.00
Goals conceded / match0.401.751.00
Total goals / match2.603.503.00
Failed to score20.0%0.0%11.1%
Under 2.5 goals40.0%0.0%22.2%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 3/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelMotor LublinDraw Lech PoznanHow it works
Strength (Elo) 31.7% 27.0% 41.2% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 8.4% 14.8% 72.3% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.73–2.54 Model expected goals
58.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals
45.2% Both teams to score
0-2 Most likely score, at 12.3%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-212.3%
0-310.4%
0-19.7%
1-28.9%
1-37.6%
1-17.0%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureMotor LublinLech Poznan How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1478 1579 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -34 -66 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1529 1516 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Motor Lublin 0.330.67 0.890.78
Lech Poznan 1.121.00 0.380.50

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Motor Lublin 8%12%30%18%32%
Lech Poznan 10%15%8%28%40%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.00 Motor Lublin at home, 10 matches
1.90 Lech Poznan away, 10 matches
77d Days of rest for Motor Lublin
76d Days of rest for Lech Poznan
— Manager of Motor Lublin
— Manager of Lech Poznan
0 Matches for Motor Lublin in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Lech Poznan in the last 14 days
19 Points for Motor Lublin behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
6 Points for Lech Poznan behind the leaders, and 13 above the relegation zone
2.80 League goals per match
26.5% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Motor Lublin, the right bar represents Lech Poznan.

On the ball

20 matches
3.89
corners
7.25
12.67
fouls
12.0
2.17
yellow cards
1.5

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Motor Lublin DLLLDWLLDL 0.60 0.90–1.90 1D
Lech Poznan WLLWWWWWDD 2.00 2.00–1.10 1W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Motor Lublin0 54 00
Lech Poznan4 40 01
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Motor Lublin

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Lech Poznan

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.