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Pogon Szczecin
VS Scheduled Poland 26/27 Ekstraklasa · Matchday 17
Gornik Zabrze

Head-to-head overview

7 meetings
Pogon SzczecinWins
3
Draws0.0% of meetings
0
Gornik ZabrzeWins
4
Goals per match
1.86
Over 2.5 goals
42.9%
Both teams scored
14.3%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-02-21 Poland, Ekstraklasa 25/26 Gornik Zabrze0–1Pogon Szczecin
2025-08-17 Poland, Ekstraklasa 25/26 Pogon Szczecin0–3Gornik Zabrze
2025-02-07 Poland, Ekstraklasa 24/25 Pogon Szczecin3–0Gornik Zabrze
2024-08-02 Poland, Ekstraklasa 24/25 Gornik Zabrze1–0Pogon Szczecin
2024-05-25 Poland, Ekstraklasa 23/24 Pogon Szczecin1–0Gornik Zabrze
2023-12-01 Poland, Ekstraklasa 23/24 Gornik Zabrze1–0Pogon Szczecin
2023-05-20 Poland, Ekstraklasa 22/23 Gornik Zabrze2–1Pogon Szczecin
Recent matches

Pogon Szczecin

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Piast Gliwice1–2Pogon Szczecin
2026-09-14 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Pogon Szczecin2–0Wieczysta Krakow
2026-09-13 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Pogon Szczecin2–0Wieczysta Krakow
2026-09-07 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Pogon Szczecin1–1Wisla Plock
2026-08-29 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Zaglebie0–0Pogon Szczecin
2026-08-23 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Pogon Szczecin2–2Wisla
2026-08-08 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Pogon Szczecin3–1Motor Lublin
2026-08-03 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Cracovia0–2Pogon Szczecin

Gornik Zabrze

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Motor Lublin0–0Gornik Zabrze
2026-09-15 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Korona Kielce0–2Gornik Zabrze
2026-09-13 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Gornik Zabrze2–1Lech Poznan
2026-09-12 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Gornik Zabrze2–1Lech Poznan
2026-09-06 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Cracovia0–1Gornik Zabrze
2026-09-03 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Rakow1–2Gornik Zabrze
2026-08-30 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Gornik Zabrze2–3GKS Katowice
2026-08-16 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Gornik Zabrze2–1Wisla
Pogon Szczecin Gornik Zabrze

Wins

62%
75%

Over 2.5 goals

38%
62%

Both teams scored

50%
62%

Clean sheets

50%
38%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Pogon Szczecin

Home · Ekstraklasa
HomeAway1st goal
4 Pogon Szczecin Gornik Zabrze 1
4 Pogon Szczecin 0–1 Legia 2 90+6′ Away
4 Pogon Szczecin Lech Poznan 3
4 · Pogon Szczecin
4 Pogon Szczecin Korona Kielce 5
4 Pogon Szczecin Zaglebie 6
4 Pogon Szczecin 2–2 Wisla 7 —
4 Pogon Szczecin 1–1 Wisla Plock 8 52′ Home
4 Pogon Szczecin GKS Katowice 9
4 Pogon Szczecin Jagiellonia 10
4 Pogon Szczecin Widzew Lodz 11
4 Pogon Szczecin Piast Gliwice 12
4 Pogon Szczecin Cracovia 13
4 Pogon Szczecin Radomiak Radom 14
4 Pogon Szczecin Slask Wroclaw 15
4 Pogon Szczecin 3–1 Motor Lublin 16 17′ Home
4 Pogon Szczecin 2–0 Wieczysta Krakow 17 59′ Home
4 Pogon Szczecin 2–0 Wieczysta Krakow 17 —
4 Pogon Szczecin Rakow 18

Gornik Zabrze

Away · Ekstraklasa
HomeAway1st goal
1 · Gornik Zabrze
2 Legia Gornik Zabrze 1
3 Lech Poznan Gornik Zabrze 1
4 Pogon Szczecin Gornik Zabrze 1
5 Korona Kielce 0–2 Gornik Zabrze 1 41′ Away
6 Zaglebie Gornik Zabrze 1
7 Wisla Gornik Zabrze 1
8 Wisla Plock Gornik Zabrze 1
9 GKS Katowice Gornik Zabrze 1
10 Jagiellonia Gornik Zabrze 1
11 Widzew Lodz Gornik Zabrze 1
12 Piast Gliwice Gornik Zabrze 1
13 Cracovia 0–1 Gornik Zabrze 1 81′ Away
14 Radomiak Radom 1–3 Gornik Zabrze 1 28′ Away
15 Slask Wroclaw Gornik Zabrze 1
16 Motor Lublin 0–0 Gornik Zabrze 1 –
17 Wieczysta Krakow Gornik Zabrze 1
18 Rakow 1–2 Gornik Zabrze 1 6′ Away
Pogon Szczecin Home Gornik Zabrze Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Ekstraklasa · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Pogon Szczecin

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome6 matchesAway3 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match1.832.332.00
Draws33.3%33.3%33.3%
Goals scored / match1.671.331.56
Goals conceded / match0.830.330.67
Total goals / match2.501.672.22
Failed to score16.7%33.3%22.2%
Under 2.5 goals66.7%66.7%66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 5/6 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Gornik Zabrze

10 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway5 matchesOverall10 matches
Points / match2.402.602.50
Draws0.0%20.0%10.0%
Goals scored / match2.001.601.80
Goals conceded / match1.400.400.90
Total goals / match3.402.002.70
Failed to score0.0%20.0%10.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%60.0%30.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 3 of 4 75%
Scores first → wins 4 of 4 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 0 —

Scoring order known: 5/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1510
16–3010
31–4530
46–6000
61–7511
76–9021

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelPogon SzczecinDraw Gornik ZabrzeHow it works
Strength (Elo) 38.9% 27.4% 33.7% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 18.4% 27.0% 54.2% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.71–1.44 Model expected goals
35.8% Probability of over 2.5 goals
38.4% Both teams to score
0-1 Most likely score, at 16.9%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-116.9%
0-212.1%
1-111.9%
0-011.7%
1-28.5%
1-08.3%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasurePogon SzczecinGornik Zabrze How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1543 1573 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 6 7 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1520 1525 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Pogon Szczecin 0.620.88 0.380.38
Gornik Zabrze 0.671.11 0.330.56

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Pogon Szczecin 2%18%32%30%18%
Gornik Zabrze 10%18%20%28%25%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.64 Pogon Szczecin at home, 11 matches
2.20 Gornik Zabrze away, 10 matches
76d Days of rest for Pogon Szczecin
77d Days of rest for Gornik Zabrze
— Manager of Pogon Szczecin
— Manager of Gornik Zabrze
0 Matches for Pogon Szczecin in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Gornik Zabrze in the last 14 days
7 Points for Pogon Szczecin behind the leaders, and 12 above the relegation zone
0 Points for Gornik Zabrze behind the leaders, and 19 above the relegation zone
2.80 League goals per match
26.5% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Pogon Szczecin, the right bar represents Gornik Zabrze.

On the ball

20 matches
3.62
corners
5.33
15.0
fouls
11.75
2.0
yellow cards
3.33

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Pogon Szczecin WWWDDDWWLD 1.90 1.50–0.70 3W
Gornik Zabrze DWWWWWLWWW 2.50 1.80–0.90 1D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Pogon Szczecin1 70 00
Gornik Zabrze4 23 20
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Pogon Szczecin

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Gornik Zabrze

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.