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Pogon Szczecin
VS Scheduled Poland 26/27 Ekstraklasa · Matchday 21
Jagiellonia

Head-to-head overview

32 meetings
Pogon SzczecinWins
10
Draws31.2% of meetings
10
JagielloniaWins
12
Goals per match
2.56
Over 2.5 goals
50.0%
Both teams scored
56.2%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-05-09 Poland, Ekstraklasa 25/26 Jagiellonia3–2Pogon Szczecin
2025-11-09 Poland, Ekstraklasa 25/26 Pogon Szczecin1–2Jagiellonia
2025-05-24 Poland, Ekstraklasa 24/25 Jagiellonia1–1Pogon Szczecin
2024-12-01 Poland, Ekstraklasa 24/25 Pogon Szczecin1–1Jagiellonia
2024-04-26 Poland, Ekstraklasa 23/24 Jagiellonia2–2Pogon Szczecin
2023-10-28 Poland, Ekstraklasa 23/24 Pogon Szczecin2–1Jagiellonia
2023-02-11 Poland, Ekstraklasa 22/23 Jagiellonia2–0Pogon Szczecin
2022-07-31 Poland, Ekstraklasa 22/23 Pogon Szczecin1–0Jagiellonia
Recent matches

Pogon Szczecin

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Piast Gliwice1–2Pogon Szczecin
2026-09-14 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Pogon Szczecin2–0Wieczysta Krakow
2026-09-13 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Pogon Szczecin2–0Wieczysta Krakow
2026-09-07 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Pogon Szczecin1–1Wisla Plock
2026-08-29 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Zaglebie0–0Pogon Szczecin
2026-08-23 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Pogon Szczecin2–2Wisla
2026-08-08 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Pogon Szczecin3–1Motor Lublin
2026-08-03 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Cracovia0–2Pogon Szczecin

Jagiellonia

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Jagiellonia1–3Legia
2026-09-11 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Wisla2–0Jagiellonia
2026-09-06 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Jagiellonia2–1Slask Wroclaw
2026-09-03 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Lech Poznan2–1Jagiellonia
2026-08-30 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Rakow2–5Jagiellonia
2026-08-09 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Jagiellonia0–2Widzew Lodz
2026-07-31 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Motor Lublin1–2Jagiellonia
2026-07-25 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Jagiellonia1–0Korona Kielce
Pogon Szczecin Jagiellonia

Wins

62%
50%

Over 2.5 goals

38%
62%

Both teams scored

50%
62%

Clean sheets

50%
12%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Jagiellonia

Away · Ekstraklasa
Pogon Szczecin Home Jagiellonia Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Ekstraklasa · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Pogon Szczecin

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome6 matchesAway3 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match1.832.332.00
Draws33.3%33.3%33.3%
Goals scored / match1.671.331.56
Goals conceded / match0.830.330.67
Total goals / match2.501.672.22
Failed to score16.7%33.3%22.2%
Under 2.5 goals66.7%66.7%66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 5/6 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Jagiellonia

8 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway4 matchesOverall8 matches
Points / match1.501.501.50
Draws0.0%0.0%0.0%
Goals scored / match1.002.001.50
Goals conceded / match1.501.751.62
Total goals / match2.503.753.12
Failed to score25.0%25.0%25.0%
Under 2.5 goals50.0%25.0%37.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 1 100%
Scores first → wins 1 of 1 100%
Concedes first → wins 1 of 3 33%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1501
16–3001
31–4541
46–6001
61–7500
76–9043

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelPogon SzczecinDraw JagielloniaHow it works
Strength (Elo) 44.8% 26.1% 29.1% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 37.2% 27.5% 35.0% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.24–1.19 Model expected goals
43.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals
49.1% Both teams to score
1-1 Most likely score, at 13.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-113.0%
1-010.9%
0-110.5%
0-08.8%
2-18.0%
1-27.7%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasurePogon SzczecinJagiellonia How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1543 1523 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 6 -71 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1520 1532 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Pogon Szczecin 0.620.88 0.380.38
Jagiellonia 0.880.62 0.621.00

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Pogon Szczecin 2%18%32%30%18%
Jagiellonia 10%8%20%35%28%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.64 Pogon Szczecin at home, 11 matches
1.56 Jagiellonia away, 9 matches
146d Days of rest for Pogon Szczecin
146d Days of rest for Jagiellonia
— Manager of Pogon Szczecin
— Manager of Jagiellonia
0 Matches for Pogon Szczecin in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Jagiellonia in the last 14 days
7 Points for Pogon Szczecin behind the leaders, and 12 above the relegation zone
13 Points for Jagiellonia behind the leaders, and 6 above the relegation zone
2.80 League goals per match
26.5% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Pogon Szczecin, the right bar represents Jagiellonia.

On the ball

20 matches
3.62
corners
4.14
15.0
fouls
13.5
2.0
yellow cards
2.33

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Pogon Szczecin WWWDDDWWLD 1.90 1.50–0.70 3W
Jagiellonia LLWLWLWWWD 1.60 1.50–1.50 2L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Pogon Szczecin1 70 00
Jagiellonia3 32 00
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Pogon Szczecin

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Jagiellonia

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.