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Motor Lublin
VS Scheduled Poland 26/27 Ekstraklasa · Matchday 25
Rakow

Head-to-head overview

5 meetings
Motor LublinWins
0
Draws40.0% of meetings
2
RakowWins
3
Goals per match
2.60
Over 2.5 goals
40.0%
Both teams scored
60.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-11 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Rakow2–1Motor Lublin
2026-04-12 Poland, Ekstraklasa 25/26 Motor Lublin1–1Rakow
2025-10-05 Poland, Ekstraklasa 25/26 Rakow2–0Motor Lublin
2024-12-07 Poland, Ekstraklasa 24/25 Rakow2–2Motor Lublin
2024-07-21 Poland, Ekstraklasa 24/25 Motor Lublin0–2Rakow
Recent matches

Motor Lublin

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Motor Lublin0–0Gornik Zabrze
2026-09-11 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Rakow2–1Motor Lublin
2026-09-05 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Motor Lublin2–3Legia
2026-08-29 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Motor Lublin0–2Piast Gliwice
2026-08-22 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Korona Kielce1–1Motor Lublin
2026-08-16 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Motor Lublin1–0GKS Katowice
2026-08-08 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Pogon Szczecin3–1Motor Lublin
2026-07-31 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Motor Lublin1–2Jagiellonia

Rakow

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Korona Kielce3–2Rakow
2026-09-15 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Rakow2–3Zaglebie
2026-09-11 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Rakow2–1Motor Lublin
2026-09-06 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Lech Poznan1–0Rakow
2026-09-03 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Rakow1–2Gornik Zabrze
2026-08-30 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Rakow2–5Jagiellonia
2026-08-16 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Cracovia2–1Rakow
2026-08-02 Poland, Ekstraklasa 26/27 Slask Wroclaw2–1Rakow
Motor Lublin Rakow

Wins

12%
12%

Over 2.5 goals

50%
88%

Both teams scored

62%
88%

Clean sheets

25%
0%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Motor Lublin

Home · Ekstraklasa
HomeAway1st goal
16 Motor Lublin 0–0 Gornik Zabrze 1 –
16 Motor Lublin 2–3 Legia 2 45′ Away
16 Motor Lublin Lech Poznan 3
16 Motor Lublin Pogon Szczecin 4
16 Motor Lublin Korona Kielce 5
16 Motor Lublin Zaglebie 6
16 Motor Lublin Wisla 7
16 Motor Lublin Wisla Plock 8
16 Motor Lublin 1–0 GKS Katowice 9 86′ Home
16 Motor Lublin 1–2 Jagiellonia 10 33′ Away
16 Motor Lublin Widzew Lodz 11
16 Motor Lublin 0–2 Piast Gliwice 12 78′ Away
16 Motor Lublin Cracovia 13
16 Motor Lublin Radomiak Radom 14
16 Motor Lublin Slask Wroclaw 15
16 · Motor Lublin
16 Motor Lublin Wieczysta Krakow 17
16 Motor Lublin Rakow 18

Rakow

Away · Ekstraklasa
HomeAway1st goal
1 Gornik Zabrze Rakow 18
2 Legia Rakow 18
3 Lech Poznan 1–0 Rakow 18 71′ Home
4 Pogon Szczecin Rakow 18
5 Korona Kielce 3–2 Rakow 18 20′ Home
6 Zaglebie Rakow 18
7 Wisla Rakow 18
8 Wisla Plock Rakow 18
9 GKS Katowice Rakow 18
10 Jagiellonia Rakow 18
11 Widzew Lodz Rakow 18
12 Piast Gliwice Rakow 18
13 Cracovia 2–1 Rakow 18 31′ Away
14 Radomiak Radom Rakow 18
15 Slask Wroclaw 2–1 Rakow 18 60′ Away
16 Motor Lublin Rakow 18
17 Wieczysta Krakow Rakow 18
18 · Rakow
Motor Lublin Home Rakow Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Ekstraklasa · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Motor Lublin

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway4 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match0.800.500.67
Draws20.0%50.0%33.3%
Goals scored / match0.801.251.00
Goals conceded / match1.402.001.67
Total goals / match2.203.252.67
Failed to score40.0%0.0%22.2%
Under 2.5 goals60.0%25.0%44.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 1 0%
Scores first → wins 1 of 1 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 3 0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1500
16–3000
31–4502
46–6000
61–7520
76–9025

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Rakow

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway4 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match0.600.000.33
Draws0.0%0.0%0.0%
Goals scored / match1.601.001.33
Goals conceded / match2.602.002.33
Total goals / match4.203.003.67
Failed to score0.0%25.0%11.1%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%25.0%11.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 2 50%
Scores first → wins 0 of 2 0%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 2 0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1500
16–3001
31–4511
46–6021
61–7503
76–9012

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelMotor LublinDraw RakowHow it works
Strength (Elo) 41.0% 27.1% 31.9% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 21.1% 21.2% 55.8% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.16–2.03 Model expected goals
60.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals
58.4% Both teams to score
1-2 Most likely score, at 9.8%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-29.8%
1-19.7%
0-28.5%
0-18.3%
1-36.7%
0-35.8%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureMotor LublinRakow How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1478 1490 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -34 -108 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1529 1518 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Motor Lublin 0.330.67 0.890.78
Rakow 0.440.89 0.891.44

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Motor Lublin 8%12%30%18%32%
Rakow 5%15%25%25%30%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.00 Motor Lublin at home, 10 matches
0.89 Rakow away, 9 matches
175d Days of rest for Motor Lublin
175d Days of rest for Rakow
— Manager of Motor Lublin
Dawid Szulczek Manager of Rakow, since 31/08/26
0 Matches for Motor Lublin in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Rakow in the last 14 days
19 Points for Motor Lublin behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
22 Points for Rakow behind the leaders, and -3 above the relegation zone
2.80 League goals per match
26.5% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Motor Lublin, the right bar represents Rakow.

On the ball

20 matches
3.89
corners
4.89
12.67
fouls
10.5
2.17
yellow cards
2.4

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Motor Lublin DLLLDWLLDL 0.60 0.90–1.90 1D
Rakow LLWLLLLLLW 0.60 1.50–2.10 2L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Motor Lublin0 54 00
Rakow2 34 02
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Motor Lublin

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Rakow

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.