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Lokomotiv Moscow
VS Scheduled Russia 26/27 Premier Liga · Matchday 11
Krasnodar

Head-to-head overview

28 meetings
Lokomotiv MoscowWins
12
Draws25.0% of meetings
7
KrasnodarWins
9
Goals per match
2.57
Over 2.5 goals
53.6%
Both teams scored
60.7%
DateSeasonMatch
2025-11-23 Russia, Premier Liga 25/26 Lokomotiv Moscow1–1Krasnodar
2025-07-26 Russia, Premier Liga 25/26 Krasnodar1–2Lokomotiv Moscow
2024-12-08 Russia, Premier Liga 24/25 Krasnodar0–0Lokomotiv Moscow
2024-09-01 Russia, Premier Liga 24/25 Lokomotiv Moscow0–3Krasnodar
2024-03-31 Russia, Premier Liga 23/24 Lokomotiv Moscow1–1Krasnodar
2023-08-19 Russia, Premier Liga 23/24 Krasnodar1–1Lokomotiv Moscow
2023-03-18 Russia, Premier Liga 22/23 Lokomotiv Moscow3–2Krasnodar
2022-08-06 Russia, Premier Liga 22/23 Krasnodar3–0Lokomotiv Moscow
Recent matches

Lokomotiv Moscow

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-16 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Lokomotiv Moscow1–1Krylya Sovetov
2026-09-12 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Zenit2–1Lokomotiv Moscow
2026-09-06 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Baltika0–1Lokomotiv Moscow
2026-08-29 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Lokomotiv Moscow0–1Dynamo Moscow
2026-08-22 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 CSKA Moscow3–2Lokomotiv Moscow
2026-08-14 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Orenburg1–1Lokomotiv Moscow
2026-08-08 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Lokomotiv Moscow0–0Akron Togliatti
2026-08-01 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Dynamo Makhachkala2–1Lokomotiv Moscow

Krasnodar

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-17 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Orenburg0–0Krasnodar
2026-09-13 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Krasnodar1–1Akron Togliatti
2026-09-05 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Krylya Sovetov2–2Krasnodar
2026-08-29 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Krasnodar1–0FK Rostov
2026-08-23 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Dynamo Makhachkala0–1Krasnodar
2026-08-15 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Krasnodar1–0Akhmat Grozny
2026-08-09 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Spartak Moscow1–2Krasnodar
2026-08-02 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Krasnodar3–2Fakel Voronezh
Lokomotiv Moscow Krasnodar

Wins

12%
62%

Over 2.5 goals

38%
38%

Both teams scored

62%
50%

Clean sheets

25%
50%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Krasnodar

Away · Premier Liga
Lokomotiv Moscow Home Krasnodar Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier Liga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Lokomotiv Moscow

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway5 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match0.750.800.78
Draws75.0%20.0%44.4%
Goals scored / match0.501.200.89
Goals conceded / match0.751.601.22
Total goals / match1.252.802.11
Failed to score50.0%0.0%22.2%
Under 2.5 goals100.0%40.0%66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 2 50%
Scores first → wins 0 of 2 0%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1510
16–3000
31–4500
46–6010
61–7502
76–9001

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Krasnodar

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway5 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match2.502.202.33
Draws25.0%40.0%33.3%
Goals scored / match1.501.601.56
Goals conceded / match0.750.800.78
Total goals / match2.252.402.33
Failed to score0.0%20.0%11.1%
Under 2.5 goals75.0%40.0%55.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 2 50%
Scores first → wins 1 of 2 50%
Concedes first → wins 2 of 2 100%

Scoring order known: 5/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1532
16–3010
31–4510
46–6011
61–7500
76–9021

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelLokomotiv MoscowDraw KrasnodarHow it works
Strength (Elo) 28.3% 24.9% 46.9% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 10.4% 19.9% 68.2% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.60–1.96 Model expected goals
45.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals
38.2% Both teams to score
0-1 Most likely score, at 15.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-115.1%
0-214.8%
0-39.7%
1-19.1%
1-28.9%
0-07.7%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureLokomotiv MoscowKrasnodar How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1536 1679 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -74 -27 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1523 1498 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Lokomotiv Moscow 0.560.33 0.111.11
Krasnodar 1.000.56 0.330.44

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Lokomotiv Moscow 5%15%30%20%30%
Krasnodar 5%20%20%32%22%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.30 Lokomotiv Moscow at home, 10 matches
2.00 Krasnodar away, 12 matches
31d Days of rest for Lokomotiv Moscow
30d Days of rest for Krasnodar
— Manager of Lokomotiv Moscow
— Manager of Krasnodar
0 Matches for Lokomotiv Moscow in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Krasnodar in the last 14 days
14 Points for Lokomotiv Moscow behind the leaders, and -1 above the relegation zone
0 Points for Krasnodar behind the leaders, and 13 above the relegation zone
2.64 League goals per match
28.2% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Lokomotiv Moscow, the right bar represents Krasnodar.

On the ball

20 matches
2.38
corners
4.0
15.78
fouls
13.56
2.62
yellow cards
2.43

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Lokomotiv Moscow DLWLLDDLDL 0.70 0.90–1.40 1D
Krasnodar DDDWWWWWWW 2.40 1.70–0.70 3D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Lokomotiv Moscow4 50 04
Krasnodar5 31 01
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Lokomotiv Moscow

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Krasnodar

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.