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Akhmat Grozny
VS Scheduled Russia 26/27 Premier Liga · Matchday 12
Orenburg

Head-to-head overview

14 meetings
Akhmat GroznyWins
8
Draws28.6% of meetings
4
OrenburgWins
2
Goals per match
2.64
Over 2.5 goals
64.3%
Both teams scored
71.4%
DateSeasonMatch
2025-12-05 Russia, Premier Liga 25/26 Akhmat Grozny1–0Orenburg
2025-08-22 Russia, Premier Liga 25/26 Orenburg2–2Akhmat Grozny
2024-12-08 Russia, Premier Liga 24/25 Akhmat Grozny1–0Orenburg
2024-07-28 Russia, Premier Liga 24/25 Orenburg0–0Akhmat Grozny
2023-11-26 Russia, Premier Liga 23/24 Orenburg1–1Akhmat Grozny
2023-08-20 Russia, Premier Liga 23/24 Akhmat Grozny4–0Orenburg
2023-03-04 Russia, Premier Liga 22/23 Akhmat Grozny3–1Orenburg
2022-10-09 Russia, Premier Liga 22/23 Orenburg2–1Akhmat Grozny
Recent matches

Akhmat Grozny

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-17 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Akron Togliatti2–0Akhmat Grozny
2026-09-13 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Akhmat Grozny3–2Dynamo Makhachkala
2026-09-07 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Rubin Kazan1–1Akhmat Grozny
2026-08-29 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Akhmat Grozny3–3Krylya Sovetov
2026-08-22 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Akhmat Grozny4–1FK Rostov
2026-08-15 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Krasnodar1–0Akhmat Grozny
2026-08-10 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Fakel Voronezh0–0Akhmat Grozny
2026-08-02 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Akhmat Grozny1–2Spartak Moscow

Orenburg

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-17 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Orenburg0–0Krasnodar
2026-09-12 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Dynamo Moscow1–0Orenburg
2026-09-06 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Orenburg2–2Akron Togliatti
2026-08-30 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Spartak Moscow1–1Orenburg
2026-08-22 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Fakel Voronezh0–0Orenburg
2026-08-14 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Orenburg1–1Lokomotiv Moscow
2026-08-09 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Rubin Kazan1–1Orenburg
2026-08-02 Russia, Premier Liga 26/27 Orenburg0–3Zenit
Akhmat Grozny Orenburg

Wins

25%
0%

Over 2.5 goals

50%
25%

Both teams scored

62%
50%

Clean sheets

12%
25%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Orenburg

Away · Premier Liga
Akhmat Grozny Home Orenburg Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier Liga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Akhmat Grozny

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway5 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match1.750.601.11
Draws25.0%60.0%44.4%
Goals scored / match2.750.401.44
Goals conceded / match2.001.001.44
Total goals / match4.751.402.89
Failed to score0.0%60.0%33.3%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%100.0%55.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 3/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Orenburg

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway4 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match1.200.751.00
Draws60.0%75.0%66.7%
Goals scored / match1.000.500.78
Goals conceded / match1.400.751.11
Total goals / match2.401.251.89
Failed to score40.0%50.0%44.4%
Under 2.5 goals40.0%100.0%66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 3/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelAkhmat GroznyDraw OrenburgHow it works
Strength (Elo) 46.7% 24.9% 28.4% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 36.4% 30.4% 33.0% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.06–0.99 Model expected goals
33.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals
40.9% Both teams to score
1-0 Most likely score, at 13.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-013.7%
1-113.5%
0-012.9%
0-112.8%
2-07.2%
2-17.1%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureAkhmat GroznyOrenburg How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1485 1454 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 4 23 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1529 1546 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Akhmat Grozny 0.441.00 0.890.56
Orenburg 0.110.67 0.220.89

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Akhmat Grozny 2%20%35%18%25%
Orenburg 12%25%20%15%28%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.67 Akhmat Grozny at home, 9 matches
0.80 Orenburg away, 10 matches
36d Days of rest for Akhmat Grozny
36d Days of rest for Orenburg
— Manager of Akhmat Grozny
— Manager of Orenburg
0 Matches for Akhmat Grozny in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Orenburg in the last 14 days
11 Points for Akhmat Grozny behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone
12 Points for Orenburg behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone
2.64 League goals per match
28.2% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Akhmat Grozny, the right bar represents Orenburg.

On the ball

20 matches
4.5
corners
3.57
11.67
fouls
17.44
3.33
yellow cards
3.78

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Akhmat Grozny LWDDWLDLDD 1.10 1.40–1.40 1L
Orenburg DLDDDDDLWL 0.90 0.70–1.30 1D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Akhmat Grozny0 54 00
Orenburg1 62 01
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Akhmat Grozny

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Orenburg

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.