Fakel Voronezh

Fakel Voronezh

VS Scheduled Saturday 24 Oct 202613:00

Russia 26/27 Premier Liga · Matchday 12

Rodina Moscow

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-16	26/27	Spartak Moscow1–0Fakel Voronezh
2026-09-12	26/27	Fakel Voronezh2–2Baltika
2026-09-05	26/27	FK Rostov3–1Fakel Voronezh
2026-08-29	26/27	Fakel Voronezh0–1Zenit
2026-08-22	26/27	Fakel Voronezh0–0Orenburg
2026-08-15	26/27	CSKA Moscow1–0Fakel Voronezh
2026-08-10	26/27	Fakel Voronezh0–0Akhmat Grozny
2026-08-02	26/27	Krasnodar3–2Fakel Voronezh

Rodina Moscow

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-16	26/27	Rodina Moscow1–1Rubin Kazan
2026-09-11	26/27	Krylya Sovetov2–1Rodina Moscow
2026-09-06	26/27	Dynamo Makhachkala2–0Rodina Moscow
2026-08-30	26/27	Rodina Moscow0–3Baltika
2026-08-23	26/27	Dynamo Moscow3–1Rodina Moscow
2026-08-15	26/27	Rodina Moscow3–3Akron Togliatti
2026-08-09	26/27	Zenit1–2Rodina Moscow
2026-07-31	26/27	Rodina Moscow2–4FK Rostov

Fakel Voronezh Rodina Moscow

Wins

0%

12%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

75%

Both teams scored

38%

75%

Clean sheets

25%

0%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Fakel Voronezh

Home · Premier Liga

Home			Away		1st goal
16	Fakel Voronezh		Krasnodar	1
16	Fakel Voronezh		Spartak Moscow	2
16	Fakel Voronezh		CSKA Moscow	3
16	Fakel Voronezh		Dynamo Moscow	4
16	Fakel Voronezh	0–1	Zenit	5	90+2′ Away
16	Fakel Voronezh		Rubin Kazan	6
16	Fakel Voronezh	1–2	Dynamo Makhachkala	7	—
16	Fakel Voronezh	2–2	Baltika	8	13′ Home
16	Fakel Voronezh		Krylya Sovetov	9
16	Fakel Voronezh	0–0	Akhmat Grozny	10	–
16	Fakel Voronezh	0–0	Orenburg	11	–
16	Fakel Voronezh		Akron Togliatti	12
16	Fakel Voronezh		FK Rostov	13
16	Fakel Voronezh		Lokomotiv Moscow	14
16	Fakel Voronezh		Rodina Moscow	15
16 · Fakel Voronezh

Rodina Moscow

Away · Premier Liga

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Krasnodar		Rodina Moscow	15
2	Spartak Moscow	3–0	Rodina Moscow	15	24′ Home
3	CSKA Moscow		Rodina Moscow	15
4	Dynamo Moscow	3–1	Rodina Moscow	15	31′ Away
5	Zenit	1–2	Rodina Moscow	15	23′ Home
6	Rubin Kazan		Rodina Moscow	15
7	Dynamo Makhachkala	2–0	Rodina Moscow	15	51′ Home
8	Baltika		Rodina Moscow	15
9	Krylya Sovetov	2–1	Rodina Moscow	15	59′ Away
10	Akhmat Grozny		Rodina Moscow	15
11	Orenburg		Rodina Moscow	15
12	Akron Togliatti		Rodina Moscow	15
13	FK Rostov		Rodina Moscow	15
14	Lokomotiv Moscow		Rodina Moscow	15
15 · Rodina Moscow
16	Fakel Voronezh		Rodina Moscow	15

Fakel Voronezh Home Rodina Moscow Away

Wins

0%

20%

Over 1.5

40%

100%

Over 2.5

40%

80%

Over 3.5

20%

Both teams scored

40%

60%

Clean sheets

40%

0%

Scores first

N/A

40%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier Liga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Fakel Voronezh

9 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away4 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	0.60	0.00	0.33
Draws	60.0%	0.0%	33.3%
Goals scored / match	0.60	0.75	0.67
Goals conceded / match	1.00	2.00	1.44
Total goals / match	1.60	2.75	2.11
Failed to score	60.0%	50.0%	55.6%
Under 2.5 goals	60.0%	50.0%	55.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 4/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Rodina Moscow

9 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away5 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	0.50	0.60	0.56
Draws	50.0%	0.0%	22.2%
Goals scored / match	1.50	0.80	1.11
Goals conceded / match	2.75	2.20	2.44
Total goals / match	4.25	3.00	3.56
Failed to score	25.0%	40.0%	33.3%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	20.0%	22.2%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 2	0%
Scores first → wins	0 of 2	0%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 3	33%

Scoring order known: 5/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	2
31–45	1	1
46–60	2	3
61–75	1	2
76–90	0	3

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Fakel Voronezh	Draw	Rodina Moscow	How it works
Strength (Elo)	38.9%	26.7%	34.4%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	25.0%	27.6%	47.1%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.91–1.36 Model expected goals

39.3% Probability of over 2.5 goals

44.2% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 14.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-114.1%

1-112.8%

0-010.3%

0-29.6%

1-09.4%

1-28.7%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Fakel Voronezh	Rodina Moscow	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1405	1439	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	11	-39	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1539	1519	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Fakel Voronezh	0.22	0.44	0.33	1.11
Rodina Moscow	0.44	0.67	0.56	1.89

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Fakel Voronezh	22%	22%	25%	10%	20%
Rodina Moscow	0%	0%	27%	46%	27%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.55 Fakel Voronezh at home, 11 matches

1.00 Rodina Moscow away, 6 matches

38d Days of rest for Fakel Voronezh

38d Days of rest for Rodina Moscow

— Manager of Fakel Voronezh

— Manager of Rodina Moscow

0 Matches for Fakel Voronezh in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Rodina Moscow in the last 14 days

18 Points for Fakel Voronezh behind the leaders, and -5 above the relegation zone

16 Points for Rodina Moscow behind the leaders, and -3 above the relegation zone

2.64 League goals per match

28.2% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Fakel Voronezh, the right bar represents Rodina Moscow.

On the ball

20 matches

4.33

corners

3.78

14.44

fouls

14.44

2.0

yellow cards

2.8

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Fakel Voronezh	LDLLDLDLLD	0.40	0.70–1.40	1L
Rodina Moscow	DLLLLDWLLW	0.80	1.20–2.20	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Fakel Voronezh	1	7	1	0	1
Rodina Moscow	1	5	3	1	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Fakel Voronezh

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Rodina Moscow

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.